Week 12 brings us a fun night matchup at Camp Randall Stadium in Madison, Wisconsin, where the Wisconsin Badgers (5-4, 3-3 Big Ten) welcome in the Oregon Ducks (10-0, 7-0).
The Ducks are coming off a 39-18 victory over Maryland, while the Badgers most recently fell to Iowa, 42-10, two weeks ago before heading into a bye week.
Oregon is a 14-point favorite on the spread with a 52-point over/under.
Check out our Oregon vs. Wisconsin predictions and college football picks below.
Oregon vs Wisconsin Prediction
My Oregon vs Wisconsin best bet is on the Under 52, with the best line available at bet365 Sportsbook.
Oregon vs Wisconsin Odds
Oregon Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-14 -110 | 52 -110 / -110 | -600 |
Wisconsin Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+14 -110 | 52 -110 / -110 | +450 |
- Oregon vs Wisconsin Point Spread: Oregon -14 (-110) · Wisconsin +14 (-110)
- Oregon vs Wisconsin Total: Over/Under 52
- Oregon vs Wisconsin Moneyline: Oregon -600 · Wisconsin +450
Oregon vs Wisconsin Preview
Oregon Ducks Betting Preview: Best In The Big Ten
Coach Dan Lanning has his team totally locked in after joining the Big Ten in the offseason. The Ducks are probably the best team in the Big Ten, especially after beating Ohio State earlier this season.
Still, being on top means you have a target on your back. Expect Wisconsin's best here, and Lanning needs to ensure the Ducks don't sleepwalk through the remainder of the season.
The Ducks offense is cooking, averaging 35.7 points per game behind Heisman candidate quarterback Dillon Gabriel. They rank 16th nationally in Pass Success Rate, although most of that is methodical, as they rank 98th in Pass Explosivness.
Jordan James leads an excellent rushing attack that balances the offense. Oregon ranks 38th in Rush Success Rate. Still, they also can't generate chunk plays on the ground, ranking 84th in Rush Success Rate.
The Ducks consistently move the football and control the clock. I expect more of the same on Saturday.
Lanning's defense allows a meager 16 points per game, partially because they control the clock so well. The secondary is spectacular, ranking 23rd in Pass Success Rate allowed.
Wisconsin Badgers Betting Preview: Paper Tiger?
After Tyler Van Dyke went down with a season-ending injury early in the season against Alabama, Braedyn Locke has stepped in as the starting quarterback, and it has gone about as expected. He has eight touchdowns to eight interceptions on the year, which he must clean up if he wants to win a game of this caliber.
The Badgers average 25 points per game, requiring more methodical drives. The Badgers rank 132nd nationally in Explosiveness, so they (like Oregon) try to sustain long drives to generate points.
The Badgers have consistently run the football, ranking 37th in rush rate and 21st in Rush Success Rate. However, the passing attack needs to improve, given that the Ducks will likely stack the box on Saturday.
The Badgers allow only 21.4 points per game, but they're a bit of a paper tiger, ranking 107th nationally in Rush Success Rate allowed and 43rd in Pass Success Rate allowed.
I suspect coach Luke Fickell will load the box early and try to get the Ducks to throw the ball. Still, Gabriel should move the ball against the secondary.
Oregon vs Wisconsin
Matchup Analysis
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Oregon and Wisconsin match up statistically:
Oregon Offense vs. Wisconsin Defense
Offense | Defense | Edge | |
Rush Success | 13 | 87 | |
Line Yards | 12 | 117 | |
Pass Success | 6 | 48 | |
Havoc | 9 | 116 | |
Finishing Drives | 15 | 110 | |
Quality Drives | 13 | 25 |
Wisconsin Offense vs. Oregon Defense
Offense | Defense | Edge | |
Rush Success | 30 | 34 | |
Line Yards | 42 | 88 | |
Pass Success | 86 | 6 | |
Havoc | 33 | 5 | |
Finishing Drives | 42 | 35 | |
Quality Drives | 96 | 11 |
Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling | 23 | 14 |
PFF Coverage | 4 | 27 |
Special Teams SP+ | 29 | 58 |
Middle 8 | 68 | 70 |
Seconds per Play | 27.2 (68) | 26.7 (56) |
Rush Rate | 52% (72) | 55% (47) |
Oregon vs Wisconsin Pick & Prediction
I presume both teams will be looking to run the ball heavily, and that could make for a low-scoring competitive game, given neither offense has shown many signs of explosiveness on the season.
Pick: Under 52 (-110, bet365)
Oregon vs Wisconsin Start Time, Channel, Streaming, How To Watch
Location: | Camp Randall Stadium, Madison, WI |
Date: | Saturday, Nov. 16 |
Kickoff Time: | 7:30 p.m. ET |
TV / Streaming: | NBC |
Oregon vs Wisconsin will be played at Camp Randall Stadium in Madison, Wisconsin, on Saturday, Nov. 16 at 7:30 p.m. ET. You can stream the game live on NBC.