The Prairie View A&M Panthers (2-4) take on the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (1-4) in SWAC football action on Friday, Oct. 11th. The game is set to kick off at 9:15 p.m. ET on ESPNU.
This marks the second of two FCS games on tonight's slate, along with Harvard vs. Cornell in the Ivy League.
The Panthers enter as a -7.5 favorite with the over/under at 59.5.
Check out my Prairie View A&M vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff predictions and college football picks for Friday, Oct. 11 below.
Prairie View A&M vs UAPB Prediction
- Prairie View A&M vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Pick: Over 59.5
My Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs Prairie View A&M best bet is for both teams to go over the total.
Prairie View A&M vs UAPB Odds
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| AR-Pine Bluff Odds | ||
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- Prairie View A&M vs UAPB Point Spread: Prairie View A&M -7.5 (-106) · UAPB +7.5 (-113)
- Prairie View A&M vs UAPB Total: Over/Under 59.5
- Prairie View A&M vs UAPB Moneyline: Prairie View A&M -250 · UAPB +205
Prairie View A&M vs UAPB Preview
Prairie View A&M Panthers Betting Preview: Defensive Problems Aplenty
Prairie View A&M comes into this one off of a tough loss on the road at Incarnate Word.
The Panthers were competitive in the first half but could not contain the UIW offense in the second half. They surrendered 516 total yards and 30 first downs to the Cardinals.
PVAMU has continually rolled out one of the worst defenses in FCS football this season, allowing 395 yards and 36.5 points per game.
Offensively, the Panthers are averaging just 288 yards per game and have really struggled on the ground. The rushing attack has averaged just 2.6 yards per carry on the season, so Prairie View will need to find more success running the ball in order to find be competitive in its remaining games.
PVAMU has split reps at the quarterback position so far with Cameron Peters and Jaden Johnson sharing the load. They have combined to complete 53% of their passes for 1,197 yards and eight touchdowns on the season.
Arkansas Pine Bluff Golden Lions Betting Preview: Another Struggle of a Season
Author's Note: UAPB stats noted are excluding games against Arkansas of the SEC and Arkansas Baptist of the NAIA to more accurately reflect competition and game situations that UAPB will see the rest of the season.
Arkansas-Pine Bluff finds itself in the middle of another rough season.
This SWAC bottom-feeder has been on the wrong end of three straight decisions, mostly due to its poor defensive play.
The Lions have surrendered 506 yards and 45 points per game against FCS competition this season and rank in the bottom five of nearly every defensive metric in FCS.
The front seven has been especially bad, giving up 272 rushing yards per game and 6.3 yards per carry during that stretch.
Offensively, the Lions have averaged 321 yards and 24.3 points per game against FCS teams and have been led by quarterback Mekhi Hagens. The redshirt junior has thrown for 251 yards per game with an 8:2 touchdown-to-interception ratio over the last three weeks.
JaVonnie Gibson and Daemon Dawkins are two explosive receivers who have combined for 463 yards and five touchdowns over that span.
Prairie View A&M vs UAPB Pick & Prediction
It's really hard to find much to like about these two struggling SWAC teams, but we do have an opportunity to fade two really bad defenses.
Both teams operate on offense fairly quickly, so they should run upwards of 70-plus plays each.
Each defense has been really bad at allowing explosive plays against them, and they've both been bad in the red zone as well. UAPB has allowed 19 touchdowns on 23 red-zone trips to go along with two red-zone field goals.
The Golden Lions allow 59% of third-down attempts to be converted against them, and they do a bad job of getting pressure on opposing quarterbacks with only three sacks on the year.
Prairie View A&M has allowed 15 touchdowns and nine field goals in 25 red-zone trips thus far. The Panthers also struggle to get pressure, as they have only 10 sacks through six games this year.
Special teams play favors the over as well.
Prairie View is averaging a net of just 34.6 yards per punt, and UAPB has a net punting average of 30.4 yards. With struggling punters, we could see some short fields that lead to these bad defenses being put in tough positions.
Both PVAMU and UAPB have reliable field-goal operations. Pine Bluff kickers have gone 2-of-2 on field goals and 20-of-20 on PAT attempts this year. Prairie View kicker Guillermo Garcia Rodriguez has gone 9-of-12 on field goals and 15-of-15 on PAT attempts.
My numbers have each team in the 30s, and when the game plays itself out situationally, there's just no way that I can confidently trust either defense to make plays or get the stops necessary to limit scoring.
I expect a ton of yards and quite a bit of scoring in this Friday night SWAC battle. Take the over at 59.5
Pick: Over 59.5 (Play to 62.5)
Prairie View A&M vs UAPB Live: Start Time, TV Channel, How to Watch
| Location: | Simmons Bank Field, Pine Bluff, AK |
| Date: | Friday, Oct. 11 |
| Kickoff Time: | 9:15 p.m. ET |
| TV / Streaming: | ESPNU |
Prairie View A&M vs UAPB Weather
