Rice vs Memphis Prediction, Pick, Odds for Friday, Nov. 8

Rice vs Memphis Prediction, Pick, Odds for Friday, Nov. 8 article feature image
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(Photo by Mark Goldman/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) Pictured: Memphis Co-Defensive Coordinator / Defensive Line coach Spence Nowinsky

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The Rice Owls (3-6, 2-3 AAC) take on the Memphis Tigers (7-2, 3-2 AAC) on Friday night in American Conference action. The game kicks off at 9:00 p.m. ET and can be seen live on ESPN2. Memphis comes in as a nine-point favorite, with the over/under set at 53.5.

Let's dig into this matchup and get to my Rice vs. Memphis predictions and college football picks.

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Rice vs Memphis Prediction

My Memphis vs Rice best bet is for the Owls to stay under their team total and score fewer than 21.5 points.


Rice vs Memphis Odds

Rice Logo
Friday, Nov. 8
9 p.m. ET
ESPN2
Memphis Logo
Rice Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+9
-110
52.5
-110 / -110
+272
Memphis Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-9
-110
52.5
-110 / -110
-345
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute NCAAF odds here.
bet365 Logo
  • Rice vs Memphis Point Spread: Rice +9 (-110) · Memphis -9 (-110)
  • Rice vs Memphis Total: Over/Under 52.5
  • Rice vs Memphis Moneyline: Rice +272 · Memphis -345


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Rice vs Memphis Preview

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Rice Owls Betting Preview: Can Owls Win Again?

Rice rallied the troops in a big way last week after the firing of head coach Mike Bloomgren.

The Owls pulled out a shocking 24-10 upset over Navy. The game was delayed over five hours due to inclement weather, but once the game resumed, Rice went right down the field for touchdowns on back-to-back possessions in the first quarter.

The Owls' defense stole the show as Navy never threatened and only amassed 260 yards of offense. Rice's run defense was keyed in on the option all night as the Middies achieved only 140 rush yards on a 3.5 yards per carry average.

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Memphis Tigers Betting Preview: Tigers Need to Get Back on Track

Memphis is coming off a shocking 44-36 road loss to UTSA. This was expected to be a highly anticipated AAC showdown as these teams were pre-season AAC favorites, but both have underachieved in conference play this season.

It was shocking to see Memphis surrender a 24-14 second quarter as UTSA scored the next 30 points to take firm control of the game.

During that stretch, Memphis failed to score on nine straight possessions and was stopped on downs four times.


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Rice vs Memphis

Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Rice and Memphis match up statistically:

Rice Offense vs. Memphis Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success9144
Line Yards8413
Pass Success12166
Havoc858
Finishing Drives10481
Quality Drives11643
Memphis Offense vs. Rice Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success5533
Line Yards6574
Pass Success8424
Havoc2329
Finishing Drives2821
Quality Drives2223
Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling697
PFF Coverage1188
Special Teams SP+11256
Middle 8104102
Seconds per Play26.5 (50)27.9 (90)
Rush Rate38% (131)45% (118)

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Rice vs Memphis Pick & Prediction

This is a buy-low, sell-high situation for both teams. Memphis' defense isn't as bad as it played last week and I don’t think Rice is as good as we saw last week. I am going to grab the Rice Team Total at Under 21.5.

Despite the recent uninspiring play, Memphis is solid defensively — ranking 38th in Defensive Success Rate and fifth in Defensive Havoc. The run defense has been solid for most of the year holding, teams to just 115.7 yards per game and a 3.9 yard per carry average.

Rice has struggled in standard down situations, ranking just 99th in Offensive Standard Down Success Rate. Over the past three weeks, Rice has averaged just 101 yards per game on the ground.

Memphis should be able to stop Rice's ground game and force the Owls into undesirable pass situations. Rice's offense ranks just 18th in Pass Play EPA Per Play and 126th in Pass Play Success Rate. The Owls are limited in their explosiveness as they don't have a receiver averaging more than 12 yards per reception on the season.

Rice has also struggled on third downs, converting just 34.5%. The Memphis defense forces teams into third down situations frequently and has seen the opposition convert just 35% of the time.

Rice struggles in the red zone, scoring touchdowns on just 15-of-28 attempts with five of those touchdowns coming against FCS bottom feeder Texas Southern. Against FBS competition, Rice is averaging 16 points per game. Oh, and that drops when on the road, where Rice is 0-4 and averaging just 10.2 points per game.

Memphis' offense is playing at a much slower pace this season and averaging nearly 34 minutes of time of possession. The Tigers have made a concerted effort to run the ball more and when the game is on the line, I expect Memphis to control the line of scrimmage.

I expect a low-scoring game and feel we're getting value on a higher-than-normal team total for Rice. So, I'll take the under.

Pick: Rice Team Total Under 21.5


Rice vs Memphis Start Time, Channel, Streaming, How To Watch

Location:Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium, Memphis, TN
Date:Friday, Nov. 8
Kickoff Time:9 p.m. ET
TV / Streaming:ESPN2

Rice vs Memphis will be played at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium on Friday, Nov. 8, at 9 p.m. ET. You can stream the game live on ESPN2.



Rice vs Memphis Weather

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About the Author
Joshua Nunn is a writer at Action Network who specializes in betting college football, and specifically games at the FCS level. He is a seasoned college football and college basketball bettor who previously worked in the financial services industry.

Follow Joshua Nunn @steponaduck1 on Twitter/X.

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