Each week on The Action Network Colleges Podcast, Collin Wilson and I pick our two favorite moneyline underdogs for each Saturday's college football slate.
Last week stung as we lost both underdogs by a combined two points. I still can't believe the officials didn't give Georgia Southern a field goal attempt after it clearly spiked it in time. Salt in the wound after doubling up Army in yards per play. Oh well, those will happen.
We now put those in the rearview and move on to Week 13 with one underdog on Friday and another on Saturday.
- 2018-19: 29-47 +4.00 units
- 2020: 8-14 +2.30 units
If you're feeling lucky, a moneyline parlay of both pays out just under 10-1 odds.
Note: Data as of 3:30 p.m. ET Wednesday.
Stuckey: Mississippi State +290
- Spread: Ole Miss -9.5
- Over/Under: 69
- Date: Saturday, Nov 28
- Time: 4 p.m. ET
- TV: SECN
- Location: Oxford, Miss.
I'm heading down south to another potential shootout and taking a shot on Mike Leach in the Egg Bowl.
I started pleading for Mississippi State to go to freshman quarterback Will Rogers after the first few games. KJ Costello just didn't seem comfortable in the Air Raid offense. Rogers doesn't have that issue, as he's very familiar with the Air Raid, having run it in high school and being personally recruited by Leach.
Well, Leach made the change two games ago and was paid off handsomely with a win over Vanderbilt, but more impressively, a competitive loss against Georgia in which Rogers finished 41 of 52 for 336 yards and zero interceptions vs. one of the best defenses in the country. The offense has seemed to figure some things out and will now go up against a bottom-25 defense in FBS.
Ole Miss certainly has the better offense, but Miss State has the superior defense. This one might just come down to a random turnover or a couple stops. I'll side with the juicy underdog on the moneyline in a game that should have no shortage of debauchery.
Wilson: North Carolina +175
- Spread: Notre Dame -5.5
- Over/Under: 68
- Date: Friday, Nov. 27
- Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
- TV: ABC
- Location: Chapel Hill, N.C.
Notre Dame's defense ranks outside the top 70 in both pass and rush explosiveness. That could spell trouble against an ultra-explosive North Carolina offense that ranks top-25 in both.
UNC has a top-5 offense nationally that should be able to expose a Notre Dame secondary that can be beat deep. Eleven players have been burned for 20-yard passes on this defense when targeted. The secondary has also missed way too many missed tackles; Shaun Crawford has nine alone.
The UNC defense won't get many stops and should get pushed around at the line of scrimmage, but it can get pressure on opposing quarterbacks. Getting to Ian Book to force a turnover or putting ND behind the sticks could lead to a stop or two that could ultimately be the difference in a potential shootout.
