Tennessee vs. Purdue Odds
| Tennessee Odds | -1 |
| Purdue Odds | +1 |
| Over/Under | 58.5 |
| Date | Dec. 30 |
| Location | Nissan Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee |
Tennessee is set to take on Purdue in the Music City Bowl on Dec. 30 at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee. Find our expert's projected odds, a recap of each team's seasons, plus more information on the Music City Bowl below.
Tennessee vs. Purdue Projected Odds
| Tennessee Spread | -4 |
| Purdue Spread | +4 |
| Over/Under | 62.8 |
These Tennessee vs. Purdue projections are based on Collin Wilson's college football power ratings, which help power our PRO Projections — they compare all of his projections to real-time college football odds in order to easily identify betting edges.
How Tennessee Reached the Music City Bowl
Tennessee became a completely different team when it permanently switched from Joe Milton to Hendon Hooker under center after the Florida game on Sept. 25. From that point on, the Volunteers went 5-3 with losses to Alabama, Ole Miss and Georgia, none of which they should be embarrassed by.
Head coach Josh Heupel showed in one season that he could be the guy to lead Tennessee to the promised land. Of course, it may take him a bit more time to fully develop the program into his team.
Heupel took a time that was ranked 109th of 128 in scoring offense last season (21.5 points per game) to 21st in the nation this season (38.8).
Hooker was really, really good for the Vols ever since taking over as the starter. He threw for 2,567 yards, 26 touchdowns and just three interceptions. Tennessee’s top pass catcher is Cedric Tillman, who had 931 receiving yards and nine touchdowns.
The Vols finished with a 5-7 record against the spread.
How Purdue Reached the Music City Bowl
Few teams in the country were better at Purdue in the passing game — on both sides of the ball.
Quarterback Aidan O’Connell led the nation’s eighth-ranked unit in yards per game through the air (340.8), while the Boilermakers’ secondary was just outside the top 20.
Purdue filled bettors’ pockets down the stretch, covering four of the final five.
Head coach Jeff Brohm was particularly excellent in the underdog role, upsetting three teams: Nebraska, and a couple of then-Top-5 programs in Michigan State and Iowa.
The 8-4 clip is the best so far for Brohm, who took the position in 2017.
Tennessee vs. Purdue Matchup Analysis
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Tennessee and Purdue match up statistically:
Tennessee Offense vs. Purdue Defense
 |  Offense |  Defense |  Edge |
| Rush Success | 20 | 37 | |
| Line Yards | 17 | 38 | |
| Pass Success | 35 | 20 | |
| Pass Blocking** | 109 | 55 | |
| Big Play | 31 | 69 | |
| Havoc | 30 | 22 | |
| Finishing Drives | 30 | 34 |  |
| ** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.) | |||
Purdue Offense vs. Tennessee Defense
| Offense | Defense | Edge |
| Rush Success | 128 | 54 | |
| Line Yards | 105 | 89 | |
| Pass Success | 8 | 63 | |
| Pass Blocking** | 40 | 116 | |
| Big Play | 27 | 90 | |
| Havoc | 37 | 43 | |
| Finishing Drives | 59 | 104 | |
| ** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.) | |||
Pace of Play / Other
| | |
| PFF Tackling | 86 | 32 |
| Coverage | 67 | 91 |
| Middle 8 | 67 | 57 |
| SP+ Special Teams | 9 | 118 |
| Plays per Minute | 1 | 100 |
| Rush Rate | 60.6% (24) | 40.5% (125) |
Music City Bowl Date, Time, TV, More Info
- Date: Dec. 30
- Time: 3 p.m. ET
- Location: Nissan Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee
- TV Info: ESPN
