Texas A&M vs. Missouri Odds
| Texas A&M Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-2.5 -105 | 48.5 -110o / -110u | -135 |
| Missouri Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+2.5 -115 | 48.5 -110o / -110u | +115 |
Even though we were one pick away last week from cashing out, we move forward with another SGP in Week 6. This time it features two ranked teams in the 25th-ranked Texas A&M Aggies (4-1) and the 9th-ranked Missouri Tigers (4-0).
Texas A&M is coming off a hard-fought battle against Arkansas, winning 21-17 at AT&T Stadium. Backup quarterback Marcel Reed held strong throwing for 163 yards and 2 touchdowns, and Le’Veon Moss had himself a game, running for 117 yards.
Missouri is a program on the rise, but it’s not without its challenges. The Tigers started the season dominating lesser opponents, but it wasn’t so easy once the competition showed up. They still came out with victories against Boston College (27-21) and Vanderbilt (30-27), but it showed there’s more work to do.
So, let’s dive into this same-game parlay that I built on BetMGM with +950 odds in this SEC matchup where I offer predictions for Texas A&M vs. Missouri.
Texas A&M vs. Missouri Picks, Predictions, Same-Game Parlay
- Texas A&M 1H -2.5
- Missouri -2.5
- Luther Burden III 60+ Receiving Yards
Parlay Odds: +950
Please always remember to bet responsibly. SGPs are long shots for a reason.
First-Half Spread: Texas A&M 1H -2.5
The Aggies’ story is so fascinating when they play ranked opponents. Perhaps, it’ll be a different story with Mike Elko calling the shots this season, but it’s hard to ignore the history.
In the last 10 matchups against ranked opponents, Texas A&M is 2-8. In four of those games, the Aggies were up at half, not including one in which they were tied.
The jury’s still out on whether Conner Weigman will return from a shoulder injury. He returned to practice this week, but if I had to guess, Elko will continue to hold him out until he’s close to 100%.
Redshirt freshman Marcel Reed has done a solid job holding down the fort, going 3-0 and avoiding any turnovers. Had Reed not been as successful, then we’d probably see Weigman starting.
Offensively, A&M is legit. It excels in the run game, led by Moss and it ranks 17th in Rushing Success Rate. Passing the ball runs hot and cold, but is much more successful throwing for completion of downs – ranking 44th in Passing Down SR.
Nonetheless, playing in College Station is always an experience, especially for visiting teams. The 12th Man will always come in hot, ready to spook the opposition. Missouri quarterback Brady Cook gave the fans some bulletin board material over the week, I’m envisioning Kyle Field to be louder than ever.
During the Aggie Football Hour, Texas A&M head coach Mike Elko: "It has been interesting that we've had people call out Kyle Field a little bit. I heard their quarterback say today that it's louder in practice than it is at Kyle Field. To me, that's a challenge to the 12th Man."
— TexAgs (@TexAgs) October 3, 2024
With that, expect the Aggies to get hot early like they usually do in front of the 12th Man. The big question is: Can they sustain it?
Spread: Missouri -2.5
While this is more of a fade toward the Aggies in the second half, we can’t discount Missouri’s talent.
The run game and run defense are incredibly efficient. Offensively, it’s ranking 15th in SR, while also placing 10th in rush defense SR.
Cook has also been a crucial part of this offense, completing 68.6% of his passes and ranking 12th in Passing Play SR. Cook’s propensity to throw the deep ball has certainly dwindled though, as Missouri is a bottom-of-the-barrel program in explosive passing plays this season.
According to Bill Connelly of ESPN, Cook attempted 3.3 deep shots last season and completed 42% of them. This season, he’s only 1-7. With big play maestros Luther Burden III, Theo Wease and Mookie Cooper at his disposal, the fire must be rekindled in order to compete for a College Football Playoff spot.
With all the talent here, I can see the first half being more or less the Tigers not being prepared and perhaps a little rusty after a bye week. The second half will be where Mizzou bounces back with the win.
Luther Burden III Prop: 60+ Receiving Yards
OK, so I know 60 yards isn’t a massive number, especially since Burden cleared that number quite a bit last season.
But Burden started off the season a little slower than expected. It was probably more of a slow burn against lesser opponents, but I see Burden going off this time. In Week 3, he hauled in 117 yards against Boston College and Week 4 came out with 76 yards against Vanderbilt for three touchdowns.
I mentioned Cook’s inability to convert on explosive plays this season and perhaps to start, it may not come easy to him due to the atmosphere at Kyle Field. Eventually, though, Cook is going to have to convert on his deep shots.
With Burden, Wease and Cooper who all can create separation at a high level, I believe that the big-play slump will end. Especially when you take into account A&M’s inability to hold onto a lead.
Burden will be a big part of that. I can only see his receiving numbers skyrocketing as the season progresses and Mizzou forces itself into the SEC elite.
