The Texas Longhorns (11-1, 7-1 SEC) face the Georgia Bulldogs (10-2, 6-2) for the second time this season when they meet in the 2024 SEC Championship on Saturday. Kickoff is set for 4 p.m. ET on ABC.
Texas has suffered only 1 loss on the season — but it came against this very Georgia team. The Bulldogs downed the Longhorns, 30-15, in Austin on Oct. 19.
Since then, Texas has rattled off 5 straight wins, including a clutch 17-7 victory over rival Texas A&M last week to clinch a spot in this SEC title game.
Georgia, meanwhile, has taken 2 losses — a 41-34 defeat at Alabama in one of the best games of the season and a 28-10 loss at Ole Miss.
Texas enters this game as a -2.5 favorite with the over/under set at 49.5.
Let's take a look at our Texas vs. Georgia picks and college football predictions for the 2024 SEC Championship on Saturday, Dec. 7.
Texas vs. Georgia Odds
| Texas Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3 -105 | 51 -110o / -110u | -155 |
| Georgia Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3 -115 | 51 -110o / -110u | +130 |
- Texas vs. Georgia Spread: Texas -3 · Georgia +3
- Texas vs. Georgia Over/Under: 51
- Texas vs. Georgia Moneyline: Texas -155 · Georgia +130
Plenty is on the line in Atlanta on Saturday when Texas and Georgia square off in the SEC Championship game.
For Texas, it’s an opportunity to win the SEC in its first-ever season in the conference.
A win would also give the Longhorns a bye into the quarterfinals of the College Football Playoff, where they would either be the No. 1 or 2 overall seed, depending on what happens in the Big Ten Championship game.
For Georgia, the game is similarly important — it’s a chance to raise another SEC Title banner.
With a win, the Bulldogs would also earn a CFP bye, and likely the No. 2 seed, but a loss could see them fall to the No. 7 or 8 seed.
Unlike the rest of the Power Conference Championship games, this matchup will be a rematch of the Oct. 19 game, where Georgia went into Austin and beat the Longhorns 30-15.
Despite the Bulldogs winning the first battle between these two, Vegas has Texas as a 2.5-point favorite on the spread with a 49.5-point over/under.
We polled our staff for their leans on the side and total.
Texas vs. Georgia Predictions, Picks, Best Bets
Texas vs. Georgia Spread
Our Spread Pick: Texas -2.5
Our staff believes Texas will cover the 2.5-point spread in the rematch.
The Longhorns should be the more motivated team, as they’re looking to avenge a brutal home loss from earlier in the year.
Despite the head-to-head loss, Texas has been the better offense and defense this year. Texas ranks 26th nationally in Success Rate and 39th in Success Rate allowed, while Georgia ranks 46th in Success Rate and 55th in Success Rate allowed.
The game should be close, evidenced by the spread being only a few points. Still, the edge lies with the Longhorns, even in a pseudo-neutral site game in Atlanta.
Our staff expects head coach Steve Sarkisian and quarterback Quinn Ewers to scheme a great game plan, win the SEC Championship, and secure a first-round bye in the College Football Playoff.
Texas vs. Georgia Over/Under
Over 49.5 | 3 Picks |
Pass | 3 Picks |
Under 49.5 | 4 Picks |
Our Over/Under Pick: Under 49.5
By Greg Liodice
Our staff is torn on the total, and rightfully so. You can make a compelling argument for either side.
Texas has a unique dynamic — it can roll out two elite quarterbacks with different skill sets. Quinn Ewers will see most of the snaps, but Arch Manning brings a more dynamic dual-threat aspect.
That said, the Longhorns haven’t been as explosive as expected, especially as Ewers dealt with a nagging injury. Only 30% of Texas games have gone over the closing total.
On the other hand, half of Georgia's games have gone over the closing over/under.
The Bulldogs have been inconsistent on offense, and Carson Beck has seemingly regressed from last year.
But Georgia’s defense is still elite, keeping the team in every game even as the offense has flailed. The Bulldogs lead the nation in Explosiveness allowed, which should affect Ewers’ ability to launch the long ball.
Personally, I lean toward the under in this matchup between two exceptional defenses and questionable offenses.
