The Texas Tech Red Raiders (6-4, 4-3 Big 12) make the trip to Stillwater on Saturday afternoon to take on the Oklahoma State Cowboys (3-7, 0-7) in a Big 12 battle. Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
Texas Tech is coming off a bye, but the week before that, the Red Raiders suffered a 41-27 loss at the hands of Colorado in part due to some questionable officiating calls.
Oklahoma State, meanwhile, has yet to win a conference game and is coming off 1 38-13 drubbing against TCU in Fort Worth.
Texas Tech enters this game as a -3.5 favorite with an over/under 66. Let's dive into my Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State predictions and college football picks for Saturday, Nov. 23.
Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State Prediction
- Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State Pick: Oklahoma State +3.5
My Oklahoma State vs. Texas Tech best bet is on the Cowboys to cover the spread, with the best line currently available at bet365, according to our live NCAAF odds page.
Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State Odds
| Texas Tech Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3.5 -110 | 66 -110 / -110 | -170 |
| Oklahoma State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3.5 -110 | 66 -110 / -110 | +145 |
- Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State Spread: Texas Tech -3.5 (-110) · Oklahoma State +3.5 (-110)
- Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State Over/Under: 66
- Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State Moneyline: Texas Tech -170 · Oklahoma State +145
Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State Preview
Who wants to back the corpse of Oklahoma State, which will amazingly play its first meaningless game (zero postseason chance) under Mike Gundy since 2005? I might be on an island with this one.
I've avoided the Pokes like the plague all season with one exception, which came after their first bye week when they got an easy cover at BYU in a game they should have won outright.
Well, I'm going back to the well following their second bye week; Gundy has gone 28-18 ATS (60.9%) with extra time to prepare.
I think this extremely veteran team will actually show up with a prideful effort in their final home game, trying to avoid a winless Big 12 campaign.
Plus, I'm not sure where Texas Tech is at mentally. The Red Raiders have already clinched bowl eligibility and were essentially eliminated from Big 12 contention in their most recent game in a loss at home vs. Colorado prior to their own second bye week.
For what it's worth, the Red Raiders got blasted by 24 at home after their first bye. Plus, they're also still pretty beat up on both sides of the ball. I could see them coming out extremely flat.
It's possible that running back Tahj Brooks just runs wild against a porous Pokes run defense that has been decimated by injuries.
However, even if that's the case, there's no reason why Oklahoma State can't keep up against a terrible Texas Tech defense I have rated in the same neighborhood as Oklahoma State's. This could easily turn into a shootout.
Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State Matchup Analysis
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Texas Tech and Oklahoma State match up statistically:
Texas Tech Offense vs. Oklahoma State Defense
 | Offense |  Defense |  Edge |
| Rush Success | 65 | 102 | |
| Line Yards | 52 | 125 | |
| Pass Success | 87 | 112 | |
| Havoc | 57 | 101 | |
| Finishing Drives | 17 | 51 | |
| Quality Drives | 47 | 108 | |
Oklahoma State Offense vs. Texas Tech Defense
| Offense | Defense | Edge |
| Rush Success | 101 | 72 | |
| Line Yards | 83 | 44 | |
| Pass Success | 44 | 102 | |
| Havoc | 20 | 112 | |
| Finishing Drives | 50 | 75 | |
| Quality Drives | 99 | 110 | |
Pace of Play / Other
| | |
| PFF Tackling | 129 | 133 |
| PFF Coverage | 128 | 122 |
| Special Teams SP+ | 27 | 65 |
| Middle 8 | 54 | 93 |
| Seconds per Play | 23.6 (11) | 24.0 (14) |
| Rush Rate | 47% (102) | 44% (116) |
Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State Pick & Prediction
It's rare to see a performance from Oklahoma State under Gundy like this. However, I think he'll have his team ready to pick up its first Big 12 win on Senior Day.
For what it's worth, Texas Tech head coach Joey McGuire is 0-3 against the spread as the road favorite of three-plus points, failing to cover by an average of 15 points per game. The Red Raiders lost all three of those games outright.
It was difficult to hit the submit button on this Oklahoma State team, but I have a gut feeling it shows up — and I project this under a field goal.
Pick: Oklahoma State +3.5 or Better
Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State Start Time, TV Channel, Location, How to Watch
| Location: | Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, OK |
| Date: | Saturday, Nov. 23 |
| Kickoff Time: | 3:30 p.m. ET |
| TV / Streaming: | ESPN+ |
Texas Tech heads to Stillwater on Saturday, Nov. 23 to take on Oklahoma State at 3:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
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