UCF vs Arizona State Prediction, Pick, Odds for Saturday, Nov. 9

UCF vs Arizona State Prediction, Pick, Odds for Saturday, Nov. 9 article feature image
Credit:

Mark Goldman/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: UCF Knights head coach Gus Malzahn walks off the field following the University of Central Florida game versus the Navy on October 2, 2021 at Navy – Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, MD.

This article contains predictions for an old game.

With so many betting markets at our disposal, we're keeping things simple for UCF (4-5, 2-4 Big 12) vs. Arizona State (6-2, 3-2).

Nope, no player props, alternates, parlays or other crazy markets; the best bet for UCF vs. Arizona State is the moneyline — straight-up, picking which team will win.

Odds are tight for Saturday of college football Week 11, but our PRO calculations suggest value.

Arizona State enters as a -2.5 favorite with the over/under at 56.

Let's dive into my UCF vs Arizona State predictions and college football picks for Saturday, Nov. 9.

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UCF vs Arizona State Prediction, Picks

  • UCF vs. Arizona State Pick: UCF +120

My Arizona State vs UCF best bet is on the Knights to win outright, with the best line currently available at ESPN Bet, according to our live NCAAF odds page.


UCF vs Arizona State Odds

UCF Logo
Saturday, Nov. 9
7 p.m. ET
ESPN2
Arizona St Logo
UCF Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+2.5
-110
56
-110o / -110u
+115
Arizona St Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-2.5
-110
56
-110o / -110u
-135
Odds via Caesars. Get up-to-the-minute NCAAF odds here.
Caesars Logo
  • UCF vs Arizona State Spread: UCF +2.5 (-110) · Arizona State -2.5 (-110)
  • UCF vs Arizona State Over/Under: 56
  • UCF vs Arizona State Moneyline: UCF +120 · Arizona State -140


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UCF vs Arizona State College Football Preview

UCF Knights Betting Preview: Sliding After Solid Start

"It was all good just two months ago."

September was fun for UCF: 3-0, the offense humming and bright hopes in the Big 12.

Then it all fell apart. Quarterback KJ Jefferson was benched, the team went on a losing streak, and now the Knights are just looking to play spoiler.

If there's any caveat, the Knights got on the board last week with a huge rout of Arizona, 56-12.

UCF is awesome in the trenches on both sides, ranking great in Line Yards and Rush Success Rate, generating a push up front and taking advantage.

Running back RJ Harvey's been the workhorse, surpassing more than 1,200 rushing yards so far.


Arizona State Sun Devils Betting Preview: Big 12 Surprise

Kenny Dillingham's beginning to see big gains in his home state. His Sun Devils are 6-2 overall and against the spread this season.

Arizona State has been one of the best bets in the country, frankly. This team has been in the game in both of its losses, failing to cover by just a couple of points.

UCF ranks second nationally in rushing, but Arizona State's no slouch either, ranking top-20 in rush yards per game.


UCF vs Arizona State Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how UCF and Arizona State match up statistically:

UCF Offense vs. Arizona State Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success343
Line Yards445
Pass Success9859
Havoc7281
Finishing Drives7093
Quality Drives3870
Arizona State Offense vs. UCF Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success611
Line Yards1714
Pass Success4191
Havoc768
Finishing Drives58110
Quality Drives2479
Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling8479
PFF Coverage6666
Special Teams SP+76126
Middle 85213
Seconds per Play24.7 (23)27.4 (76)
Rush Rate65% (9)63% (11)

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How To Make College Football Picks For My UCF vs Arizona State Prediction

UCF is in a great spot, both historically and per our PRO models. Unranked road teams that are short underdogs with a high total have won more than 50% of the time.

That implies about a fair moneyline price of +100. Grabbing UCF at a market-best +130 makes sense as a solid bet.

Also, PRO Projections back up the road team here: Our Action models make the fair price UCF +108.

Pick: UCF +130


UCF vs Arizona State Start Time, Channel, Streaming, How to Watch

Location:Mountain America Stadium, Tempe, AZ
Date:Saturday, Nov. 9
Kickoff Time:7 p.m. ET
TV / Streaming:ESPN2

UCF head to Tempe, Arizona, on Saturday to take on Arizona State at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN2.


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About the Author
Alex began his career as a freelancer before becoming a columnist, reporter, and breaking news writer for FanRag Sports, and later the leading gambling writer at theScore. He joined the Action Network as a senior news editor, handling breaking news and the sports betting market's reactions. Alex also works on Action Network’s PRO projections, transforming subscription-based models into user-friendly content.

Follow Alex Kolodziej @KolodziejAlex on Twitter/X.

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