Colorado State is in a flat-out horrendous spot Saturday of college football Week 4. I'll show you how to best bet against them in their game against UTEP.
Let me introduce you to one of our "fade" betting models, which pinged Colorado State for Week 4, and provided a UTEP vs. Colorado State pick to consider.
The Rams lost to arch-rival Colorado last week in their biggest game of the year. They're favored to beat UTEP in Week 4 by multiple scores.
Also, let's get something out of the way: The betting angle against Colorado State has absolutelynothing to do with playing Colorado last week.
But the fact that Colorado State is dealing with emotions off last week's loss to the Buffaloes makes the pick even more enticing.
UTEP vs. Colorado State Pick Saturday of College Football Week 4
| UTEP Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+9.5 -110 | 49.5 -115o / -106u | +275 |
| Colorado St Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-9.5 -110 | 49.5 -115o / -106u | -360 |
Teams like Colorado State are in an awful spot, based off what happened last week — again, not who they played.
Let's analyze the basics, in a vacuum: The Rams lost 28-9.
Now, they're favored by 9.5 against the spread. The moneyline is -360, implying Colorado State a 78.2% chance to win.
Guess what?
According to the Scoring Streak Fade PRO System, home favorites coming off a game where they scored single-digit points