Washington State at San Diego State Prediction, Odds, Picks — October 26, 2024

Washington State at San Diego State Prediction, Odds, Picks — October 26, 2024 article feature image
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Photo by Oliver McKenna/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Carlos Hernandez

This article contains predictions for an old game.

Washington State (6-1) hits the road to take on San Diego State (3-3) on Saturday, October 26.

The game kicks off at 10:30 p.m. ET and can be seen live on CBS Sports Network.

The Cougars are coming off a beatdown of Hawaii, 42-10, while the Aztecs have won two straight, including a 27-24 victory at Wyoming.

Wazzu comes in as 14-point favorites in the contest with a total set at 58.

Where does the betting value lie? Read more for my Washington State vs San Diego State predictions and my college football picks for Saturday.


Washington State vs San Diego State Odds

Washington St Logo
Saturday, Oct 26
10:30 p.m. ET
CBS Sports Network
San Diego St Logo
Washington St Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-14.5
-110
57
-110o / -110u
-650
San Diego St Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+14.5
-110
57
-110o / -110u
+475
Odds via Caesars. Get up-to-the-minute NCAAF odds here.
Caesars Logo
  • Washington State vs San Diego State Point Spread: Washington State -14.5 (-110) · San Diego State +14.5 (-110)
  • Washington State vs San Diego State Total: Over/Under 57 (-110o / -110u)
  • Washington State vs San Diego State Moneyline: Washington State -600 · San Diego State +430


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Washington State vs San Diego State Picks and Predictions

  • Washington State vs San Diego State Picks: Washington State -14.5

Prediction

My Washington State vs San Diego State best bet is on the Cougars to cover the spread, with the best line currently available at bet365, according to our live NCAAF odds page.

Spread

I'm backing the Cougars.

Over/Under

PASS

Moneyline

PASS


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Washington State Cougars vs San Diego State Aztecs College Football Preview

Washington State Cougars Betting Preview: Coming in Hot

Washington State has been playing really good football this year and comes into this one off an impressive home win against Hawaii.

The Cougars controlled the first half, racing out to a 21-3 halftime lead and played lockdown defense in the second half to leave no doubt.

Washington State scored on its first three possessions of the second half and ended its last possession by taking knees in the red zone.

Hawaii found it tough to get anything going offensively, as its run-and-gun pass game continues to be inefficient.


San Diego State Aztecs Betting Preview: A Tall Task Ahead

San Diego State is coming off a bye week after previously defeating Wyoming on the road.

The Aztecs continued to run Sean Lewis’ “Flash Fast” offense that he made famous at Kent State. In reality, as we like to say here at Action Network, they're going nowhere fast.

SDSU does have two close squeaker wins against two Mountain West bottom feeders but is facing a significantly better opponent this week.

It could be much more difficult on the offense this week against an underrated Wazzu defense.

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Washington State vs San Diego State Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Washington State and San Diego State match up statistically:

Washington State Offense vs. San Diego State Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success55115
Line Yards81130
Pass Success2919
Havoc7666
Finishing Drives4262
Quality Drives2454
San Diego State Offense vs. Washington State Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success13263
Line Yards7958
Pass Success11176
Havoc11097
Finishing Drives13056
Quality Drives12294
Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling13268
PFF Coverage3316
Special Teams SP+100119
Middle 83759
Seconds per Play25.0 (26)24.6 (20)
Rush Rate54% (72)56% (58)

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How To Make College Football Picks For My Washington State vs San Diego Prediction

I'm laying the points here and taking Washington State -14.

San Diego State has won its last two games despite being outgained and achieving fewer first downs than its opponent. The offense has struggled to run the ball this year, averaging just 3.5 yards per carry with just six explosive rushes all season.

The Aztecs are 128th nationally in Offensive Havoc allowed and have allowed 47 tackles for loss and 13 sacks on the season.

Defensively, Washington State has allowed some yards between the 20s but has bowed up in the red zone nicely. Wazzu is 56th nationally in Defensive Finishing Drives and is allowing touchdowns on just 55% of red zone trips.

San Diego State is just 131st in Offensive Finishing Drives and has settled for field goals or failed fourth-down attempts in the red zone far too frequently.

I really like what the Cougars should be able to do on offense here against the SDSU defense. Quarterback John Mateer has been electric this year, completing 60% of his passes for 1,896 yards and 16 touchdowns on the season. He also leads the team in rushing with 533 yards and eight scores on the ground.

Washington State has focused more on running the football and has seen success compared to prior seasons. Wazzu is 31st nationally in Offensive EPA Per Rush and fourth in Rush Play Explosiveness.

The Aztecs' rushing numbers have been respectable, but the offenses that they've lined up against so far this season have been weak. This will be the stiffest test for SDSU in the trenches that it's seen all season.

The Washington State defense has done well this year in shutting down some fairly potent offenses. It was able to contain both Texas Tech and Washington early in the season and have locked in on defense in its most recent contests against Fresno State and Hawaii.

The team has responded well since a road loss to Boise State earlier in the year.

San Diego State struggled badly when facing similar competition in Oregon State and California, failing to cover the spread in both games while only scoring 10 total points. A couple of wins against two of the softer opponents in the Mountain West Conference — which required fourth-quarter comebacks in each — isn't sustainable.

With the schedule getting tougher, I expect SDSU to revert to what we expected from it at the beginning of this season. Inefficient offense and weak interior defensive line play will cause the Aztecs to struggle in this game.

Pick: Washington State -14.5 (-110, bet365)

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Washington State vs San Diego State Start Time, TV Channel, Location, How to Watch

Location:Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, CA
Date:Saturday, Oct. 26
Kickoff Time:10:30 p.m. ET
TV / Streaming:CBS Sports Network

Washington State takes on San Diego State in San Diego, CA, on Saturday, Oct. 26, at 10:30 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network.



Washington State vs San Diego State Weather

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About the Author
Joshua Nunn is a writer at Action Network who specializes in betting college football, and specifically games at the FCS level. He is a seasoned college football and college basketball bettor who previously worked in the financial services industry.

Follow Joshua Nunn @steponaduck1 on Twitter/X.

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