Three weeks remain, and we have 51 bowl-eligible teams for 82 spots. This doesn't include James Madison and Jacksonville State, who are in the process of transitioning from FCS to FBS.
If there aren't enough bowl-eligible teams, JMU and JSU will be selected first to fill any openings, followed by teams with 5-7 records. I’m still projecting there won’t be enough bowl-eligible teams to fill all of the spots.
Here are my Week 11 projections — and each projection includes the projected point spread for each bowl based on Action Network senior writer Collin Wilson’s updated college football betting power ratings.
CFP National Championship Prediction
College Football Playoff Semifinals Projections
Rose Bowl Jan. 1 • Pasadena, CA Michigan -4 Florida State | Allstate Sugar Bowl Jan. 1 • New Orleans, LA Georgia -0.5 Oregon |
New Year's Six Bowl Games
Vrbo Fiesta Bowl Jan. 1 • Glendale, AZ Washington Alabama -2 | Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl Dec. 30 • Atlanta, GA Penn State -14 Tulane |
Capital One Orange Bowl Dec. 30 • Miami, FL Ohio State -11 Louisville | Goodyear Cotton Bowl Dec. 29 • Arlington, TX Texas Ole Miss -0.5 |
Projections for All Other Bowl Games
Cheez-It Citrus Bowl Jan. 1 • Orlando, FL Missouri -13 Iowa | ReliaQuest Bowl Jan. 1 • Tampa, FL Notre Dame -0.5 LSU | Arizona Bowl Dec. 30 • Tucson, AZ Utah State -10.5 E. Michigan | Music City Bowl Dec. 30 • Nashville, TN Auburn -3.5 Wisconsin | AutoZone Liberty Bowl Dec. 29 • Memphis, TN Kentucky Kansas State -5 | Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl Dec. 29 • El Paso, TX Miami Oregon State -7 | TaxSlayer Gator Bowl Dec. 29 • Jacksonville, FL Tennessee -17 Georgia Tech | Valero Alamo Bowl Dec. 28 • San Antonio, TX Oklahoma St. Utah -4.5 | Pop-Tarts Bowl Dec. 28 • Orlando, FL UNC Kansas -0.5 | Pinstripe Bowl Dec. 28 • Bronx, NY NC State -1.5 Rutgers | Wasabi Fenway Bowl Dec. 28 • Boston, MA Boston College UTSA -6 | TaxAct Texas Bowl Dec. 27 • Houston, TX Texas A&M Oklahoma PK | Holiday Bowl Dec. 27 • San Diego, CA Clemson -0.5 USC | Duke's Mayo Bowl Dec. 27 • Charlotte, NC Duke -1 Florida | Military Bowl Dec. 27 • Annapolis, MD Virginia Tech SMU -4 | Guaranteed Rate Bowl Dec. 26 • Phoenix, AZ Maryland -5 Houston | First Responder Bowl Dec. 26 • Dallas, TX UNLV -3.5 Texas State | Quick Lane Bowl Dec. 26 • Detroit, MI Minnesota -4.5 Miami OH | EasyPost Hawai'i Bowl Dec. 23 • Honolulu, HI Fresno State -2 Memphis | Las Vegas Bowl Dec. 23 • Las Vegas, NV Arizona -8.5 Nebraska | 68 Ventures Bowl Dec. 23 • Mobile, AL Arkansas St. Jacksonville St. -3 | Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Dec. 23 • Boise, ID Boise State -9.5 NIU | Armed Forces Bowl Dec. 23 • Fort Worth, TX West Virginia -4.5 Illinois | Camellia Bowl Dec. 23 • Montgomery, AL Louisiana -3.5 Rice | Birmingham Bowl Dec. 23 • Birmingham, AL Mississippi St. -6.5 Northwestern | Gasparilla Bowl Dec. 22 • Tampa, FL Coastal Carolina -1.5 South Florida | Boca Raton Bowl Dec. 21 • Boca Raton, FL Georgia Southern Ohio -1 | Frisco Bowl Dec. 19 • Frisco, TX Wyoming -1 Marshall | Myrtle Beach Bowl Dec. 18 • Conway, SC Georgia St. -9 Bowling Green | Independence Bowl Dec. 16 • Shreveport, LA Iowa State -2.5 Washington St. | LA Bowl Dec. 16 • Inglewood, CA UCLA -9.5 Air Force | New Mexico Bowl Dec. 16 • Albuquerque, NM Colorado St. New Mexico St. -1 | Cure Bowl Dec. 16 • Orlando, FL JMU -4 Toledo | New Orleans Bowl Dec. 16 • New Orleans, LA Liberty Troy -4 | Bahamas Bowl Dec. 16 • Charlotte, NC C. Michigan WKU -6.5 |