Week 11 College Football Bowl Projections: Brett McMurphy’s Updated Predictions & Projected Spreads

Week 11 College Football Bowl Projections: Brett McMurphy’s Updated Predictions & Projected Spreads article feature image
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Justin Ford/Getty Images. Pictured: Alabama’s Jalen Milroe.

Three weeks remain, and we have 51 bowl-eligible teams for 82 spots. This doesn't include James Madison and Jacksonville State, who are in the process of transitioning from FCS to FBS.

If there aren't enough bowl-eligible teams, JMU and JSU will be selected first to fill any openings, followed by teams with 5-7 records. I’m still projecting there won’t be enough bowl-eligible teams to fill all of the spots.

Here are my Week 11 projections — and each projection includes the projected point spread for each bowl based on Action Network senior writer Collin Wilson’s updated college football betting power ratings.

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CFP National Championship Prediction

National Championship
Jan. 8
Houston, TX
Georgia
Michigan
-0.5

College Football Playoff Semifinals Projections


New Year's Six Bowl Games


Projections for All Other Bowl Games


*The highest-rated champion from the Group of Five conferences (American, Conference USA, Mid-American, Mountain West and Sun Belt) will be selected to play in either the Peach or Fiesta Bowl if it does not qualify for the College Football Playoff.
**James Madison and Jacksonville State are in its second year transitioning from FCS to FBS. They can only receive a bid if there are not enough teams with at least six wins to fill all the bowls. This week, I do not project enough six-win teams, allowing the Dukes and Gamecocks to receive a bowl berth.

About the Author
Brett is "America's College Football Insider" for The Action Network. Brett was nominated twice for a Pulitzer Prize in investigative reporting, but wasn’t a nominee finalist. A long-time voter in the AP Top 25 poll and for the Heisman Trophy, Brett was named the 2019 Beat Writer of the Year by the Football Writers Association of America. Before joining The Action Network, Brett’s previous stops included ESPN, CBS Sports, the New York Times, Stadium, AOL Fanhouse and the Tampa Tribune.

Follow Brett McMurphy @Brett_McMurphy on Twitter/X.

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