We all have choices. The choice to go elsewhere for your College Football Playoff and bowl projections. But, seriously, why would you?
In the past 24 hours, I reported the exact order of the 12 teams in Tuesday night’s CFP rankings and earlier broke the first two official bowl matchups (Hawaii and Salute to Veterans). To quote Larry David: pretty, pretty good.
Perfection. Nailed it! https://t.co/3PiDC6KxbO
— Brett McMurphy (@Brett_McMurphy) December 4, 2024
Yeah, yeah, so what? That’s old news, I know. What do I have for today? Well, here are my very, very latest updated projections based on my latest information following Tuesday’s CFP rankings.
Again, these are based on the following conference champions: Oregon (Big Ten), Texas (SEC), SMU (ACC), Arizona State (Big 12) and UNLV (Mountain West). If any of those five teams don’t win their conference championships, then these projections might as well have been drawn in sand on the beach at high tide.
My very, very latest Week 15 bowl projections include the projected point spread of each matchup from Action Network senior writer Collin Wilson’s betting power ratings.
Projected College Football Playoff Field
*Conference champions projected to receive automatic bids
1 | Oregon* | Big Ten | ||||
2 | Texas* | SEC | ||||
3 | SMU* | ACC | ||||
4 | Arizona State* | Big 12 | ||||
5 | Notre Dame | Independent | ||||
6 | Penn State | Big Ten |
7 | Georgia | SEC | ||||
8 | Ohio State | Big Ten | ||||
9 | Tennessee | SEC | ||||
10 | Indiana | Big Ten | ||||
11 | Alabama | SEC | ||||
12 | UNLV* | MWC |
College Football Playoff First Round
CFP First Round Dec. 20 • Columbus, OH Tennessee Ohio State -3 | CFP First Round Dec. 21 • South Bend, IN UNLV Notre Dame -15.5 |
CFP First Round Dec. 21 • State College, PA Alabama -1.5 Penn State | CFP First Round Dec. 21 • Athens, GA Indiana Georgia -6.5 |
College Football Playoff Quarterfinals
Vrbo Fiesta Bowl Dec. 31 • Glendale, AZ Arizona State Notre Dame -11.5 | Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl Jan. 1 • Atlanta, GA SMU Penn State -4.5 |
Rose Bowl Jan. 1 • Pasadena, CA Oregon -1.5 Ohio State | Allstate Sugar Bowl Jan. 1 • New Orleans, LA Texas -3.5 Georgia |
College Football Playoff Semifinals
Capital One Orange Bowl Jan. 9 • Miami, FL Georgia -2.5 Penn State | Goodyear Cotton Bowl Jan. 10 • Arlington, TX Oregon -3 Notre Dame |
CFP National Championship Prediction
Projections for All Other Bowl Games
Note: Teams with an asterisk are confirmed to be playing in their respective bowl games, according to Action Network's Brett McMurphy.
Bahamas Bowl Jan. 4 • Nassau, Bahamas Buffalo Liberty -5 | Duke's Mayo Bowl Jan. 3 • Charlotte, NC Minnesota -4 Virginia Tech | First Responder Bowl Jan. 3 • Dallas, TX Louisiana -2.5 UTSA | TaxSlayer Gator Bowl Jan. 2 • Jacksonville, FL Ole Miss -12.5 Duke | Texas Bowl Dec. 31 • Houston, TX LSU -4.5 Baylor | Cheez-It Citrus Bowl Dec. 31 • Orlando, FL S. Carolina -8.5 Illinois | Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl Dec. 31 • El Paso, TX Syracuse Washington -2 | ReliaQuest Bowl Dec. 31 • Tampa, FL Florida -3 Michigan | Music City Bowl Dec. 30 • Nashville, TN Missouri -1.5 Iowa | Independence Bowl Dec. 28 • Shreveport, LA Army -3.5 Texas State | Valero Alamo Bowl Dec. 28 • San Antonio, TX BYU Colorado -4 | Military Bowl Dec. 28 • Annapolis, MD East Carolina NC State -8.5 | Snoop Dogg Arizona Bowl Dec. 28 • Tucson, AZ Miami OH -3.5 Colorado St. | Pop-Tarts Bowl Dec. 28 • Orlando, FL Miami -7.5 Iowa State | New Mexico Bowl Dec. 28 • Albuquerque, NM North Texas Ohio -3.5 | Pinstripe Bowl Dec. 28 • Bronx, NY Nebraska Louisville -3 | Wasabi Fenway Bowl Dec. 28 • Boston, MA Georgia Tech -2.5 Tulane | Holiday Bowl Dec. 27 • San Diego, CA Clemson -14.5 Washington St. | Las Vegas Bowl Dec. 27 • Las Vegas, NV Texas A&M -4 USC | AutoZone Liberty Bowl Dec. 27 • Memphis, TN Oklahoma TCU -0.5 | Birmingham Bowl Dec. 27 • Birmingham, AL Arkansas -7 Pittsburgh | Armed Forces Bowl Dec. 27 • Fort Worth, TX Navy Texas Tech -11 | 68 Ventures Bowl Dec. 26 • Mobile, AL Arkansas St. UConn -8 | Guaranteed Rate Bowl Dec. 26 • Phoenix, AZ Kansas State -8.5 Rutgers | GameAbove Sports Bowl Dec. 26 • Detroit, MI UNC -7 Bowling Green | Hawai'i Bowl Dec. 24 • Honolulu, HI South Florida* -2 San Jose St.* | Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Dec. 23 • Boise, ID NIU Fresno State -2.5 | Myrtle Beach Bowl Dec. 23 • Conway, SC Coastal Carolina -1 Toledo | Gasparilla Bowl Dec. 20 • Tampa, FL Vanderbilt Boston College -0.5 | StaffDNA Cure Bowl Dec. 20 • Orlando, FL Jacksonville St. Marshall -3.5 | New Orleans Bowl Dec. 19 • New Orleans, LA Georgia Southern -1 Sam Houston | LA Bowl Hosted by Gronk Dec. 18 • Inglewood, CA California Boise State -4.5 | Boca Raton Bowl Dec. 18 • Boca Raton, FL WKU JMU -5.5 | Frisco Bowl Dec. 17 • Frisco, TX West Virginia* -6 Memphis* | Salute to Veterans Bowl Dec. 14 • Montgomery, AL W. Michigan* S. Alabama* -12 |