Before proceeding with my Action Network bowl projections, I need to get something off my chest.
A lot of people took a lot of shots at my bowl projections over the last 48 hours! You know, I’m really upset and disrespected by what Lou Holtz said publicly about our team and Bowl Projections Nation, and we’re not going to stand for that! We had one bad bowl projection a couple of years ago, but every projection we’ve written, we’ve been physical. I don’t know where that came from!
Other bowl projections are fighting for clicks; we’re fighting for wins! The Cinderella story is over, man. These bowl projections ain’t gonna be played in Hollywood; they're gonna be played on the grass. We’re rooted in substance, not flash.
Let’s go!
This week’s edition of emotional bowl projections features seven schools that didn’t make last week’s projections: Colorado State, Georgia Tech, Houston, Louisiana, Texas State, Tulsa and USF.
Here are my Week 5 projections — and each projection includes the projected point spread for each bowl based on Action Network senior writer Collin Wilson’s updated college football betting power ratings.
CFP National Championship Prediction
College Football Playoff Semifinals Projections
Rose Bowl Jan. 1 • Pasadena, CA Ohio State -2.5 Florida State | Allstate Sugar Bowl Jan. 1 • New Orleans, LA Georgia -1.5 Texas |
New Year's Six Bowl Games
Vrbo Fiesta Bowl Jan. 1 • Glendale, AZ Oregon -22.5 Fresno State | Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl Dec. 30 • Atlanta, GA Washington -1.5 Michigan |
Capital One Orange Bowl Dec. 30 • Miami, FL UNC Penn State -10 | Goodyear Cotton Bowl Dec. 29 • Arlington, TX Alabama -2 USC |
Projections for All Other Bowl Games
Cheez-It Citrus Bowl Jan. 1 • Orlando, FL Texas A&M -9 Maryland | ReliaQuest Bowl Jan. 1 • Tampa, FL Notre Dame LSU -0.5 | Arizona Bowl Dec. 30 • Tucson, AZ Boise State -14 NIU | Music City Bowl Dec. 30 • Nashville, TN Florida -6.5 Illinois | AutoZone Liberty Bowl Dec. 29 • Memphis, TN Missouri -1.5 TCU | Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl Dec. 29 • El Paso, TX Syracuse Oregon State -5 | TaxSlayer Gator Bowl Dec. 29 • Jacksonville, FL Tennessee -2 Miami | Valero Alamo Bowl Dec. 28 • San Antonio, TX Oklahoma Utah PK | Pop-Tarts Bowl Dec. 28 • Orlando, FL Louisville Kansas State -7.5 | Pinstripe Bowl Dec. 28 • Bronx, NY NC State Iowa -6.5 | Wasabi Fenway Bowl Dec. 28 • Boston, MA Wake Forest Tulane -11.5 | TaxAct Texas Bowl Dec. 27 • Houston, TX Kentucky -3 Kansas | Holiday Bowl Dec. 27 • San Diego, CA Duke Washington St. -1.5 | Duke's Mayo Bowl Dec. 27 • Charlotte, NC Ole Miss Clemson -2 | Military Bowl Dec. 27 • Annapolis, MD Georgia Tech Memphis -4 | Guaranteed Rate Bowl Dec. 26 • Phoenix, AZ Rutgers UCF -6.5 | First Responder Bowl Dec. 26 • Dallas, TX Texas Tech -7 Air Force | Quick Lane Bowl Dec. 26 • Detroit, MI Minnesota -6.5 Ohio | EasyPost Hawai'i Bowl Dec. 23 • Honolulu, HI UNLV SMU -9.5 | Las Vegas Bowl Dec. 23 • Las Vegas, NV UCLA -1 Wisconsin | 68 Ventures Bowl Dec. 23 • Mobile, AL Louisiana -3 Tulsa | Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Dec. 23 • Boise, ID San Diego St. -3 Miami OH | Armed Forces Bowl Dec. 23 • Fort Worth, TX BYU -8.5 Georgia Southern | Camellia Bowl Dec. 23 • Montgomery, AL Troy -5 Navy | Birmingham Bowl Dec. 23 • Birmingham, AL S. Carolina -8.5 Oklahoma St. | Gasparilla Bowl Dec. 22 • Tampa, FL Auburn -20 South Florida | Boca Raton Bowl Dec. 21 • Boca Raton, FL Marshall Toledo -3 | Frisco Bowl Dec. 19 • Frisco, TX Houston -2.5 S. Alabama | Myrtle Beach Bowl Dec. 18 • Conway, SC Coastal Carolina Liberty PK | Independence Bowl Dec. 16 • Shreveport, LA West Virginia -1.5 Arizona | LA Bowl Dec. 16 • Inglewood, CA Colorado -0.5 Wyoming | New Mexico Bowl Dec. 16 • Albuquerque, NM Colorado St. Texas State -1 | Cure Bowl Dec. 16 • Orlando, FL App State -9 Rice | New Orleans Bowl Dec. 16 • New Orleans, LA Georgia St. -3.5 WKU | Bahamas Bowl Dec. 16 • Nassau, Bahamas C. Michigan -4 FIU |