Bears vs. Chiefs Odds & Betting Predictions - September 24, 2023
Bears at Chiefs
8:25 pm • FOXBears at Chiefs Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Bears 5-12 | +12.5-112 | o48.5-110 | +525 | |
![]() Chiefs 2-1 | -12.5-107 | u48.5-110 | -750 |

GEHA Field at Arrowhead StadiumKansas City
Bears vs. Chiefs Expert Picks

Milly Props
555d ago
Last 30d: 2-5-1 (-3.5u)
KC -12.5+162
0.81u
Builder

Brian Edwards
555d ago
Last 30d: 5-6-1 (-2.5u)
KC -7.5 (1H)+110
1.1u

Convince Me
555d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
K.Toney u28.5 Rec Yds-110
0.91u
Koerner’s prop

Nicholas Parsons
555d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
CHI +12.5-110
1.1u

Sean Zerillo
555d ago
Last 30d: 63-104-4 (-15.5u)
K.Toney u28.5 Rec Yds-115
0.5u
Via @The_Oddsmaker

Kevin Thomas
555d ago
Last 30d: 11-24-0 (-13.7u)
T.Kelce Anytime TD Scorer-145
0.69u

Sean Zerillo
555d ago
Last 30d: 63-104-4 (-15.5u)
CHI +12.5-110
0.55u

Simon Hunter
555d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 48-110
0.91u

Sean Koerner
555d ago
Last 30d: 26-31-0 (-2.0u)
K.Toney u29.5 Rec Yds-120
1u

Royals Props
555d ago
Last 30d: 56-57-1 (-9.0u)
J.Fields o60.5 Rush Yds-110
1.1u

Kyle Murray
555d ago
Last 30d: 136-150-6 (+40.7u)
K.Herbert o8.5 Rec Yds-117
1u

Steak Friend
555d ago
Last 30d: 252-301-8 (-36.9u)
CHI +12.5-110
1.1u

Royals Props
555d ago
Last 30d: 56-57-1 (-9.0u)
R.Johnson o39.5 Rush + Rec Yds-114
1u

The Degenerate
555d ago
Last 30d: 69-130-1 (-32.4u)
J.Fields o60.5 Rush Yds-110
0.55u

Joe Dellera
556d ago
Last 30d: 58-85-9 (-14.0u)
J.Watson o14.5 Longest Reception-115
0.35u

Markus Markets
556d ago
Last 30d: 36-56-3 (-15.7u)
R.Johnson o25.5 Rush Yds-120
0.83u

Brandon Anderson
556d ago
Last 30d: 8-33-0 (-7.4u)
J.Fields o52.5 Rush Yds-115
0.25u
Fields had at least 53 rushing yards in nine of 10 games to end last season. I know that. You know that. Why don't Chicago's coaches seem to know that?

The Degenerate
558d ago
Last 30d: 69-130-1 (-32.4u)
Over 48-110
1.82u

Joe Dellera
558d ago
Last 30d: 58-85-9 (-14.0u)
R.Johnson o36.5 Rush + Rec Yds-115
0.43u
Love this play by @PropBetGuy

Prop Bet Guy
558d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
R.Johnson o36.5 Rush + Rec Yds-115
1u
Over in 2/2 games, with an increasing snap count, and rumblings that he’s ticketed to take over as the starter. Even if he gets the same snap splits as last week (42%), i see several avenues for him to get to the over.
One is through receiving - he’s second on the bears in targets and probably already their best back in pass protection.
And then two is garbage time potential - this game could get out of hand in the 2H, which I think likely means we see more of him on the field.
He’s been the lone bright spot for this offense so far - I like him to keep rolling.

Sandy Plashkes
558d ago
Last 30d: 114-125-5 (-20.6u)
CHI +13-110
$55.00
Bears in shambles. No shot they cover after the worst week in franchise history.

Mjaybrod
558d ago
Last 30d: 75-100-0 (-22.5u)
Over 47.5-111
0.9u
Highest Bears total of the season, must play

Greg DiNardo
558d ago
Last 30d: 71-65-0 (+9.8u)
CHI +12.5-109
1.09u

Tanner McGrath
560d ago
Last 30d: 55-74-1 (-24.6u)
CHI +12.5-110
0.55u
Gotta do it. Fuck.

Jim Sannes
560d ago
Last 30d: 15-29-0 (+3.6u)
Over 47.5-110
0.91u
Available at FanDuel. I know the Chiefs' offense hasn't lit it up yet, but against this defense, they could push for an over here by themselves. The Bears have let up 0.50 EPA per drop back (per numberFire's EPA metric) through two games while facing Baker Mayfield and Jordan Love. Now, they have to face Patrick Mahomes on the road. I realize that a total of 47.5 requires some push back on the other side, which might be tough with Chris Jones back. But the Bears are close to desperation mode and might have to lean back into Justin Fields as a runner again. My model has this total at 50.1, even with 9 mile-per-hour winds currently in the forecast.
PRO Insights

Bears
CHI Insights
- Featured Insight
The Chiefs have a third down conversion rate of 42.0% on 3rd and long since the 2022 season -- best in NFL. The Bears defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 38.0% when defending on 3rd and long since the 2022 season -- worst in NFL.
TRY FOR FREE

Chiefs
KC Insights
- Featured Insight
The Bears are 1-8 (.111) on the road since the 2022 season -- second-worst in NFL. Chiefs are 7-2 (.778) at home since the 2022 season -- sixth-best in NFL.
TRY FOR FREE
Bears vs. Chiefs Previews & Analysis
Bears vs. Chiefs Props
Prop Projections
There are no prop projections found for the selected slate. Please check back later.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Bears vs. Chiefs Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Chiefs are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
- Chiefs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Chiefs are 4-4 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Chiefs' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Chiefs' 8 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Bears vs. Chiefs Injury Updates

Bears Injuries
- Ryan BatesOL
Bates is out with concussion
Out
- Travis HomerRB
Homer is out with hamstring
Out
- Jaylon JohnsonDB
Johnson is questionable with illness
Questionable
- Amen OgbongbemigaLB
Ogbongbemiga is questionable with hip
Questionable
- Braxton JonesOL
Jones is questionable with concussion
Questionable
- Doug KramerOL
Kramer is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
- Elijah HicksDB
Hicks is out with ankle
Out
- Gervon DexterDE
Dexter is questionable with knee
Questionable
- Kiran AmegadjieOL
Amegadjie is questionable with calf
Questionable

Chiefs Injuries
- Skyy MooreWR
Moore is doubtful with abdomen
Doubtful
- Rashee RiceWR
Rice is out with leg
Out
- Cam JonesLB
Jones is questionable with illness
Questionable
- Jared WileyTE
Wiley is out with knee
Out
Team Stats
Bears vs. Chiefs Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Bears at Chiefs Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
![]() Bears 5-12 | o18-103 | u18-127 |
![]() Chiefs 2-1 | o30.5-116 | u30.5-108 |