Lions vs. Chiefs Odds & Betting Predictions - September 8, 2023
Lions at Chiefs
12:20 am • NBCLions at Chiefs Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Lions 12-2 | +4-110 | o52.5-115 | +175 | |
Chiefs 14-1 | -4-110 | u52.5-105 | -210 |
Friday 12:20 a.m.
September 08, 2023GEHA Field at Arrowhead StadiumKansas City
Lions vs. Chiefs Expert Picks
Milly Props
471d ago
Last 30d: 5-5-1 (-0.0u)
DET +220
2.2u
Firefighter Bets
472d ago
Last 30d: 11-15-0 (-5.3u)
J.Reid o7.5 Tackles + Ast+135
1u
Sean Koerner
472d ago
Last 30d: 33-25-1 (+4.6u)
I.Pacheco u1.5 Recs+100
1u
Mjaybrod
472d ago
Last 30d: 155-141-0 (+12.3u)
J.Ross First Touchdown Scorer+2500
0.25u
Ethan please for the love of god
Dale Tanhardt
472d ago
Last 30d: 6-25-0 (-2.7u)
Under 26.5 (1H)-115
1.57u
DET +6-147
1.02u
Alternate spread via DraftKings
P.Mahomes o281.5 Pass Yds-115
1.5u
I.Pacheco Anytime TD Scorer+100
1.1u
Mjaybrod
472d ago
Last 30d: 155-141-0 (+12.3u)
D.Montgomery Anytime TD Scorer+100
1u
Ramble POD
J.Reynolds o28 Rec Yds-112
0.89u
Rolo sold it to me, kinda a Ramble squad ride
Dale Tanhardt
472d ago
Last 30d: 6-25-0 (-2.7u)
J.McKinnon First Touchdown Scorer+1100
0.8u
J.Reynolds First Touchdown Scorer+2500
0.2u
J.Watson First Touchdown Scorer+3500
0.5u
Do not be alarmed. I love first TD. It’s the first TD of the entire NFL season. I’m all in. I’ve hit some crazy ones in the past and I’m ready to do it again. Tail lightly.
K.Toney First Touchdown Scorer+1100
0.8u
K.Raymond First Touchdown Scorer+4000
0.2u
Detroit D First Touchdown Scorer+4500
0.2u
YBK Picks.com
472d ago
Last 30d: 39-47-3 (-22.9u)
DET +4.5-105
2u
Sean Koerner
472d ago
Last 30d: 33-25-1 (+4.6u)
DET +3.5 (1H)-120
1.2u
Nick Giffen
472d ago
Last 30d: 59-72-0 (+31.1u)
S.LaPorta o28.5 Rec Yds-110
1u
DET +3.5 (1H)-120
1.2u
Action Island
472d ago
Last 30d: 1-6-0 (-4.6u)
DET +3.5 (1H)-120
1u
J.Goff o1.5 Pass TDs-120
1u
Sean Zerillo
472d ago
Last 30d: 29-50-0 (-6.0u)
S.Moore o45.5 Rec Yds-110
0.55u
Capper Central
472d ago
Last 30d: 54-49-1 (-5.2u)
Under 26.5 (1H)+100
$115.00
Mjaybrod
472d ago
Last 30d: 155-141-0 (+12.3u)
I.Pacheco Anytime TD Scorer+105
1u
Big IP getting a fat TD
A.St. Brown Anytime TD Scorer+107
1.07u
Him.
Dale Tanhardt
472d ago
Last 30d: 6-25-0 (-2.7u)
J.McKinnon o26.5 Rec Yds-110
1.8u
Sandy Plashkes
472d ago
Last 30d: 114-113-5 (+8.6u)
D.Montgomery o13.5 Rush Att+100
$50.00
Green Dot Daily
472d ago
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+0.6u)
J.Gibbs Anytime TD Scorer+170
1u
@GDAWG5000
J.McKinnon Anytime TD Scorer+180
1u
@GDAWG5000
J.Goff o1.5 Pass TDs-120
1u
@The_Oddsmaker
DET +4.5-110
0.91u
@millmanc
Stuck 🚨
472d ago
Last 30d: 66-64-2 (-2.3u)
J.Goff o1.5 Pass TDs-120
0.3u
Annual tail of Koerner opening season TNF prop. They move quick
Sean Koerner
472d ago
Last 30d: 33-25-1 (+4.6u)
J.Goff o1.5 Pass TDs-120
1.2u
Sandy Plashkes
472d ago
Last 30d: 114-113-5 (+8.6u)
J.Gibbs o3.5 Recs-140
$70.00
Tailing T Mack. Got a way worse line. YOLO.
I.Pacheco o10.5 Rec Yds-112
$50.00
Mjaybrod
472d ago
Last 30d: 155-141-0 (+12.3u)
J.Gibbs o31.5 Rec Yds-110
1u
Surgical Stream POD
Milly Props
472d ago
Last 30d: 5-5-1 (-0.0u)
J.Reynolds Anytime TD Scorer+540
0.25u
S.Moore o36.5 Rec Yds-114
1u
S.Moore Anytime TD Scorer+210
0.25u
Simon Hunter
472d ago
Last 30d: 22-30-3 (-8.0u)
P.Mahomes Anytime TD Scorer+378
0.5u
Tim Michael
472d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 53.5-110
$1.00
Chad Millman
472d ago
Last 30d: 21-28-1 (-4.1u)
DET +6.5-105
0.95u
Fortunately got this before the kelce news, forgot to track during the @TheFavoritesPodcast pod on Tuesday.
Kevin Thomas
472d ago
Last 30d: 11-24-0 (-13.7u)
J.Gibbs o73.5 Rush + Rec Yds-115
$1.00
S.Moore o49.5 Rush + Rec Yds-110
$1.00
The Degenerates
472d ago
Last 30d: 97-75-4 (+20.3u)
KC -4.5-110
1.1u
Simon Hunter
472d ago
Last 30d: 22-30-3 (-8.0u)
Over 53.5-107
1u
Ray Monohan
472d ago
Last 30d: 18-10-1 (+4.5u)
Under 53-110
$0.91
Scott Pritchard
472d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 53-110
$1.00
Jonathan Jorcin
472d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
J.Gibbs Anytime TD Scorer+140
$500.00
Follow me on Twitter @Reno_Jonny
Firefighter Bets
472d ago
Last 30d: 11-15-0 (-5.3u)
N.Bolton o8.5 Tackles + Ast+100
1u
A.Anzalone o6.5 Tackles + Ast-138
1u
Shady Biev
472d ago
Last 30d: 189-213-7 (+13.4u)
KC -4.5-110
2.2u
Kyle Murray
472d ago
Last 30d: 58-67-1 (-12.3u)
J.Reynolds o26.5 Rec Yds-122
0.82u
S.LaPorta u3.5 Recs-169
1u
DET +4.5-110
0.91u
Markus Markets
473d ago
Last 30d: 66-84-1 (+6.3u)
D.Montgomery Anytime TD Scorer Yes+115
0.58u
S.Moore Anytime TD Scorer Yes+205
0.5u
A.St. Brown o6.5 Recs-120
1u
I.Pacheco o50.5 Rush Yds-110
1u
Kevin Thomas
473d ago
Last 30d: 11-24-0 (-13.7u)
J.Gibbs o32 Rec Yds-114
$1.00
S.Moore o44.5 Rec Yds-117
$1.00
A.St. Brown Anytime TD Scorer+112
$1.12
Prop Bet Guy
473d ago
Last 30d: 69-52-0 (+10.4u)
N.Bolton o7.5 Tackles + Ast-145
1.74u
Playable at 1u at o8.5 at +100 or better.
One of my favorite NFL player prop markets to attack last season was combined tackles (solo tackles plus assists). And with a prime opportunity presenting itself in Week 1 of the 2023 campaign, I’m jumping on Nick Bolton over 7.5 combined tackles against the Lions.
Bolton is coming off a stellar sophomore campaign in which he recorded 180 combined tackles, which ranked second in the NFL. He cleared this line in a ridiculous 15 of 17 regular season games.
The Chiefs middle-linebacker hardly ever came off the field, playing at least 99% of defensive snaps in 17 of Kansas City’s 20 total games (including the playoffs). Even if Chiefs Defensive Coordinator Steve Spagnuolo does decide to ease his star players into action in Week 1, it’s a perfect matchup for Bolton to rack up the tackles when he’s on the field.
The Lions allowed the 10th most combined tackles to opponents per game last season. With a balanced offensive attack, including both the run game and short-to-intermediate passes, Bolton should be around the ball a ton, come Thursday night.
In fact, last season, Jared Goff ranked 32nd out of 40 in deep ball attempts (as a percentage of total throws, per Pro Football Focus). Favoring more of the underneath routes, this should allow for Bolton to do what he does best, and swarm the ball.
It’s a softer line with a sky-high hit rate from last season, likely because of a potentially scaled-back Week 1 workload. But even so, Bolton will be leading the charge for the defending Super Bowl Champs, and I have him at an even 10 combined tackles against the Lions.
AAA Sports
473d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
DET +6.5-110
$0.91
Nicholas Parsons
473d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 54-112
$0.89
Prop Bomb 🏝
473d ago
Last 30d: 9-8-0 (-0.4u)
D.Montgomery o49.5 Rush Yds-128
1u
We BACK!!! 🙌🏼 Read: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/lions-vs-chiefs-player-props-david-montgomery-thursday-sept-7
Geoff aka OldManWhoBets
473d ago
Last 30d: 23-17-0 (+2.0u)
DET +5.5-115
0.87u
Mike Randle
473d ago
Last 30d: 20-18-0 (+0.3u)
S.Moore o44.5 Rec Yds-114
1u
Follow all my picks at FTNBets.com!
Kevin Thomas
474d ago
Last 30d: 11-24-0 (-13.7u)
S.LaPorta Anytime TD Scorer+290
1u
J.Gibbs o73.5 Rush + Rec Yds-115
$1.00
Sandy Plashkes
474d ago
Last 30d: 114-113-5 (+8.6u)
DET +6-120
$50.00
Fuck it. We ball.
Sean Koerner
474d ago
Last 30d: 33-25-1 (+4.6u)
DET +6-110
1u
Joe Dellera
474d ago
Last 30d: 71-75-5 (+6.6u)
Under 54-110
0.27u
Okay @wheatonbrando
Brandon Anderson
474d ago
Last 30d: 34-82-0 (-14.5u)
Under 54-110
0.45u
KC breaking in two new Ts and new OC, now the Kelce injury, this offense may need some time. Primetime unders are 125–84–3 (60%) the last four years. Jared Goff is 14–9 (61%) to the under with a line of 51 or higher, and Thursday night games are 19–8–1 (70%) to the under with a line over 51.
Chris Raybon
474d ago
Last 30d: 17-19-0 (-3.1u)
DET +6-110
0.45u
Already had 0.5 units on lookahead, grabbing other 0.5 now because i see some books moving to 5.5 with Kelce injury news.
Simon Hunter
474d ago
Last 30d: 22-30-3 (-8.0u)
DET +6-110
0.91u
Joe Metz
474d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
D.Montgomery o48.5 Rush Yds-120
1u
Gilles Gallant
474d ago
Last 30d: 33-77-0 (-1.8u)
J.McKinnon Anytime TD Scorer+180
1u
Bet at DraftKings. Vital for the Chiefs passing game and scored 9 receiving TDs in 2022. Outsnapped Pacheco from W13-18 when he scored 8 TD and had average ATD odds at +165 in that stretch. Combined for 35 RZ touches in 2022 (20 rushes, 15 targets). Would also consider for 2TD.
Matt Moore
474d ago
Last 30d: 98-110-2 (+15.1u)
Under 54.5-110
0.5u
Joe Dellera
475d ago
Last 30d: 71-75-5 (+6.6u)
P.Mahomes o274.5 Pass Yds+100
0.25u
DK Happy Hour Boost
Prop Bet Guy
475d ago
Last 30d: 69-52-0 (+10.4u)
J.Gibbs o24.5 Rec Yds-130
1.3u
Posted/tweeted earlier - just correcting to the right line.
First play of the season… an over on a rookie… here we go…
Here’s what we know: the Lions used the 12th pick on Gibbs (and apparently were going to take him at 6 had they not traded down). They are clearly enamored by Gibbs, and drafted him to be a focal point of the offense.
D’Andre Swift is gone, and the receiver core is weak. Outside of Amon Ra St Brown, there are a lot of question marks. This is a lions offense that supplied RBs with a 20% target share and 15% yard share in 2022. I have it as a tick higher in 2023, given the current state of their pass catchers.
And he gets an A+ matchup against the Chiefs in week 1. Not only do we know the obvious with KC being favorites and the Lions could/should find themselves in plenty of passing situations, but the Chiefs defense has been designed to stop the downfield throws to receivers for years. Chiefs DC Steve Spagnuolo’s defense have allowed top 5 production (both targets and yards) to RBs in each of the last 4 seasons. Last season, the Chiefs allowed 13 RBs to eclipse this total in 17 regular season games. There isn’t a significant change in pass defense personnel that suggests the defensive philosophy will flip.
Yes, David Montgomery exists, but he profiles to take the Jamaal Williams role (and in my opinion, not 100% of that role). It’s going to be a time share, but Gibbs is Campbell and GM Brad Holmes’ guy - I think there is public worry about the timeshare because of Swift’s utilization last season. But Swift was not drafted by this regime, and there wasn’t nearly as much capital invested in him (big difference between the 12th pick and a high second rounder). I see him on the field for 25+ pass routes (both Swift and Williams were at better than 1.3 yards per route run last season).
And then OC Ben Johnson makes the comments about using Gibbs “in ways people don’t quite think we might”. Cryptic, but I’m going to take a leap of faith and figure that’s more snaps for Gibbs in the slot.
Give me the rookie in week 1.
Royals Props
476d ago
Last 30d: 63-59-1 (-1.9u)
J.Gibbs o27.5 Rec Yds-120
1.2u
Pointsbet
D.Montgomery o48.5 Rush Yds-115
1u
Chad Millman
477d ago
Last 30d: 21-28-1 (-4.1u)
DET +6.5-105
0.95u
Sure, I love Dan Campbell. But only one QB is most profitable in Week 1 the past 20 yrs and overall the past 5: Jared Goff. FD quickslip: https://account.sportsbook.fanduel.com/sportsbook/addToBetslip?marketId[0]=42.380201921&selectionId[0]=50193&shareBetId=10023_-443033149
Gilles Gallant
478d ago
Last 30d: 33-77-0 (-1.8u)
J.Gibbs Anytime TD Scorer+225
1u
Bet at Bet365. Love his chances to score vs Defense that gave up 2nd-most catches/receiving yards to RB in 2022. Especially if Chris Jones doesn’t play. Would still bet this down to +200.
Kevin Thomas
481d ago
Last 30d: 11-24-0 (-13.7u)
Over 54-110
$1.00
Tanner McGrath
583d ago
Last 30d: 126-97-6 (+12.9u)
DET +7-110
1u
Alright let’s hit it! Play my music!
Chris Raybon
591d ago
Last 30d: 17-19-0 (-3.1u)
DET +7-110
0.45u
Write-up on entire Week 1 slate coming soon
PRO Insights
Lions
DET Insights
- Featured InsightThe Chiefs ran successful plays on 55.0% of pass attempts last season -- best in NFL. Lions allowed successful plays on 47.0% of pass attempts last season -- tied for eighth-worst in NFL.
TRY FOR FREE
Chiefs
KC Insights
- Featured InsightThe Chiefs were successful on 50.0% of plays they have run last season -- tied for best in NFL. Lions allowed their opponents to be successful on 46.0% of plays last season -- tied for fifth-worst in NFL.
TRY FOR FREE
Lions vs. Chiefs Previews & Analysis
Lions vs. Chiefs Props
Prop Projections
There are no prop projections found for the selected slate. Please check back later.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Lions vs. Chiefs Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Chiefs are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
- Chiefs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Chiefs are 3-3 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Chiefs' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Chiefs' 8 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Lions vs. Chiefs Injury Updates
Lions Injuries
- Graham GlasgowOL
Glasgow is questionable with knee
Questionable
- Jalen Reeves-MaybinLB
Reeves-Maybin is out with neck
Out
- David MontgomeryRB
Montgomery is out with knee
Out
- Ifeatu MelifonwuS
Melifonwu is questionable with hand
Questionable
- Brian BranchDB
Branch is questionable with calf
Questionable
- Brodric MartinDE
Martin is out with knee
Out
- Ennis RakestrawDB
Rakestraw is out with hamstring
Out
- Christian MahoganyOL
Mahogany is out with illness
Out
Chiefs Injuries
- D.J. HumphriesT
Humphries is out with hamstring
Out
- Mecole HardmanWR
Hardman is questionable with knee
Questionable
- Leo ChenalLB
Chenal is questionable with illness
Questionable
- Rashee RiceWR
Rice is out with leg
Out
- Chamarri ConnerDB
Conner is out with concussion
Out
- Cam JonesLB
Jones is questionable with illness
Questionable
- Jared WileyTE
Wiley is out with knee
Out
- Spencer ShraderK
Shrader is out with hamstring
Out
Team Stats
Lions vs. Chiefs Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Lions at Chiefs Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Lions 12-2 | o24.5-109 | u24.5-112 |
Chiefs 14-1 | o28.5-117 | u28.5-115 |