Bills vs. Chiefs Odds & Betting Predictions - December 10, 2023
Bills at Chiefs
9:25 pm • CBSBills at Chiefs Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Bills 9-2 | +1.5 | +1.5-110 | o49-110 | +105 |
Chiefs 9-1 | u48.5 | -1.5-110 | u49-110 | -125 |
Sunday 9:25 p.m.
December 10, 2023GEHA Field at Arrowhead StadiumKansas City
Bills vs. Chiefs Expert Picks
Shady Biev
347d ago
Last 30d: 156-190-1 (-36.3u)
KC +4.5 (Live)-118
2u
Nick Martin
347d ago
Last 30d: 164-280-2 (-4.5u)
BUF +2-110
0.91u
Shady Biev
347d ago
Last 30d: 156-190-1 (-36.3u)
R.Rice o51.5 Rec Yds-115
2u
C.Edwards-Helaire Anytime TD Scorer Yes+155
1.29u
GoldBoys x JD Picks
347d ago
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-1.3u)
D.Kincaid o36.5 Rec Yds-110
1.1u
Ryanpropz NFL Straight
YBK Picks.com
347d ago
Last 30d: 55-40-1 (+26.7u)
BUF +1.5-105
1.9u
The Touchdown Show
347d ago
Last 30d: 5-36-0 (-7.1u)
J.Allen Anytime TD Scorer Yes+165
1.65u
Via Brian Matthews
The Faves Five
347d ago
Last 30d: 12-13-0 (-2.3u)
KC -1.5-107
1.07u
Tanner McGrath
347d ago
Last 30d: 82-72-3 (+2.4u)
J.Allen o32.5 Rush Yds-120
1.2u
Simon Hunter
347d ago
Last 30d: 22-25-0 (-6.0u)
KC -2-107
1u
Convince Me
347d ago
Last 30d: 23-22-1 (-1.0u)
KC -1-107
1u
@SimonHunterNFL
Mjaybrod
347d ago
Last 30d: 131-102-1 (+17.3u)
BUF +2-110
0.91u
Chiefs -120 ML at home should be free
Sean Koerner
347d ago
Last 30d: 35-25-0 (+5.6u)
C.Edwards-Helaire u46.5 Rush Yds-115
1u
Joe Dellera
347d ago
Last 30d: 76-87-3 (-1.5u)
J.Allen o33.5 Rush Yds-110
0.65u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
347d ago
Last 30d: 271-271-8 (+2.5u)
BUF +100
1u
Matthew Freedman
347d ago
Last 30d: 1-3-0 (-2.1u)
BUF +100
1.1u
Projection: Bills -109. For more, check out Fantasy Life.
Shady Biev
348d ago
Last 30d: 156-190-1 (-36.3u)
KC -1-110
2.2u
Prop Bet Guy
348d ago
Last 30d: 69-52-0 (+10.4u)
D.Kincaid u16.5 Longest Reception-120
1u
Widely available at -125
Under in 9/11, with only 2 of his 56 catches going for 17+. 5.7 aDOT - significantly lower than the Bills WRs - only 6/64 targets have traveled even 15 air yards. Dawson Knox likely to play, which could cut into Kincaid’s snap share or volume - but even if Knox is out, I love this spot.
Chiefs 7th in DVOA vs TEs (FTN Fantasy), and are top 6 in targets, rec and yards allowed to the position.
Brandon Anderson
348d ago
Last 30d: 32-51-0 (+2.2u)
J.McKinnon o16.5 Rec Yds-119
1.05u
every game every team https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-week-14-odds-picks-preview-bets-every-game-every-team
J.McKinnon o49.5 Rec Yds+1075
0.5u
Jerick escalator
Sandy Plashkes
348d ago
Last 30d: 126-113-0 (+17.8u)
J.Allen o35.5 Rush Yds-124
$124.00
Brandon Anderson
348d ago
Last 30d: 32-51-0 (+2.2u)
J.Allen 50+ Rushing Yards+320
0.5u
Every Game Every Team https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-week-14-odds-picks-preview-bets-every-game-every-team
J.Allen o74.5 Rush Yds+1425
0.25u
Allen escalator
Sandy Plashkes
348d ago
Last 30d: 126-113-0 (+17.8u)
BUF -110
$50.00
Chad Millman
349d ago
Last 30d: 25-25-1 (+0.3u)
KC -1-109
1u
Gilles Gallant
349d ago
Last 30d: 48-86-2 (+4.2u)
P.Mahomes o0.5 Int+105
0.53u
The Favorites Podcast
350d ago
Last 30d: 8-8-0 (-0.8u)
KC -2.5-110
1.1u
Simon Says
Bruce Marshall
350d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 49-110
0.91u
Brandon Anderson
350d ago
Last 30d: 32-51-0 (+2.2u)
J.Allen o30.5 Rush Yds-110
1.82u
Old faithful! Allen rushing yards in big games. Best bets pod, multi units.
Gilles Gallant
350d ago
Last 30d: 48-86-2 (+4.2u)
C.Edwards-Helaire Anytime TD Scorer+450
0.3u
Bet at Bet365 on 12/07. Down to -115 at FD and +110 at DK. Jerick McKinnon isnt likely to play. Worth a swing if Bet365 is slow to react.
Jim Sannes
352d ago
Last 30d: 14-20-0 (+9.6u)
BUF +118
1.18u
Available at FanDuel. Despite their respective records, both of my models view the Bills as a slightly better team on a neutral field than the Chiefs. Obviously, homefield matters, but I'm still showing value in the Bills' ML at +118. The implied odds there are 45.9%, and I've got the Bills at 49.8% to win. This is due to (primarily) three factors. First, the Bills' offense grades out as better than the Chiefs', based on numberFire's schedule-adjusted metrics. Second, the Chiefs' defense suffered some key injuries in Week 13 that could leave them thin this week. Third, the Bills are coming off of a bye, which does net them a boost in the model. Add it all up, and you get a game that looks more like a toss-up than the market implies. It's never fun to bet against Mahomes and Andy Reid, but I do agree with what the model is saying here.
PRO Insights
Bills
BUF Insights
- Featured InsightThe Bills are averaging 5.0 yards per carry on rushes to the left side of the field __Previous 4 Weeks PresentPerfect__ -- eighth-best in NFL. The Chiefs have allowed 9.0 yards per carry when defending on rushes to the left to RBs since Week 10 -- worst in NFL.
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Chiefs
KC Insights
- Featured InsightThe Bills have run successful plays on 25.0% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure this season -- tied for ninth-worst in NFL. The Chiefs have pressured opposing QBs on 28.0% of passing plays this season -- fifth-best in NFL.
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Bills vs. Chiefs Previews & Analysis
Bills vs. Chiefs Props
Prop Projections
There are no prop projections found for the selected slate. Please check back later.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Bills vs. Chiefs Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Chiefs are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
- Chiefs are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Chiefs are 2-2 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Chiefs' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Chiefs' 5 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Chiefs vs. Bills Injury Updates
Chiefs Injuries
- Charles OmenihuDE
Omenihu is out with knee
Out
- Hollywood BrownWR
Hollywood Brown (shoulder surgery) headed to IR.
Out
- Isiah PachecoRB
Pacheco is questionable with leg
Questionable
- Rashee RiceWR
Rice is out with leg
Out
- Jared WileyTE
Wiley is out with knee
Out
Bills Injuries
- Jordan PhillipsDT
Phillips is out with wrist
Out
- Amari CooperWR
Cooper is questionable with wrist
Questionable
- Matt MilanoLB
Milano is out with biceps
Out
- Spencer BrownT
Brown is questionable with ankle
Questionable
- Baylon SpectorLB
Spector is questionable with calf
Questionable
- Dalton KincaidTE
Kincaid is out with knee
Out
- Keon ColemanWR
Coleman is out with wrist
Out
- DeWayne CarterDT
Carter is out with wrist
Out
Team Stats
Bills vs. Chiefs Odds Comparison
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Bills at Chiefs Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Bills 9-2 | o24.5+100 | u24.5-122 |
Chiefs 9-1 | o24.5-125 | u24.5-110 |