Bills vs. Eagles Odds & Betting Predictions - November 26, 2023

Read why: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/khalil-shakir-player-props-bet-for-bills-vs-eagles

From ringer wise guys today. Forgot to put this in

Via Brian Matthews

A lot of people are back to drinking Buffalo koolaid

@Stuckey2

@ChrisRaybon

Full write-up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-week-12-player-props-josh-allen-evan-engram

Massive get right game for Diggs, who has been held to under 35 receiving yards in back-to-back games, and gets an Eagles team that his far easier to attend through the air than on the ground.

Projection: +2.25. For more, check out Fantasy Life.

Over in 4/6 full games without Matt Milano, with one miss by the hook, and one miss vs the Jets who never had the ball. Counting on the Eagles offense to bounce back and control the clock in this one. Before last week vs the Chiefs, an off-ball LB had his this in every game against them. Only 54 plays last week - counting on Sunday to be closer to the 67 they average.

Pains me as an Eagles fan, but team has been lucky, team is due for regression.

Stuckey 1

Available at FanDuel. Of the two models I run, one is typically more pessimistic about the Eagles because it weighs passing efficiency heavily, and the Eagles don't grade out as well as other contenders there. Thus, when betting their games, I tend to lean on the other model, which views things more holistically. Even that one, though, has the Eagles favored by just 1.9 points, implying there's value in the Bills plus the points. That model has these two teams nearly identical on a neutral field as the Bills are fourth in its power rankings while the Eagles are fifth. The Eagles should be able to move the ball effectively against the Bills' rush defense, though it's worth noting that unit has been better than you'd think since the Matt Milano injury. As for the Bills' offense, they rank second in the league in adjusted late-down success rate and are third in adjusted early-down EPA. Their adjusted early-down passing numbers in Week 11 were the best they've been since Week 4 against the Dolphins. The Eagles find ways to get the job done, so this isn't a bet that makes me comfortable, but I do think the Bills are worth buying into still.

#LuckRankings

Rare early one for the people. Snagging this hook