Broncos vs. Buccaneers Odds & Betting Predictions - September 22, 2024

Broncos at Buccaneers

5:00 pm • FOX

Denver Broncos

6-5

26 - 7

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

4-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Broncos 6-5	+3.5	+6-112	o40.5-112	+207
Buccaneers 4-6	u43	-6-108	u40.5-108	-252

Sunday 5:00 p.m.

September 22, 2024

Raymond James StadiumTampa

DEN -12.5 (Live)+122

0.31u

DEN -5.5 (Live)-115

0.5u

Road dogs up 14-0 +8 SU margin

DEN +6-110

0.91u

C.Godwin 60+ Receiving Yards Yes-120

M.Mims u6.5 Rec Yds-110

DEN +6.5-112

0.45u

DEN +6.5-107

DEN +6.5-111

0.9u

@ChrisRaybon

J.Williams u11.5 Rush Att+105

1.05u

@ChrisRaybon

G.Dulcich Anytime TD Scorer Yes+650

0.25u

@nick_giffen

DEN +6.5-112

0.5u

G.Dulcich Anytime TD Scorer Yes+650

0.25u

@convince_me

Over 40.5-115

#ProSystem … early season over after under Overall: 79-37-0,68% (ROI:33%) Season:0-0-0, 0% (ROI: 0%)

DEN +7-128

0.78u

DEN +7-128

TB -6.5-105

0.5u

DEN +6-105

B.Nix o18.5 Pass Comp-122

1.25u

Full breakdown on Pass the Prop

C.Otton u22.5 Rec Yds-120

1.2u

R.White o49.5 Rush Yds-113

100+ performance incoming

C.Godwin u5.5 Recs+116

Fade recent performance

TB -6-110

1.1u

B.Nix o30.5 Pass Att-125

Bo Nix over 30.5 Pass Attempts (-125 Fliff/Caesars) Nix has been over this line in 2/2 games so far and showing no signs of slowing down. Part of the reason why Nix is throwing the ball so much is because his run game is only getting an average of 2.9 YPC 🤮 That kind of production will definitely not work against a team like the Buccaneer's who have a good run defense. The Tampa weakness is their pass defense that is currently ranked 29th in pass yards allowed and dead last in pass attempts allowed with an average of 40. Jared Goff last week vs the Buccaneer's threw 55, yes 55 times...And that was in a close game, where he has 2 elite running backs. The Lions were actually able to move the ball on the ground because they have one of the best O-lines in football, but for the Broncos, that is not the case. Positive game script for this line and I expect their ground struggles to continue here on the road and force Bo Nix to sling it yet again as +6.5 road dogs.

B.Irving o25.5 Rush Yds-115

Over in 1/2 games (but the miss was in a tough spot vs DET) - has been much more productive than White, who is not 100%. Great spot vs a DEN team that’s allowed a ton of volume and production on the ground (33 attempts and 140 yards in each game).

TB -6.5-109

-Did you know the last time Baker played the Broncos his team won 51-14? That’s the most points a Baker lead offense has ever put up. Baker has Denver’s number -After the Jet’s TNF win and cover, favorites of 6+ are now only 1-8 ATS, and I don’t think big underdogs will continue to dominate the spread like they have

TB -6.5-109

DEN +6.5-110

J.Williams u12.5 Longest Rush-120

0.5u

#Tailing @ChrisRaybon

J.Williams u12.5 Longest Rush-120

0.83u

11, 8 so far. Payton hinted Badie could get more time and we just saw McLaughlin take a backseat after high-volume, inefficient day.

DEN +6.5-110

Raybon 2

DEN -5.5+600

1.5u

Kitchen sink underdog long shot sprinkles

DEN +7-115

0.87u

DEN +7-115

0.87u

@nick_giffen

DEN +7-115

#tailing @nick_giffen and the Luck Rankings

DEN +7-115

0.5u

DEN +7-115

https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-week-3-luck-rankings-picks-7-games-fit-thresholds?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=nickgiffen

TB -6.5-115

Had this at 7.5 in my preseason numbers, and nothing we've seen since then has told me I should think differently.

DEN +7-108

0.93u

We dont bet favorites

TB -7-110

1.1u

DEN +5.5-110

0.91u

Featured Insight
Broncos QBs have a 30.9 passer rating against tight coverage since the 2023 season -- 10th-best in NFL; the Buccaneers have allowed a passer rating of 32.0 with tight coverage since the 2023 season -- 7th-worst in NFL.

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Featured Insight
The Buccaneers have allowed their opponents to be successful on 43.0% of plays on play action passes since the 2023 season -- T-5th-best in NFL; the Broncos have been successful on 39.0% of plays they have run on play action passes since the 2023 season -- 3rd-worst in NFL.

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NFL Public Betting

Buccaneers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Buccaneers are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Buccaneers are 3-1 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Buccaneers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Buccaneers' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Buccaneers	6-4	3-3	3-1	2-1	4-3
Broncos	8-3	3-2	5-1	4-0	4-3

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Buccaneers	7-3	4-2	3-1	2-1	5-2
Broncos	6-5	3-2	3-3	3-1	3-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Buccaneers	4-6	N/A	N/A	2-1	2-5
Broncos	6-5	N/A	N/A	4-0	2-5

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 15th	@DET	W 20-16	+7.5 W	U 51.5	TB +295
Sep 8th	WAS	W 37-20	-4 W	O 42.5	TB -205
Aug 23rd	MIA	W 24-14	-3 W	O 37.5	TB -166
Aug 17th	@JAC	L 7-20	+3.5 L	U 38	JAC +154
Aug 10th	@CIN	W 17-14	+5 W	U 38.5	TB +185

Sterling Shepard
WR
Shepard is questionable with hamstring
Questionable

Chris Godwin
WR
Godwin is out with foot
Out
Greg Gaines
DE
Gaines is questionable with calf
Questionable
Evan Deckers
LS
Deckers is questionable with hamstring
Questionable
Tykee Smith
DB
Smith is questionable with concussion
Questionable
Kameron Johnson
WR
Johnson is out with ankle
Out

Josh Reynolds
WR
Reynolds is out with hand
Out
Brandon Jones
S
Jones is questionable with abdomen
Questionable
Luke Wattenberg
C
Wattenberg is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Delarrin Turner-Yell
S
Turner-Yell is out with knee
Out
Drew Sanders
LB
Sanders is out with achilles
Out

See more NFL Injuries

Broncos

Total

Buccaneers

352

Total Yards

223

Total Plays

5.5

Yards Per Play

Broncos

Passing

Buccaneers

216

YDS

163

25/36

Comps/Atts

25/33

YPA

3.3

0/0

TDs/INTs

1/1

0/0

Sacks/Yards

7/31

Broncos

Rushing

Buccaneers

136

Rush Yards

Attempts

4.857

YPC

5.688

TDs

Broncos

Turnovers

Buccaneers

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Broncos

Efficiency

Buccaneers

2/4 50%

Redzone

1/2 50%

4/13 0%

3rd Down

3/11 0%

2/3 0%

4th Down

0/2 0%

Broncos

First Downs

Buccaneers

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Broncos

Misc

Buccaneers

5/51

Penalties/Yards

5/19

32:08

Possession

27:52

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MatchupOverUnder
Broncos 6-5	o16.5-125	u16.5+105
Buccaneers 4-6	o23.5-105	u23.5-115

Broncos vs. Buccaneers Odds & Betting Predictions - September 22, 2024

Broncos at Buccaneers

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