Buccaneers vs. Bills Odds & Betting Predictions - October 27, 2023

Buccaneers at Bills

12:15 am • Amazon Prime Video

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

4-6

18 - 24

Buffalo Bills

9-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Buccaneers 4-6	+9	+10-110	o43-110	+380
Bills 9-2	u43	-10-110	u43-110	-500

Friday 12:15 a.m.

October 27, 2023

Highmark StadiumOrchard Park

B.Mayfield o33.5 Pass Att-130

Over 43-110

1.1u

D.Kincaid o3.5 Recs-196

0.15u

Boyd

BUF -10-105

TB +6 (1H)-107

Under 43-111

0.9u

Over 42.5-110

1.1u

Close to a luck over...plus other factors has me leaning over. Gonna roll with it

TB o16.5-105

Follow me on Twitter @Reno_Jonny All plays @vegasinsider

Under 43-110

BUF -10-105

3.15u

J.Allen o22.5 Rush Yds-110

0.5u

McDermott mentioned using Allen’s leg more. Could see a few extra scrambles

M.Evans Anytime TD Scorer+190

1.9u

@GDAWG5000

S.Diggs o86.5 Rec Yds-113

Via Grant Neiffer

J.Cook u2.5 Recs-113

0.88u

@The_Oddsmaker

S.Diggs Anytime TD Scorer+109

G.Davis Anytime TD Scorer+245

1.47u

M.Evans Anytime TD Scorer+190

1.9u

Over 43-110

J.Allen o23.5 Rush Yds-115

0.87u

M.Evans o4.5 Recs-125

1.88u

Over 43.5-110

1.1u

R.White u13.5 Longest Rush-122

@The_Oddsmaker

Over 42.5-110

@The_Oddsmaker

M.Evans Anytime TD Scorer+210

1.05u

@GDAWG5000

D.Kincaid Anytime TD Scorer+260

1.3u

@GDAWG5000

C.Godwin Anytime TD Scorer+275

1.38u

@GDAWG5000

R.White u13.5 Longest Rush-122

1.22u

R.White u13.5 Longest Rush-115

0.57u

Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

R.White u13.5 Longest Rush-122

1.22u

@The_Oddsmaker

TB +9.5-104

2.5u

Under 22.5 (1H)-120

D.Kincaid Anytime TD Scorer+260

0.65u

https://x.com/charliedisturco/status/1717593912502530197?s=46

C.Godwin Anytime TD Scorer+280

0.7u

D.Kincaid o3.5 Recs-111

0.9u

TB +9.5-104

TB +9.5-107

$0.93

Over 43.5-110

TB o17+100

Bucks under in 4 straight - @moneyplayzz

G.Davis o40.5 Rec Yds-115

Over 43.5-110

D.Kincaid o42.5 Rec Yds-124

$50.00

“99% of the bets are on Kincaid over yards tonight” -John Ewing, BETMGM (probably)

D.Kincaid Anytime TD Scorer+230

2.3u

D.Kincaid o37.5 Rec Yds-129

G.Davis o39.5 Rec Yds-115

T.Bernard o8.5 Tackles + Ast-113

1.13u

Full write-up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/buccaneers-vs-bills-player-prop-bet-terrel-bernard-on-thursday-night-football

Under 43.5-110

0.34u

Full 1u play

Under 43.5+137

0.86u

50% boost

Under 43.5-110

2.73u

Under 43.5-116

0.65u

Thursday free play. 5-1 Run!

Under 43.5-112

Over 43-110

J.Allen o22.5 Rush Yds-115

0.87u

M.Evans o56.5 Rec Yds-120

BUF -8.5-110

0.38u

Rest of 1u bet

BUF -8.5+136

0.63u

50% boost

M.Evans Anytime TD Scorer+210

2.1u

Bet at Bet365. Taking both Bucs WRs as their run game is awful and will likely be in a trailing game script.

Over 42.5-115

1.15u

M.Evans o57.5 Rec Yds-110

1.1u

Over in 4/6 games with a negative game script, which means more passing. In losses, he averages over 9 targets per game and faces a weak Bills defense that is struggling without White, Milano, etc. Since Wk5, Bills D is 28th in Def dvoa. Zone heavy too - which is where Evans dominates… has a 3.54 Y/RR vs zone, third best in NFL.

C.Godwin Anytime TD Scorer+275

2.75u

Bet at Bet365. Its +260 at FD. If you wait till closer to kickoff, you’ll likely get better odds than +275.

D.Kincaid Anytime TD Scorer+260

2.6u

Bet at BetMGM. Was +375 prior to injury news. Knox out, Morris out, Kincaid is only healthy TE left on team. Saw 8 targets last week. Whenever Knox was above +200 last season, I’d hammer it. Now, it’s Kincaid’s turn.

J.Cook o49.5 Rush Yds-117

Featured Insight
Buccaneers QBs have a 90.8 passer rating in the fourth quarter this season -- 10th-best in NFL. The Bills have allowed a passer rating of 103.8 in the 4th quarter this season -- third-worst in NFL.

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Featured Insight
The Bills have gone three and out on 14% of their drives since Week 4 -- tied for sixth-best in NFL. Buccaneers have forced three and outs on 15% of opponent drives since Week 4 -- seventh-worst in NFL.

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NFL Public Betting

Bills are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Bills are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Bills are 4-2 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Bills' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Bills' 5 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bills	7-4	3-2	4-2	6-2	1-2
Buccaneers	6-4	3-3	3-1	2-1	4-3

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Bills	7-4	5-0	2-4	7-1	0-3
Buccaneers	7-3	4-2	3-1	2-1	5-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bills	9-2	N/A	N/A	8-0	1-2
Buccaneers	4-6	N/A	N/A	2-1	2-5

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 22nd	@NE	L 25-29	-7.5 L	O 41.5	NE -395
Oct 16th	NYG	W 14-9	-15.5 L	U 43.5	BUF -1200
Oct 8th	JAC	L 20-25	-5.5 L	U 48.5	JAC -235
Oct 1st	MIA	W 48-20	-3 W	O 52.5	BUF -150
Sep 24th	@WAS	W 37-3	-5.5 W	U 44	BUF -237

Sterling Shepard
WR
Shepard is questionable with hamstring
Questionable

Chris Godwin
WR
Godwin is out with foot
Out
Greg Gaines
DE
Gaines is questionable with calf
Questionable
Evan Deckers
LS
Deckers is questionable with hamstring
Questionable
Tykee Smith
DB
Smith is questionable with concussion
Questionable
Kameron Johnson
WR
Johnson is out with ankle
Out

Jordan Phillips
DT
Phillips is out with wrist
Out
Amari Cooper
WR
Cooper is questionable with wrist
Questionable
Matt Milano
LB
Milano is out with biceps
Out
Spencer Brown
T
Brown is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Baylon Spector
LB
Spector is questionable with calf
Questionable
Dalton Kincaid
TE
Kincaid is out with knee
Out
Keon Coleman
WR
Coleman is out with wrist
Out
DeWayne Carter
DT
Carter is out with wrist
Out

See more NFL Injuries

Buccaneers

Total

Bills

302

Total Yards

427

Total Plays

4.9

Yards Per Play

6.3

Buccaneers

Passing

Bills

237

YDS

324

25/42

Comps/Atts

31/40

4.978

YPA

7.429

2/0

TDs/INTs

2/1

3/13

Sacks/Yards

2/12

Buccaneers

Rushing

Bills

Rush Yards

115

Attempts

4.588

YPC

4.423

TDs

Buccaneers

Turnovers

Bills

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Buccaneers

Efficiency

Bills

1/1 100%

Redzone

2/4 50%

4/15 0%

3rd Down

7/13 0%

1/1 0%

4th Down

0/1 0%

Buccaneers

First Downs

Bills

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Buccaneers

Misc

Bills

11/74

Penalties/Yards

9/86

28:03

Possession

31:57

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MatchupOverUnder
Buccaneers 4-6	o16-112	u16-106
Bills 9-2	o26.5-120	u26.5-103

Buccaneers vs. Bills Odds & Betting Predictions - October 27, 2023

Buccaneers at Bills

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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Buccaneers at Bills Odds

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Buccaneers

Public

Bills

Bets%

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