Dolphins vs. Bills Odds & Betting Predictions - October 1, 2023

Dolphins at Bills

5:00 pm • CBS
20 - 48

Dolphins at Bills Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Dolphins
6-8
+3-110
o52.5-108
+125
Bills
11-3
-3-110
u52.5-112
-150
location pinSunday 5:00 p.m.
October 01, 2023
Highmark StadiumOrchard Park
Dolphins vs. Bills Expert Picks
Jeremiah Rose
Jeremiah Rose
448d ago
Last 30d: 54-39-0 (+12.5u)
BUF -2.5-120
0.67u
The Touchdown Show
The Touchdown Show
448d ago
Last 30d: 12-36-1 (+1.8u)
J.Waddle Anytime TD Scorer+165
1u
@charliedisturco
YBK Picks.com
448d ago
Last 30d: 39-47-3 (-22.9u)
BUF -3-105
2u
Capper Central
Capper Central
448d ago
Last 30d: 54-49-1 (-5.2u)
BUF -2.5-120
$250.00
The Faves Five
The Faves Five
448d ago
Last 30d: 10-14-0 (-5.5u)
BUF -2.5-112
1u
Liked Buffalo all week at less than a FG, that’s where we got the contest line.
Simon Hunter
Simon Hunter
448d ago
Last 30d: 22-30-3 (-8.0u)
BUF -3-115
0.87u
Under 53-112
1u
Geoff aka OldManWhoBets
Geoff aka OldManWhoBets
448d ago
Last 30d: 23-17-0 (+2.0u)
Over 53.5-105
0.95u
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
448d ago
Last 30d: 89-78-2 (+22.6u)
BUF -3-112
2.68u
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
448d ago
Last 30d: 97-75-4 (+20.3u)
BUF -2.5-120
1u
Sandy  Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
448d ago
Last 30d: 114-113-5 (+8.6u)
BUF -2.5-125
$50.00
Tailing Sura
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
448d ago
Last 30d: 189-213-7 (+13.4u)
BUF -3-112
1u
Milly Props
Milly Props
448d ago
Last 30d: 5-5-1 (-0.0u)
D.Kincaid o2.5 Recs-120
0.83u
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
449d ago
Last 30d: 33-25-1 (+4.6u)
D.Kincaid o2.5 Recs-120
1u
J.Waddle u4.5 Recs-106
1u
Kevin  Thomas
Kevin Thomas
449d ago
Last 30d: 11-24-0 (-13.7u)
D.Kincaid 40+ Receiving Yards+194
1u
J.Waddle 70+ Receiving Yards+124
1u
Brandon Anderson
Brandon Anderson
449d ago
Last 30d: 34-82-0 (-14.5u)
J.Allen o34.5 Rush Yds-115
1u
Every Team Every Game: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-week-4-preview-odds-picks-every-game-every-team
J.Allen 50+ Rushing Yards+220
0.5u
Every Team Every Game: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-week-4-preview-odds-picks-every-game-every-team
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
450d ago
Last 30d: 66-84-1 (+6.3u)
J.Waddle o58.5 Rec Yds-125
1u
The Favorites Podcast
The Favorites Podcast
450d ago
Last 30d: 7-12-1 (-6.3u)
BUF -2.5-110
1u
Simon Says
Sunday Six Pack
Sunday Six Pack
450d ago
Last 30d: 10-20-0 (-12.4u)
BUF -3-105
1u
Stuckey 2
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
450d ago
Last 30d: 71-75-5 (+6.6u)
J.Allen o35.5 Rush Yds-120
0.4u
Tanner McGrath
Tanner McGrath
451d ago
Last 30d: 126-97-6 (+12.9u)
BUF -2.5-120
1u
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
452d ago
Last 30d: 69-52-0 (+10.4u)
S.Diggs o6.5 Recs-125
1.25u
Diggs is over this line in 3/3 - and was 2/3 last season vs Miami. Last two Bills games have been very positive gamescripts - expecting this one to stay closer. Plus, Bills still pass happy with a 64% pass play% in neutral game scripts (4th highest, and was at 61% last season). MIA does have some vulnerabilities with their rush defense, but this game profiles as a shootout. Dolphins also running a lot more zone coverage this season, but even if Diggs does get matched up with Xavien Howard, it’s a plus spot. Howard has allowed 16 catches on 22 targets this season.
Nico Terpak
Nico Terpak
452d ago
Last 30d: 22-15-0 (+5.0u)
BUF -3-105
$100.00
Stuck 🚨
Stuck 🚨
452d ago
Last 30d: 66-64-2 (-2.3u)
BUF -2.5-119
0.5u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
453d ago
Last 30d: 155-141-0 (+12.3u)
BUF -2.5-120
0.83u
I’ve seen this movie before and the dolphin dies
Alex  Smart
Alex Smart
453d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 53.5-111
1u
Chad Millman
Chad Millman
454d ago
Last 30d: 21-28-1 (-4.1u)
BUF -2.5-118
0.85u
I’m still evaluating, but on the surface I get a home team in a division game at less than a FG. Miami is the matrix rn, so may buy out at some point if I get more intel. Quickslip to FD https://account.sportsbook.fanduel.com/sportsbook/addToBetslip?marketId[0]=42.396836578&selectionId[0]=50203&shareBetId=10023_-443033149
Raheem Palmer
Raheem Palmer
454d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
BUF -2.5-113
1u

PRO Insights

Dolphins logo

Dolphins

MIA Insights
  • Dolphins logoDolphins RBs have rushed for 10 or more yards on 14.0% of 412 carries since the 2022 season -- tied for best in NFL. The Bills have allowed 10+ yards on 14.0% of carries to RBs since the 2022 season -- third-worst in NFL.
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Bills logo

Bills

BUF Insights
  • Bills logoThe Bills are averaging 5.2 yards per carry this season -- tied for third-best in NFL. The Dolphins have allowed 4.7 yards per carry to RBs this season -- tied for ninth-worst in NFL.
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Dolphins vs. Bills Previews & Analysis

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  • Our Staff's 9 Best Bets at 1 p.m. ET article feature image

    Our Staff's 9 Best Bets at 1 p.m. ET

    Action Network Staff
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Dolphins vs. Bills Props

Prop Projections

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Dolphins vs. Bills Public Betting Percentages

100%

Bets%

0%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Bills
9-54-25-37-32-2
Dolphins
5-92-53-43-52-4

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Bills
9-55-14-48-21-3
Dolphins
6-85-21-65-31-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Bills
11-3N/AN/A9-12-2
Dolphins
6-8N/AN/A5-31-5

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Sep 24th@WASW 37-3-5.5 WU 44BUF -237
Sep 17thLVW 38-10-7.5 WO 46.5BUF -355
Sep 12th@NYJL 16-22-2.5 LU 44.5NYJ -140
Aug 26th@CHIW 24-21-3 LO 37.5BUF -186
Aug 19th@PITL 15-27-1 LU 42.5PIT -110

Bills vs. Dolphins Injury Updates

Bills Injuries

  • Jordan Phillips
    DT

    Phillips is out with wrist

    Out

  • Curtis Samuel
    WR

    Samuel is questionable with ribs

    Questionable

  • Rasul Douglas
    CB

    Douglas is questionable with knee

    Questionable

  • Matt Milano
    LB

    Milano is questionable with biceps

    Questionable

  • Taylor Rapp
    S

    Rapp is questionable with neck

    Questionable

  • Casey Toohill
    DE

    Toohill is questionable with ribs

    Questionable

  • Damar Hamlin
    S

    Hamlin is questionable with back

    Questionable

  • Baylon Spector
    LB

    Spector is questionable with calf

    Questionable

  • Dorian Williams
    LB

    Williams is questionable with elbow

    Questionable

  • Tylan Grable
    OL

    Grable is out with groin

    Out

Dolphins Injuries

  • Kendall Lamm
    T

    Lamm is questionable with back

    Questionable

  • Terron Armstead
    T

    Armstead is questionable with knee

    Questionable

  • Tyus Bowser
    OLB

    Bowser is out with knee

    Out

  • Bradley Chubb
    LB

    Chubb is questionable with knee

    Questionable

  • Austin Jackson
    OL

    Jackson is out with knee

    Out

  • Blake Ferguson
    LS

    Ferguson is out with rest

    Out

  • Jaylen Waddle
    WR

    Waddle is out with knee

    Out

  • Dee Eskridge
    WR

    Eskridge is doubtful with knee

    Doubtful

  • Cameron Goode
    LB

    Goode is questionable with knee

    Questionable

  • Kader Kohou
    CB

    Kohou is questionable with back

    Questionable

  • Grant DuBose
    WR

    DuBose is questionable with shoulder

    Questionable

Team Stats
393
Total Yards
414
58
Total Plays
56
6.8
Yards Per Play
7.4
282
YDS
320
25/35
Comps/Atts
21/25
6.436
YPA
11.481
1/1
TDs/INTs
4/0
4/31
Sacks/Yards
2/10
142
Rush Yards
104
19
Attempts
29
7.474
YPC
3.586
2
TDs
2

Turnovers

1
Fumbles Lost
0
1
Interceptions
0

Efficiency

3/4 75%
Redzone
5/6 83.33%
3/10 0%
3rd Down
5/10 0%
0/3 0%
4th Down
0/0 0%

First Downs

20
Total
24
12
Pass
14
8
Rush
8
0
Penalty
2
8/98
Penalties/Yards
4/20
29:38
Possession
30:22

Dolphins vs. Bills Odds Comparison

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Dolphins at Bills Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Dolphins
6-8
o24.5-115
u24.5-115
Bills
11-3
o27.5+104
u27.5-126