Bills vs. Commanders Odds & Betting Predictions - September 24, 2023

Bills at Commanders

5:00 pm • CBS
37 - 3

Bills at Commanders Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Bills
11-3
-5.5-112
o44-115
-237
Commanders
9-5
+5.5-108
u44-110
+195
location pinSunday 5:00 p.m.
September 24, 2023
Northwest StadiumLandover
Bills vs. Commanders Expert Picks
Firefighter Bets
Firefighter Bets
455d ago
Last 30d: 11-15-0 (-5.3u)
J.Poyer o5.5 Tackles + Ast+110
1u
Anders
Anders
455d ago
Last 30d: 27-32-1 (-0.7u)
BUF -4-120
1u
i mean its just too low imo
Jeremiah Rose
Jeremiah Rose
455d ago
Last 30d: 54-39-0 (+12.5u)
WAS +6.5-125
0.4u
Resorts World
Kyle "Vince" Akins
Kyle "Vince" Akins
455d ago
Last 30d: 1-2-0 (-0.7u)
BUF -5.5-105
1.05u
The Touchdown Show
The Touchdown Show
455d ago
Last 30d: 12-36-1 (+1.8u)
J.Cook Anytime TD Scorer+175
1u
@charliedisturco
D.Kincaid Anytime TD Scorer+300
0.5u
Via Brian Matthews
YBK Picks.com
455d ago
Last 30d: 39-47-3 (-22.9u)
WAS +6-105
2.1u
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
455d ago
Last 30d: 97-74-4 (+21.5u)
WAS +6.5-110
1.1u
Raheem Palmer
Raheem Palmer
455d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
BUF -2.5 (1H)-124
1u
BUF -5-110
1u
Got a better price on Buffalo than I thought I’d get initially. Buying back in with the weather not being as bad as I thought initially.
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
455d ago
Last 30d: 89-78-2 (+22.6u)
WAS +5.5-110
3u
Greg Matherne
Greg Matherne
455d ago
Last 30d: 24-15-2 (+5.1u)
BUF -5.5-110
1u
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
455d ago
Last 30d: 189-213-7 (+13.4u)
WAS +6-110
1.1u
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
456d ago
Last 30d: 33-25-1 (+4.6u)
T.McLaurin u4.5 Recs-130
1.3u
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
456d ago
Last 30d: 66-83-1 (+7.3u)
G.Davis u41.5 Rec Yds-114
0.88u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
456d ago
Last 30d: 29-50-0 (-6.0u)
BUF -6-110
0.5u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
456d ago
Last 30d: 155-141-0 (+12.3u)
Under 43-110
0.91u
Washington put up 35 last week + RLM
Green Dot Daily
Green Dot Daily
457d ago
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+0.6u)
BUF -6.5-108
0.93u
Fade Rovell
Brandon Anderson
Brandon Anderson
458d ago
Last 30d: 34-82-0 (-14.5u)
Washington D Anytime TD Scorer+1000
0.25u
Shall we get goofy? Gimme some Josh Allen mistakes in a tropical storm against that nasty defensive front. Maybe a strip 6 or Manny Forbes brings that NCAA record pick 6 into play? Make SURE to play at DK. By far the best number and it also includes special teams TDs. H/t @GDAWG5000
WAS +5+113
1.8u
Taking advantage of our Lookahead CLV to buy out of a heavy position. Washington looks a bit better than they did a week ago after another win, but more importantly I don’t love this high line with a possible tropical storm coming in. Betting this alt line at DK locks in a tiny marginal profit and gets us out clean. Sometimes we can be right about CLV on these early reads and change our mind later and use that to get out clean. Don't hate Buffalo pick but wouldn't make it 2u now.
Raheem Palmer
Raheem Palmer
458d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 44-125
1u
Buying out of this position……weather related. Possible tropical storm.
WAS +6.5-108
1.08u
Line moving against me…..buying back
Simon Hunter
Simon Hunter
458d ago
Last 30d: 22-30-3 (-8.0u)
WAS +6.5-111
1u
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
458d ago
Last 30d: 59-72-0 (+31.1u)
J.Bates Anytime TD Scorer+1800
0.1u
Logan Thomas banged up
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
458d ago
Last 30d: 33-77-0 (-1.8u)
J.Bates Anytime TD Scorer+1800
0.1u
Bet at Bet365 on 09/21. TE Logan Thomas in concussion protocol. Good chance he doesn’t play. Bates played nearly all of 2H after Thomas got hurt. This is already down to +500 at DK and FD so grabbing this now before it drops.
Milly Props
Milly Props
459d ago
Last 30d: 5-5-1 (-0.0u)
S.Diggs o69.5 Rec Yds-115
0.87u
Raheem Palmer
Raheem Palmer
459d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 44-110
1.1u
Model makes this game 47
Joe Metz
Joe Metz
460d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
BUF -6-115
1u
Tanner McGrath
Tanner McGrath
460d ago
Last 30d: 126-97-6 (+12.9u)
BUF -6.5-110
1u
Green Dot Daily
Green Dot Daily
460d ago
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+0.6u)
BUF -6.5-110
0.91u
@nick_giffen
Nick Martin
Nick Martin
460d ago
Last 30d: 121-168-4 (+5.8u)
BUF -6.5-110
0.91u
Bet365 3:28 Tuesday.
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
460d ago
Last 30d: 98-110-2 (+15.1u)
Over 44-110
1.1u
Nico Terpak
Nico Terpak
460d ago
Last 30d: 22-15-0 (+5.0u)
BUF -6.5-110
$100.00
Chad Millman
Chad Millman
460d ago
Last 30d: 21-28-1 (-4.1u)
BUF -6.5-110
0.91u
I bet the lookahead line at -6 on Sunday morn. Hitting it again before it gets to 7. Commanders been very lucky in two wins this year. When Buffalo/Josh Allen win, they win big. Quickslip to FD: https://account.sportsbook.fanduel.com/sportsbook/addToBetslip?marketId[0]=42.395961782&selectionId[0]=50203&shareBetId=10023_-443033149
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
460d ago
Last 30d: 59-72-0 (+31.1u)
BUF -6.5-110
1u
#LuckRankings
Raheem Palmer
Raheem Palmer
461d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
BUF -6.5-110
1u
Chad Millman
Chad Millman
462d ago
Last 30d: 21-28-1 (-4.1u)
BUF -6-110
0.05u
I hit this for half a unit after listening to @wheatonbrando on the action network wrap up pod last week.
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
465d ago
Last 30d: 69-75-5 (+5.4u)
BUF -5.5-110
0.91u
Ridiculous opener, should be at least over the TD. Good looks @wheatonbrando
Brandon Anderson
Brandon Anderson
465d ago
Last 30d: 34-82-0 (-14.5u)
BUF -5-110
1.82u
BOUGHT OUT: weather coming, so used our positive CLV to buy out and lock in small profit to avoid risk. Would not buy Buffalo -6.5 Week 3 Lookahead Allen clunkers happen, but faith will be restored in Bills after big home win over Raiders. Commanders almost lost to awful Cards. Howell bad, offense blah, dropped to 30th in my Power Rankings Bills cover this line in 31/39 wins (79%) last 3 season. Just zero reason this will stay below a td.

PRO Insights

Bills logo

Bills

BUF Insights
  • Bills logoCommanders QBs have a 7.7 passer rating when their QB was under pressure since Week 15 of the 2022 Season -- third-worst in NFL. The Bills have allowed a passer rating of 1.7 when the opposing QB was under pressure since Week 15 of the 2022 Season -- best in NFL.
TRY FOR FREE
Commanders logo

Commanders

WAS Insights
  • Commanders logoThe Commanders have scored 4.0 points per Red Zone drive since the 2022 season -- tied for seventh-worst in NFL. The Bills have allowed 3.5 points per Red Zone drive since the 2022 season -- best in NFL.
TRY FOR FREE

Bills vs. Commanders Previews & Analysis

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    Sep 27, 2023 UTC
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    How to Bet Every Team and Every Game in NFL Week 3

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    Sep 24, 2023 UTC
  • Bills vs Commanders: Howell'in for This Player Prop article feature image

    Bills vs Commanders: Howell'in for This Player Prop

    Cody Goggin
    Sep 24, 2023 UTC
  • Koerner's Updated Pick'em & Confidence Ratings article feature image

    Koerner's Updated Pick'em & Confidence Ratings

    Sean Koerner
    Sep 24, 2023 UTC
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Bills vs. Commanders Props

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Line Movement Tracker

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Bills vs. Commanders Public Betting Percentages

100%

Bets%

0%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Commanders
8-5-15-23-3-16-32-2-1
Bills
9-54-25-37-32-2

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Commanders
9-54-35-25-44-1
Bills
9-55-14-48-21-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Commanders
9-5N/AN/A7-22-3
Bills
11-3N/AN/A9-12-2

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Sep 17th@DENW 35-33+4 WO 38.5WAS +156
Sep 10thARIW 20-16-7 LU 38WAS -310
Aug 26thCINW 21-19-3 LO 34.5WAS -164
Aug 22ndBALW 29-28+1 WO 37.5WAS +105
Aug 11th@CLEW 17-15+2.5 WU 37WAS +124

Commanders vs. Bills Injury Updates

Commanders Injuries

  • Tyler Ott
    LS

    Ott is questionable with illness

    Questionable

  • Jamison Crowder
    WR

    Crowder is questionable with calf

    Questionable

  • Cornelius Lucas
    T

    Lucas is questionable with ankle

    Questionable

  • Nick Bellore
    LB

    Bellore is questionable with knee

    Questionable

  • Jonathan Allen
    DT

    Allen is out with pectoral

    Out

  • Noah Brown
    WR

    Brown is out with knee

    Out

  • Austin Ekeler
    RB

    Ekeler is out with concussion

    Out

  • Greg Joseph
    K

    Joseph is out with abdomen

    Out

  • Austin Seibert
    K

    Seibert is out with hip

    Out

  • Jeremy Chinn
    S

    Chinn is questionable with concussion

    Questionable

  • Colson Yankoff
    TE

    Yankoff is out with hamstring

    Out

Bills Injuries

  • Jordan Phillips
    DT

    Phillips is out with wrist

    Out

  • Curtis Samuel
    WR

    Samuel is questionable with ribs

    Questionable

  • Rasul Douglas
    CB

    Douglas is questionable with knee

    Questionable

  • Matt Milano
    LB

    Milano is questionable with biceps

    Questionable

  • Taylor Rapp
    S

    Rapp is questionable with neck

    Questionable

  • Casey Toohill
    DE

    Toohill is questionable with ribs

    Questionable

  • Damar Hamlin
    S

    Hamlin is questionable with back

    Questionable

  • Baylon Spector
    LB

    Spector is questionable with calf

    Questionable

  • Dorian Williams
    LB

    Williams is questionable with elbow

    Questionable

  • Tylan Grable
    OL

    Grable is out with groin

    Out

Team Stats
386
Total Yards
230
65
Total Plays
51
5.9
Yards Per Play
4.5
218
YDS
170
20/32
Comps/Atts
19/29
6.813
YPA
3.289
1/1
TDs/INTs
0/4
0/0
Sacks/Yards
9/45
168
Rush Yards
105
33
Attempts
13
5.091
YPC
8.077
2
TDs
0
0
Fumbles Lost
1
1
Interceptions
4

Efficiency

2/4 50%
Redzone
0/2 0%
9/15 0%
3rd Down
1/9 0%
0/1 0%
4th Down
0/1 0%

First Downs

20
Total
15
10
Pass
8
10
Rush
5
0
Penalty
2
6/45
Penalties/Yards
2/15
34:39
Possession
25:21

Bills vs. Commanders Odds Comparison

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Bills at Commanders Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Bills
11-3
o24.5-122
u24.5-115
Commanders
9-5
o19.5-112
u19.5+104