Dolphins vs. Patriots Odds & Betting Predictions - September 18, 2023

Dolphins at Patriots

12:20 am • NBC
24 - 17

Dolphins at Patriots Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Dolphins
4-6
-2.5-110
o46.5-110
-126
Patriots
3-8
+2.5-110
u46.5-110
+108
location pinMonday 12:20 a.m.
September 18, 2023
Gillette StadiumFoxborough
Dolphins vs. Patriots Expert Picks
Raheem Palmer
Raheem Palmer
431d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
NE +700 (Live)
0.16u
Hedge
Jeremiah Rose
Jeremiah Rose
431d ago
Last 30d: 37-35-2 (+6.0u)
MIA -118
0.21u
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
431d ago
Last 30d: 69-52-0 (+10.4u)
R.Stevenson o12.5 Rush Att-110
1u
Goes hand in hand with my analysis on the Pats leg of the SGP, I just don’t see the Pats wanting to air it out too much - especially with Trent Brown out. Rhamondre only 12 totes last week against an elite defensive line. Dolphins run defense was gashed last week (and all of last season).
Geoff aka OldManWhoBets
Geoff aka OldManWhoBets
431d ago
Last 30d: 15-22-0 (-4.3u)
H.Henry Anytime TD Scorer+320
0.8u
D.Parker Anytime TD Scorer+440
0.25u
D.Smythe Anytime TD Scorer+360
0.25u
Capper Central
Capper Central
431d ago
Last 30d: 74-70-0 (-9.4u)
Under 22.5 (1H)+100
$100.00
Raheem Palmer
Raheem Palmer
431d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
MIA -1.5-107
1u
Charlie DiSturco
Charlie DiSturco
431d ago
Last 30d: 43-65-2 (-4.2u)
M.Gesicki First Touchdown Scorer+2500
0.1u
Stuck 🚨
Stuck 🚨
431d ago
Last 30d: 62-40-0 (+8.5u)
Over 46-110
0.3u
Small snf sweat. Don’t chase if you’re down. It’s a long year and it’s September 17th
Charlie DiSturco
Charlie DiSturco
431d ago
Last 30d: 43-65-2 (-4.2u)
M.Gesicki o13.5 Rec Yds-110
1u
https://www.actionnetwork.com/content/dolphins-vs-patriots-3-leg-same-game-parlay-sunday-night-football/embed
NE +117
1u
Sandy  Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
431d ago
Last 30d: 121-110-0 (+15.6u)
J.Waddle Anytime TD Scorer+140
$50.00
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
431d ago
Last 30d: 126-100-1 (+14.1u)
T.Hill u81.5 Rec Yds-115
1.74u
Either I’m a genius or I’m a dumbass
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
431d ago
Last 30d: 85-83-3 (+35.3u)
R.Stevenson o78.5 Rush + Rec Yds-114
1u
YBK Picks.com
431d ago
Last 30d: 55-39-1 (+29.7u)
NE +2.5-105
2.1u
Capper Central
Capper Central
431d ago
Last 30d: 74-70-0 (-9.4u)
NE +3-120
$120.00
Added .2U
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
431d ago
Last 30d: 126-100-1 (+14.1u)
R.Stevenson Anytime TD Scorer+105
1.05u
First TD of the season today
Convince Me
Convince Me
431d ago
Last 30d: 23-22-1 (-1.0u)
NE +3-125
1u
@The_Oddsmaker Suggests buying the 3 to -125
The Great Foosini
432d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
MIA -2.5-115
0.87u
Collin Wilson
Collin Wilson
432d ago
Last 30d: 62-49-0 (+5.1u)
NE +3-117
1.17u
Charlie DiSturco
Charlie DiSturco
432d ago
Last 30d: 43-65-2 (-4.2u)
D.Smythe Anytime TD Scorer+380
0.5u
Let’s ride @nick_giffen
Simon Hunter
Simon Hunter
432d ago
Last 30d: 22-25-0 (-6.0u)
NE +2.5-105
1u
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
432d ago
Last 30d: 43-105-1 (-15.0u)
D.Smythe Anytime TD Scorer+380
0.5u
This one's for @charliedisturco and @TheTDShow
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
432d ago
Last 30d: 35-25-0 (+5.6u)
J.Smith-Schuster u16.5 Longest Reception-125
1u
NE +3-124
1.24u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
432d ago
Last 30d: 26-44-0 (-3.9u)
Under 46-110
0.5u
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
432d ago
Last 30d: 150-187-1 (-40.6u)
NE +2.5-105
1.58u
Ray  Monohan
Ray Monohan
432d ago
Last 30d: 13-13-0 (-0.6u)
NE +2.5-105
2u
AAA Sports
AAA Sports
432d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
NE +2.5-105
$1.00
Nicholas Parsons
Nicholas Parsons
432d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 46.5-110
0.91u
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
432d ago
Last 30d: 60-57-1 (+7.4u)
NE +2.5-102
3u
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
432d ago
Last 30d: 69-52-0 (+10.4u)
J.Smith-Schuster u16.5 Longest Reception-125
1u
In week 1, JuJu was tied for third in WR routes run on the Pats, and sixth overall in aDOT (4.3 yards, with all seven of his targets coming within 10 yards of the LOS. With rumblings coming from Pats camp that the coaches are worried he has no burst, and with DeVante Parker and/or Jalen Raegor potentially poaching some snaps, I love this under. Jones was checking down like crazy throughout week 1, and the run game for NE should be much more prominent against a bad Dolphins rush defense. Ok at u15.5 for a partial unit.
Daniel Dobish
432d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
NE +2.5-102
1u
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
432d ago
Last 30d: 104-118-1 (-8.8u)
J.Waddle o61.5 Rec Yds-115
0.87u
J.Waddle o4.5 Recs+115
1u
Firefighter Bets
Firefighter Bets
432d ago
Last 30d: 54-64-0 (-14.6u)
J.Holland o6.5 Tackles + Ast+114
2.28u
Chris Raybon
Chris Raybon
432d ago
Last 30d: 10-15-2 (-6.2u)
Under 46.5-110
0.91u
Sandy  Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
432d ago
Last 30d: 121-110-0 (+15.6u)
NE +3-120
$60.00
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
432d ago
Last 30d: 48-85-2 (+4.0u)
J.Waddle Anytime TD Scorer+160
1u
Bet at Caesars. Scored in 3/4 career games vs Patriots and all 14 of his career TD have been thrown from Tua.
New England D Anytime TD Scorer+650
0.5u
Bet at DraftKings. Make sure if you tail, yours includes special teams (D/ST). Patriots led NFL with 7 defensive TD. This is an ideal matchup for chaos.
H.Henry Anytime TD Scorer+340
1.7u
Bet at PointsBet. Would play down to +300. Dolphins vs TE is an ideal matchup. Wouldnt be mad at the Gesicki revenge spot bet either.
Alex  Smart
Alex Smart
432d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 46.5-110
0.91u
Charlie DiSturco
Charlie DiSturco
433d ago
Last 30d: 43-65-2 (-4.2u)
R.Stevenson o50.5 Rush Yds-114
1.14u
Check out the NY Post tmrw for analysis.
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
433d ago
Last 30d: 126-100-1 (+14.1u)
Under 46.5-110
1.82u
Fading the steam - Patriots watch tape
Action Island
Action Island
433d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
T.Hill Anytime TD Scorer+124
1.24u
T.Tagovailoa o1.5 Pass TDs-130
1u
R.Stevenson Anytime TD Scorer-105
0.95u
Grant Neiffer
Grant Neiffer
433d ago
Last 30d: 49-57-2 (-4.3u)
E.Elliott Anytime TD Scorer+375
1u
Barstool
Matthew Vincenzi
Matthew Vincenzi
433d ago
Last 30d: 9-13-0 (-6.9u)
NE +3-110
1.1u
Kevin  Thomas
Kevin Thomas
433d ago
Last 30d: 11-24-0 (-13.7u)
NE +3-110
1u
The Favorites Podcast
The Favorites Podcast
434d ago
Last 30d: 8-8-0 (-0.8u)
NE +3-115
1.1u
Big Balls Bet of the Week
Nick Martin
Nick Martin
434d ago
Last 30d: 151-265-2 (-9.4u)
NE +3-110
0.5u
Bet365 12:17 Friday.
Chad Millman
Chad Millman
434d ago
Last 30d: 25-25-1 (+0.3u)
NE +3-110
1u
The Big Balls Bet of the Week on @TheFavoritesPodcast!
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
434d ago
Last 30d: 92-131-1 (-4.7u)
MIA -3-105
1u
MIA -2.5-118
1u
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
435d ago
Last 30d: 43-105-1 (-15.0u)
NE +3-110
1.1u
#LuckRankings
Jim Sannes
Jim Sannes
437d ago
Last 30d: 14-20-0 (+9.6u)
Under 47.5-112
0.89u
Available at FanDuel. I was on the under for the Dolphins' game in Week 1, and it didn't go well! But this just feels like a very lofty number, especially when we can hit on a key number of 47. That Chargers/Dolphins game was played indoors while this one will be outside with current wind projections of 5 miles per hour. That could change, but even assuming just that level of wind, my model still suggests the under. New England's offense was fine enough against the Eagles, but they certainly didn't dramatically alter expectations. I have more faith in Bill Belichick cooking up a defensive scheme to prevent a shootout than I do Brandon Staley, and that plays a role here, too. It's just too high of a number for two teams with solid defenses and only one explosive offense.
Tanner McGrath
Tanner McGrath
438d ago
Last 30d: 82-72-3 (+2.4u)
NE +2.5-110
1.1u
I can’t help myself

PRO Insights

Dolphins logo

Dolphins

MIA Insights
  • Dolphins logoPatriots QBs have a 113.9 passer rating when scrambling since Week 14 of the 2022 Season -- second-best in NFL. The Dolphins have allowed a passer rating of 132.3 when the opposing QB was scrambling since Week 14 of the 2022 Season -- worst in NFL.
TRY FOR FREE
Patriots logo

Patriots

NE Insights
  • Patriots logoDolphins TEs have 31.8 receiving yards per game since Week 14 of the 2022 Season -- fourth-worst in NFL. The Patriots have averaged 30.5 receiving yards per game allowed to TEs since Week 14 of the 2022 Season -- fifth-best in NFL.
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Dolphins vs. Patriots Previews & Analysis

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    McMurphy's Law: Looking Ahead to CFB Week 5

    Brett McMurphy
    Sep 27, 2023 UTC
  • NFL Luck Rankings: Saints-Panthers Fits Threshold article feature image

    NFL Luck Rankings: Saints-Panthers Fits Threshold

    Action Predictive Analytics
    Sep 18, 2023 UTC
  • Our Best Bets for Dolphins vs. Patriots article feature image

    Our Best Bets for Dolphins vs. Patriots

    Action Network Staff
    Sep 17, 2023 UTC
  • Raybon's Bet for Dolphins vs. Patriots Tonight article feature image

    Raybon's Bet for Dolphins vs. Patriots Tonight

    Chris Raybon
    Sep 17, 2023 UTC
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Dolphins vs. Patriots Props

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Dolphins vs. Patriots Public Betting Percentages

100%

Bets%

0%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Patriots
4-6-11-3-13-2N/A4-6-1
Dolphins
4-61-43-22-42-2

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Patriots
6-54-11-4N/A6-5
Dolphins
4-63-21-43-31-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Patriots
3-8N/AN/AN/A3-8
Dolphins
4-6N/AN/A3-31-3

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Sep 10thPHIL 20-25+3.5 LO 44PHI +148
Aug 26th@TENL 7-23+2.5 LU 38TEN +120
Aug 20th@GBW 21-17+2.5 WO 37.5NE +120
Aug 10thHOUL 9-20+3 LU 37.5HOU +145
Jan 8th@BUFL 23-35+8.5 LO 44BUF +320

Patriots vs. Dolphins Injury Updates

Patriots Injuries

  • Yannick Ngakoue
    LB

    Ngakoue is out with personal

    Out

  • Deatrich Wise
    DE

    Wise is questionable with foot

    Questionable

  • Daniel Ekuale
    DT

    Ekuale is questionable with abdomen

    Questionable

  • Sione Takitaki
    LB

    Takitaki is questionable with knee

    Questionable

  • Kyle Dugger
    S

    Dugger is questionable with ankle

    Questionable

  • Christian Elliss
    LB

    Elliss is questionable with abdomen

    Questionable

  • Vederian Lowe
    T

    Lowe is questionable with shoulder

    Questionable

  • Marte Mapu
    S

    Mapu is questionable with neck

    Questionable

  • Alex Austin
    CB

    Austin is questionable with ankle

    Questionable

  • Jaquelin Roy
    DT

    Roy is questionable with neck

    Questionable

Dolphins Injuries

  • Kendall Fuller
    CB

    Fuller is out with concussion

    Out

  • Isaiah Wynn
    OL

    Wynn is questionable with quad

    Questionable

  • Alec Ingold
    FB

    Ingold is questionable with calf

    Questionable

  • Austin Jackson
    OL

    Jackson is out with knee

    Out

  • Robert Jones
    OL

    Jones is questionable with knee

    Questionable

  • Patrick McMorris
    DB

    McMorris is questionable with calf

    Questionable

Team Stats
389
Total Yards
288
61
Total Plays
71
6.4
Yards Per Play
4.1
249
YDS
231
21/30
Comps/Atts
31/42
7.871
YPA
4.348
1/1
TDs/INTs
1/1
1/5
Sacks/Yards
4/31
145
Rush Yards
88
30
Attempts
25
4.833
YPC
3.52
2
TDs
1
0
Fumbles Lost
1
1
Interceptions
1
2/3 66.67%
Redzone
2/2 100%
4/10 0%
3rd Down
7/15 0%
0/0 0%
4th Down
1/2 0%

First Downs

22
Total
23
15
Pass
10
6
Rush
10
1
Penalty
3
6/46
Penalties/Yards
5/45
30:19
Possession
29:41

Dolphins vs. Patriots Odds Comparison

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Dolphins at Patriots Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Dolphins
4-6
o23.5-112
u23.5-107
Patriots
3-8
o22.5-120
u22.5-110