Bengals vs. Chiefs Odds & Betting Predictions - January 29, 2023

Bengals at Chiefs

11:30 pm • CBS
20 - 23

Bengals at Chiefs Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Bengals
6-8
+2-110
o48.5-110
+113
Chiefs
14-1
-2-110
u48.5-110
-133
location pinSunday 11:30 p.m.
January 29, 2023
GEHA Field at Arrowhead StadiumKansas City
Bengals vs. Chiefs Expert Picks
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
693d ago
Last 30d: 98-111-2 (+14.0u)
CIN -6.5 (Live)+350
1u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
693d ago
Last 30d: 157-142-0 (+13.3u)
Under 46.5 (Live)-116
0.86u
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
693d ago
Last 30d: 98-111-2 (+14.0u)
CIN +285 (Live)
0.5u
Will Brinson
Will Brinson
693d ago
Last 30d: 23-24-0 (-3.4u)
Over 42.5 (Live)-110
2u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
693d ago
Last 30d: 157-142-0 (+13.3u)
KC -130
2.31u
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
693d ago
Last 30d: 98-111-2 (+14.0u)
CIN +250 (Live)
1.5u
Anders
Anders
693d ago
Last 30d: 27-32-1 (-0.7u)
J.Burrow o17.5 Rush Yds-110
1u
Tanner McGrath
Tanner McGrath
693d ago
Last 30d: 126-97-6 (+12.9u)
J.Mixon u3.5 Recs-130
0.4u
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
693d ago
Last 30d: 98-75-4 (+21.3u)
T.Kelce o6.5 Recs-135
2u
Will Brinson
Will Brinson
693d ago
Last 30d: 23-24-0 (-3.4u)
CIN +2-110
2.2u
Prop Bomb 🏝
Prop Bomb 🏝
693d ago
Last 30d: 9-8-0 (-0.4u)
J.Mixon u3.5 Recs-135
1u
MGM: Inspired by @The_Oddsmaker. Mixon’s 26.4 pass snaps avg. has gone down to 13 & 17 in the two playoff games. Appears to have been a change as it’s Perine that has overtaken the 2-Min drill as well as LDD snaps for catching. #PlayerProps
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
693d ago
Last 30d: 98-111-2 (+14.0u)
H.Hurst o3.5 Recs-150
1u
Always tail @ChrisRaybon
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
693d ago
Last 30d: 69-52-0 (+10.4u)
J.Smith-Schuster u19.5 Longest Reception-112
1u
FanDuel. Under in 10/17 this season, including 6/L8. With Kelce seemingly good to go, and all of the other weapons Mahomes has, I don’t see Juju getting deep looks today. In fact, he’s only seen 2 deep looks all season (20+ air yards), and he’s really not much of a YAC threat.
Convince Me
Convince Me
693d ago
Last 30d: 31-39-2 (-10.1u)
H.Hurst o3.5 Recs-150
0.67u
@ChrisRaybon #ChrisRaybon
KC -1.5-110
0.91u
@SimonHunterNFL #SimonHunter
J.Mixon u3.5 Recs-135
0.74u
@The_Oddsmaker #SeanKoerner
YBK Picks.com
693d ago
Last 30d: 39-48-3 (-24.9u)
KC -1.5-105
3u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
693d ago
Last 30d: 157-142-0 (+13.3u)
P.Mahomes o9.5 Rush Yds-107
1u
Collin Wilson
Collin Wilson
693d ago
Last 30d: 82-79-4 (-24.6u)
CIN +115
1u
Will hedge based on Kelce news
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
693d ago
Last 30d: 189-214-7 (+11.7u)
CIN +2-112
2.24u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
693d ago
Last 30d: 29-50-0 (-6.0u)
Over 47.5-110
0.55u
CZR
Greg Matherne
Greg Matherne
693d ago
Last 30d: 24-15-2 (+5.1u)
K.Toney Anytime TD Scorer+280
0.7u
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
693d ago
Last 30d: 60-72-0 (+32.1u)
K.Toney Anytime TD Scorer+280
1u
Project +265 FanDuel QuickSlip: https://account.sportsbook.fanduel.com/sportsbook/addToBetslip?marketId[0]=42.360374166&selectionId[0]=37606056&shareBetId=10023_-443033149
Brandon Anderson
Brandon Anderson
693d ago
Last 30d: 35-82-0 (-13.5u)
J.Burrow o3.5 Rush Att+118
2.36u
Clear theme from past games vs Chiefs: Burrow uses his legs as a weapon: 5 runs for 10 yds, 5/25, 11/46. Bengals OL poor vs v good Chiefs pressure especially inside should push Burrow to run. KC allows top 5 most run att and yds to QBs. 3+ rushes all but one blowout game this season. Can always get there on kneel downs too. Line is just too low if you can find it. I'd make it at least one full att higher and still like the over. Over this in 13/18 (72%). https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-conference-championship-picks-bets-player-props-49ers-vs-eagles-bengals-vs-chiefs?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=brandonanderson
Simon Hunter
Simon Hunter
693d ago
Last 30d: 23-30-3 (-7.1u)
KC -2.5-107
0.93u
Under 48.5-110
0.91u
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
693d ago
Last 30d: 69-52-0 (+10.4u)
L.Wilson o8.5 Tackles + Ast-118
1.18u
Full write-up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-player-props-expert-eagles-vs-49ers-chiefs-vs-bengals-picks?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=propbetguy
Jeremiah Rose
Jeremiah Rose
693d ago
Last 30d: 55-40-0 (+11.8u)
P.Mahomes u287.5 Pass Yds-110
0.4u
The Touchdown Show
The Touchdown Show
693d ago
Last 30d: 12-37-1 (+1.3u)
S.Perine Anytime TD Scorer+480
4.8u
@nick_giffen
J.Burrow Anytime TD Scorer+500
1u
@GDAWG5000
T.Boyd Anytime TD Scorer+310
1u
@GDAWG5000
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
693d ago
Last 30d: 60-72-0 (+32.1u)
J.Mixon u23.5 Rec Yds-110
1u
At FD: Writeup in Predictive Analytics Best Bets QuickSlip: https://account.sportsbook.fanduel.com/sportsbook/addToBetslip?marketId[0]=42.360461130&selectionId[0]=14810354&shareBetId=10023_-443033149
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
693d ago
Last 30d: 35-79-0 (-1.3u)
K.Toney Anytime TD Scorer+280
0.75u
Bet at FanDuel.
Tanner McGrath
Tanner McGrath
693d ago
Last 30d: 126-97-6 (+12.9u)
Over 48-110
0.88u
J.Burrow o18.5 Rush Yds-120
0.4u
KC -1.5-110
1u
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
693d ago
Last 30d: 69-52-0 (+10.4u)
J.Burrow o17.5 Rush Yds-113
1u
FanDuel. KC is 5th in pressure rate. Cinci is missing multiple starters on the line. Burrow’s 12% scramble rate is 4th amongst qualified QBs - 46 yards (23 via scrambles) vs the KC back in week 13, and 25 in last season’s playoff matchup. KC allowed the 3rd most rush attempts and 5th most QB rush yards. I don’t see KC changing their defensive philosophy to protect against Burrow’s rushing, and it wouldn’t surprise me to see the Bengals use a designed rush or two (he had 5 last time be the Chiefs).
Brandon Anderson
Brandon Anderson
694d ago
Last 30d: 35-82-0 (-13.5u)
J.Mixon o74.5 Rush Yds+205
0.5u
another alt at 365
J.Mixon o19.5 Rush Att+500
0.5u
Bengals lead back has rushed 21, 12, 21x in the 3 KC games. Bengals #2 DVOA run team since week 4, and KC run D is vulnerable. Expect Cincy to help its weak line and keep Mahomes off the field by pounding Mixon all game. This is a terrible alt line at Bet365. https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-conference-championship-picks-bets-player-props-49ers-vs-eagles-bengals-vs-chiefs?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=brandonanderson
J.Mixon o57.5 Rush Yds-113
0.5u
Backing Mixon rushing multiple ways. See article for why, protect the banged up OL and keep Mahomes off the field. This is the traditional over. Like even better but can't track on the app: Most rush yards of the weekend +500 PB Most rush yards for the playoffs +250 MGM https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-conference-championship-picks-bets-player-props-49ers-vs-eagles-bengals-vs-chiefs?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=brandonanderson
CIN +0.5 (2H)-104
1.44u
Welcome to Burrowhead. Just can't shake the feeling that Cincinnati is better right now. Better run game, better receivers, better pass rush, better run D, better ST and coaching so far. Mahomes is supposed to be the great equalizer but he just can't be 100% and if he's not then Burrow is just as good or better. I won't be shocked if chiefs come out hot at home but Mahomes health will deteriorate as the game goes on, and Anarumo has made masterful adjustments. I expect Cincy to find answers based on what KC can do. Story of these 3g Bengals won was KC early, Cincy late. Bengals have covered 23 of their last 27 second halves. Prefer +0.5 to ML cuz tie wins, and to +1.5 cuz gross juice not worth the one point. https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-conference-championship-picks-bets-player-props-49ers-vs-eagles-bengals-vs-chiefs?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=brandonanderson
Sandy  Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
694d ago
Last 30d: 117-116-5 (+9.1u)
KC -127
$200.79
Greg Matherne
Greg Matherne
695d ago
Last 30d: 24-15-2 (+5.1u)
S.Perine Anytime TD Scorer+470
4.7u
Action Pod NFL Picks
Action Pod NFL Picks
695d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
T.Boyd Anytime TD Scorer+300
1.1u
Gallant best bet
CIN +0.5 (1H)-110
1.1u
Anderson Best Bet
CIN +1-110
1.1u
Luke Swain / VegasRefund Best Bet
Sunday Six Pack
Sunday Six Pack
695d ago
Last 30d: 10-20-0 (-12.4u)
J.Burrow o17.5 Rush Yds-114
1u
Stuckey 2
S.Perine o15.5 Rec Yds-114
1.14u
Stuckey 3
The Favorites Podcast
The Favorites Podcast
695d ago
Last 30d: 7-12-1 (-6.3u)
KC -1-110
1u
Simon Says
Under 47.5-110
1u
Exec Decision
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
695d ago
Last 30d: 60-72-0 (+32.1u)
S.Perine Anytime TD Scorer+480
4.8u
At FD: Analysis on @TheTDShow on Sunday
Anders
Anders
695d ago
Last 30d: 27-32-1 (-0.7u)
KC -110
2u
*sigh*
Green Dot Daily
Green Dot Daily
695d ago
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+0.6u)
J.Burrow o17.5 Rush Yds-114
0.88u
#stuckey @Stuckey2
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
695d ago
Last 30d: 35-79-0 (-1.3u)
T.Boyd Anytime TD Scorer+310
1u
Bet at DraftKings. KC allowed 2nd-most TDs to slot in NFL. Boyd lines up exclusively in slot. Like Hurst in this spot too but prefer Boyd.
Chris  Meaney
Chris Meaney
695d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
M.Valdes-Scantling o27.5 Rec Yds-102
1u
J.Smith-Schuster o48.5 Rec Yds-115
1.15u
Green Dot Daily
Green Dot Daily
696d ago
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+0.6u)
J.Mixon u3.5 Recs-145
0.69u
#seankoerner @The_Oddsmaker
J.Mixon u24.5 Rec Yds-117
0.85u
#nickgiffen @nick_giffen
Matthew Vincenzi
Matthew Vincenzi
696d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
KC +1-115
1u
Anders
Anders
696d ago
Last 30d: 27-32-1 (-0.7u)
P.Mahomes o279.5 Pass Yds-120
1u
S.Perine o15.5 Rec Yds-110
1.1u
J.Mixon u3.5 Recs-120
1u
Chris  Meaney
Chris Meaney
697d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
J.McKinnon o29.5 Rec Yds-114
1.14u
Chad Millman
Chad Millman
697d ago
Last 30d: 22-28-1 (-3.6u)
K.Toney u34.5 Rec Yds-114
0.88u
J.Mixon u3.5 Recs-132
0.76u
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
697d ago
Last 30d: 34-25-1 (+5.6u)
J.Mixon u3.5 Recs-118
1u
FD: see player prop guide for full analysis
K.Toney u35.5 Rec Yds-110
1u
BetMGM: see player prop guide for full analysis
Stuck 🚨
Stuck 🚨
697d ago
Last 30d: 66-64-2 (-2.3u)
J.Burrow o17.5 Rush Yds-108
0.46u
S.Perine o14.5 Rec Yds-120
0.5u
J.Mixon u3.5 Recs-115
0.43u
P.Mahomes o279 Pass Yds-120
0.42u
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
697d ago
Last 30d: 35-79-0 (-1.3u)
J.Burrow Anytime TD Scorer+500
1u
Bet at Fanduel. Getting this in now as I can see it dropping more by kickoff. Down to +310 at some books. Had 22 RZ carries during season, rushed for TD in WC vs Ravens and also rushed for TD vs Chiefs in W13. If you have FanDuel and want to tail, use QuickSlip below for easy process: https://www.actionnetwork.com/api/link-fdbs?marketId%5B0%5D=42.360374166&selectionId%5B0%5D=22502304&shareBetId=10023_-443033149
Anders
Anders
697d ago
Last 30d: 27-32-1 (-0.7u)
I.Pacheco u1.5 Recs-170
1.02u
H.Hurst o3.5 Recs-155
0.8u
Raybon
Chris Raybon
Chris Raybon
697d ago
Last 30d: 17-19-0 (-3.1u)
H.Hurst o3.5 Recs-150
0.67u
4+ rec in 10-of-15 (67%) this season. Had 3 targets on 6 routes before getting hurt vs. KC. KC allowing 6th-most schedule-adjusted targets per game to TE. True odds should be closer to -200.
I.Pacheco u1.5 Recs-165
1u
Under in 4 of last 5 and 7 of 10 since becoming starter. Fair value for this line should be -233. Pacheco dowsnt play on passing downs and McKinnon taking more early down snaps, Pacheco only 35% snaps total last week. Also a chance CEH returns which could cut into Pacheco's passing snaps.
Green Dot Daily
Green Dot Daily
698d ago
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+0.6u)
Under 47-110
0.91u
#chadmillman @millmanc
Chris  Meaney
Chris Meaney
699d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
J.Chase o6.5 Recs-140
1.4u
T.Kelce o78.5 Rec Yds-110
1.1u
Jim Sannes
Jim Sannes
699d ago
Last 30d: 13-17-0 (-3.9u)
KC -115
0.87u
This is risky given the Mahomes injury and the non-zero chance he doesn't even play. But I have a pretty big downward adjustment in my model, and even then, I have the Chiefs favored by more than two points. It's possible this number continues to shift toward the Bengals, in which case betting it now would look dumb. But the injury appears to be more than baked into the line already. Kansas City has a good infrastructure to support a limping Mahomes, and they have the full week to gameplan around his lack of mobility. This might wind up looking dumb, but I'm okay with the risk, personally.
Chris  Meaney
Chris Meaney
700d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
CIN -105
1.05u
Anders
Anders
700d ago
Last 30d: 27-32-1 (-0.7u)
Under 48.5-110
1u
opener makes me scared of mahomes news
Matthew Freedman
Matthew Freedman
700d ago
Last 30d: 2-2-1 (-0.2u)
KC -1-110
1u
PointsBet: Nope. The number is too low as long as QB Patrick Mahomes is active.
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
700d ago
Last 30d: 98-111-2 (+14.0u)
CIN +105
1u
Collin Wilson
Collin Wilson
700d ago
Last 30d: 82-79-4 (-24.6u)
CIN +2.5-110
1.1u
Chad Millman
Chad Millman
700d ago
Last 30d: 22-28-1 (-3.6u)
Under 51.5-110
0.91u
Thinking this will drop, hitting it while still above the key number of 51. FD quickslip: https://account.sportsbook.fanduel.com/sportsbook/addToBetslip?marketId[0]=42.360271686&selectionId[0]=7017917&shareBetId=10023_-443033149
CIN +3-115
1u
Collin Wilson
Collin Wilson
700d ago
Last 30d: 82-79-4 (-24.6u)
Under 51-110
1u

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See more NFL Coverage Right Arrow

Bengals vs. Chiefs Props

Prop Projections

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Bengals vs. Chiefs Public Betting Percentages

100%

Bets%

0%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Chiefs
3-01-02-01-02-0
Bengals
9-62-57-17-42-2

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Chiefs
1-20-11-10-11-1
Bengals
10-55-25-36-54-0

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Chiefs
4-0N/AN/A1-02-0
Bengals
6-8N/AN/A7-40-4

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Jan 21stJACW 27-20-9.5 LU 52KC -505
Jan 7th@LVW 31-13-8.5 WU 52KC -400
Jan 1stDENW 27-24-12.5 LO 46KC -750
Dec 24thSEAW 24-10-10.5 WU 50.5KC -524
Dec 18th@HOUW 30-24-14.5 LO 48.5KC -1150

Bengals vs. Chiefs Injury Updates

Bengals Injuries

  • Sheldon Rankins
    DT

    Rankins is out with illness

    Out

  • Orlando Brown
    T

    Brown is questionable with knee

    Questionable

  • Alex Cappa
    G

    Cappa is questionable with concussion

    Questionable

  • Sam Hubbard
    DE

    Hubbard is out with knee

    Out

  • Tanner Hudson
    TE

    Hudson is out with knee

    Out

  • Joe Bachie
    LB

    Bachie is out with groin

    Out

  • Charlie Jones
    WR

    Jones is questionable with groin

    Questionable

Chiefs Injuries

  • D.J. Humphries
    T

    Humphries is out with hamstring

    Out

  • Mecole Hardman
    WR

    Hardman is questionable with knee

    Questionable

  • Leo Chenal
    LB

    Chenal is questionable with illness

    Questionable

  • Rashee Rice
    WR

    Rice is out with leg

    Out

  • Chamarri Conner
    DB

    Conner is out with concussion

    Out

  • Cam Jones
    LB

    Jones is questionable with illness

    Questionable

  • Jared Wiley
    TE

    Wiley is out with knee

    Out

  • Spencer Shrader
    K

    Shrader is out with hamstring

    Out

Team Stats
309
Total Yards
357
63
Total Plays
66
4.9
Yards Per Play
5.4
270
YDS
326
26/41
Comps/Atts
29/43
5.174
YPA
6.848
1/2
TDs/INTs
2/0
5/32
Sacks/Yards
3/11
71
Rush Yards
42
17
Attempts
20
4.176
YPC
2.1
1
TDs
0

Turnovers

0
Fumbles Lost
1
2
Interceptions
0

Efficiency

1/3 33.33%
Redzone
2/3 66.67%
6/14 0%
3rd Down
7/14 0%
1/1 0%
4th Down
1/1 0%

First Downs

18
Total
23
11
Pass
17
6
Rush
3
1
Penalty
3
9/71
Penalties/Yards
4/55
27:09
Possession
32:51

Bengals vs. Chiefs Odds Comparison

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Bengals at Chiefs Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Bengals
6-8
o24.5+110
u24.5-140
Chiefs
14-1
o24.5-115
u24.5-115