Bengals vs. Chiefs Odds & Betting Predictions - January 29, 2023
Bengals at Chiefs
11:30 pm • CBSBengals at Chiefs Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Bengals 9-8 | +2-110 | o48.5-110 | +113 | |
![]() Chiefs 2-1 | -2-110 | u48.5-110 | -133 |

GEHA Field at Arrowhead StadiumKansas City
Bengals vs. Chiefs Expert Picks

Matt Moore
793d ago
Last 30d: 44-29-1 (+15.4u)
CIN -6.5 (Live)+350
1u

Mjaybrod
793d ago
Last 30d: 75-100-0 (-22.5u)
Under 46.5 (Live)-116
0.86u

Matt Moore
793d ago
Last 30d: 44-29-1 (+15.4u)
CIN +285 (Live)
0.5u

Will Brinson
793d ago
Last 30d: 18-38-0 (+61.7u)
Over 42.5 (Live)-110
2u

Mjaybrod
793d ago
Last 30d: 75-100-0 (-22.5u)
KC -130
2.31u

Matt Moore
793d ago
Last 30d: 44-29-1 (+15.4u)
CIN +250 (Live)
1.5u

Anders
793d ago
Last 30d: 7-9-0 (-5.0u)
J.Burrow o17.5 Rush Yds-110
1u

Tanner McGrath
793d ago
Last 30d: 55-74-1 (-24.6u)
J.Mixon u3.5 Recs-130
0.4u

The Degenerates
793d ago
Last 30d: 76-82-1 (-15.9u)
T.Kelce o6.5 Recs-135
2u

Will Brinson
793d ago
Last 30d: 18-38-0 (+61.7u)
CIN +2-110
2.2u

Prop Bomb 🏝
793d ago
Last 30d: 8-4-0 (+3.4u)
J.Mixon u3.5 Recs-135
1u
MGM: Inspired by @The_Oddsmaker. Mixon’s 26.4 pass snaps avg. has gone down to 13 & 17 in the two playoff games. Appears to have been a change as it’s Perine that has overtaken the 2-Min drill as well as LDD snaps for catching. #PlayerProps

Matt Moore
793d ago
Last 30d: 44-29-1 (+15.4u)
H.Hurst o3.5 Recs-150
1u
Always tail @ChrisRaybon

Prop Bet Guy
793d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
J.Smith-Schuster u19.5 Longest Reception-112
1u
FanDuel. Under in 10/17 this season, including 6/L8. With Kelce seemingly good to go, and all of the other weapons Mahomes has, I don’t see Juju getting deep looks today. In fact, he’s only seen 2 deep looks all season (20+ air yards), and he’s really not much of a YAC threat.

Convince Me
793d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
H.Hurst o3.5 Recs-150
0.67u
@ChrisRaybon #ChrisRaybon
KC -1.5-110
0.91u
@SimonHunterNFL #SimonHunter
J.Mixon u3.5 Recs-135
0.74u
@The_Oddsmaker #SeanKoerner
YBK Picks.com
793d ago
Last 30d: 36-46-0 (-18.9u)
KC -1.5-105
3u

Mjaybrod
793d ago
Last 30d: 75-100-0 (-22.5u)
P.Mahomes o9.5 Rush Yds-107
1u

Collin Wilson
793d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
CIN +115
1u
Will hedge based on Kelce news

Shady Biev
794d ago
Last 30d: 166-173-0 (-16.9u)
CIN +2-112
2.24u

Sean Zerillo
794d ago
Last 30d: 64-104-4 (-14.9u)
Over 47.5-110
0.55u
CZR

Greg Matherne
794d ago
Last 30d: 18-35-0 (+7.8u)
K.Toney Anytime TD Scorer+280
0.7u

Nick Giffen
794d ago
Last 30d: 41-78-0 (-23.8u)
K.Toney Anytime TD Scorer+280
1u
Project +265
FanDuel QuickSlip: https://account.sportsbook.fanduel.com/sportsbook/addToBetslip?marketId[0]=42.360374166&selectionId[0]=37606056&shareBetId=10023_-443033149

Brandon Anderson
794d ago
Last 30d: 8-33-0 (-7.4u)
J.Burrow o3.5 Rush Att+118
2.36u
Clear theme from past games vs Chiefs: Burrow uses his legs as a weapon: 5 runs for 10 yds, 5/25, 11/46.
Bengals OL poor vs v good Chiefs pressure especially inside should push Burrow to run. KC allows top 5 most run att and yds to QBs.
3+ rushes all but one blowout game this season. Can always get there on kneel downs too. Line is just too low if you can find it. I'd make it at least one full att higher and still like the over. Over this in 13/18 (72%).
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-conference-championship-picks-bets-player-props-49ers-vs-eagles-bengals-vs-chiefs?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=brandonanderson

YBB SportsData
794d ago
Last 30d: 7-9-0 (-2.0u)
Under 48.5-110
$0.91

Simon Hunter
794d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
KC -2.5-107
0.93u
Under 48.5-110
0.91u

Prop Bet Guy
794d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
L.Wilson o8.5 Tackles + Ast-118
1.18u
Full write-up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-player-props-expert-eagles-vs-49ers-chiefs-vs-bengals-picks?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=propbetguy

Jeremiah Rose
794d ago
Last 30d: 21-30-1 (-4.0u)
P.Mahomes u287.5 Pass Yds-110
0.4u

The Touchdown Show
794d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
S.Perine Anytime TD Scorer+480
4.8u
@nick_giffen
J.Burrow Anytime TD Scorer+500
1u
@GDAWG5000
T.Boyd Anytime TD Scorer+310
1u
@GDAWG5000

Steak Friend
794d ago
Last 30d: 252-302-8 (-38.0u)
KC -130
3u
Under 48.5-110
1u

Nick Giffen
794d ago
Last 30d: 41-78-0 (-23.8u)
J.Mixon u23.5 Rec Yds-110
1u
At FD: Writeup in Predictive Analytics Best Bets
QuickSlip: https://account.sportsbook.fanduel.com/sportsbook/addToBetslip?marketId[0]=42.360461130&selectionId[0]=14810354&shareBetId=10023_-443033149
Gilles Gallant
794d ago
Last 30d: 62-77-2 (-8.0u)
K.Toney Anytime TD Scorer+280
0.75u
Bet at FanDuel.

Tanner McGrath
794d ago
Last 30d: 55-74-1 (-24.6u)
Over 48-110
0.88u
J.Burrow o18.5 Rush Yds-120
0.4u
KC -1.5-110
1u

Prop Bet Guy
794d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
J.Burrow o17.5 Rush Yds-113
1u
FanDuel. KC is 5th in pressure rate. Cinci is missing multiple starters on the line. Burrow’s 12% scramble rate is 4th amongst qualified QBs - 46 yards (23 via scrambles) vs the KC back in week 13, and 25 in last season’s playoff matchup. KC allowed the 3rd most rush attempts and 5th most QB rush yards.
I don’t see KC changing their defensive philosophy to protect against Burrow’s rushing, and it wouldn’t surprise me to see the Bengals use a designed rush or two (he had 5 last time be the Chiefs).

YBB SportsData
794d ago
Last 30d: 7-9-0 (-2.0u)
KC -1.5-110
$0.91

Brandon Anderson
794d ago
Last 30d: 8-33-0 (-7.4u)
J.Mixon o74.5 Rush Yds+205
0.5u
another alt at 365
J.Mixon o19.5 Rush Att+500
0.5u
Bengals lead back has rushed 21, 12, 21x in the 3 KC games. Bengals #2 DVOA run team since week 4, and KC run D is vulnerable. Expect Cincy to help its weak line and keep Mahomes off the field by pounding Mixon all game. This is a terrible alt line at Bet365.
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-conference-championship-picks-bets-player-props-49ers-vs-eagles-bengals-vs-chiefs?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=brandonanderson
J.Mixon o57.5 Rush Yds-113
0.5u
Backing Mixon rushing multiple ways. See article for why, protect the banged up OL and keep Mahomes off the field.
This is the traditional over. Like even better but can't track on the app:
Most rush yards of the weekend +500 PB
Most rush yards for the playoffs +250 MGM
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-conference-championship-picks-bets-player-props-49ers-vs-eagles-bengals-vs-chiefs?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=brandonanderson
CIN +0.5 (2H)-104
1.44u
Welcome to Burrowhead. Just can't shake the feeling that Cincinnati is better right now. Better run game, better receivers, better pass rush, better run D, better ST and coaching so far.
Mahomes is supposed to be the great equalizer but he just can't be 100% and if he's not then Burrow is just as good or better.
I won't be shocked if chiefs come out hot at home but Mahomes health will deteriorate as the game goes on, and Anarumo has made masterful adjustments. I expect Cincy to find answers based on what KC can do.
Story of these 3g Bengals won was KC early, Cincy late. Bengals have covered 23 of their last 27 second halves. Prefer +0.5 to ML cuz tie wins, and to +1.5 cuz gross juice not worth the one point.
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-conference-championship-picks-bets-player-props-49ers-vs-eagles-bengals-vs-chiefs?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=brandonanderson

Sandy Plashkes
795d ago
Last 30d: 114-127-5 (-22.1u)
KC -127
$200.79

Greg Matherne
795d ago
Last 30d: 18-35-0 (+7.8u)
S.Perine Anytime TD Scorer+470
4.7u

Action Pod NFL Picks
795d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
T.Boyd Anytime TD Scorer+300
1.1u
Gallant best bet
CIN +0.5 (1H)-110
1.1u
Anderson Best Bet
CIN +1-110
1.1u
Luke Swain / VegasRefund Best Bet

Sunday Six Pack
795d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
J.Burrow o17.5 Rush Yds-114
1u
Stuckey 2
S.Perine o15.5 Rec Yds-114
1.14u
Stuckey 3

The Favorites Podcast
795d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
KC -1-110
1u
Simon Says
Under 47.5-110
1u
Exec Decision

Nick Giffen
796d ago
Last 30d: 41-78-0 (-23.8u)
S.Perine Anytime TD Scorer+480
4.8u
At FD: Analysis on @TheTDShow on Sunday

Anders
796d ago
Last 30d: 7-9-0 (-5.0u)
KC -110
2u
*sigh*

Green Dot Daily
796d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
J.Burrow o17.5 Rush Yds-114
0.88u
#stuckey @Stuckey2
Gilles Gallant
796d ago
Last 30d: 62-77-2 (-8.0u)
T.Boyd Anytime TD Scorer+310
1u
Bet at DraftKings. KC allowed 2nd-most TDs to slot in NFL. Boyd lines up exclusively in slot. Like Hurst in this spot too but prefer Boyd.

Chris Meaney
796d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
M.Valdes-Scantling o27.5 Rec Yds-102
1u
J.Smith-Schuster o48.5 Rec Yds-115
1.15u

Green Dot Daily
797d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
J.Mixon u3.5 Recs-145
0.69u
#seankoerner @The_Oddsmaker
J.Mixon u24.5 Rec Yds-117
0.85u
#nickgiffen @nick_giffen

Matthew Vincenzi
797d ago
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-1.0u)
KC +1-115
1u

Anders
797d ago
Last 30d: 7-9-0 (-5.0u)
P.Mahomes o279.5 Pass Yds-120
1u
S.Perine o15.5 Rec Yds-110
1.1u
J.Mixon u3.5 Recs-120
1u

Chris Meaney
797d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
J.McKinnon o29.5 Rec Yds-114
1.14u

Chad Millman
797d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
K.Toney u34.5 Rec Yds-114
0.88u
J.Mixon u3.5 Recs-132
0.76u

Sean Koerner
797d ago
Last 30d: 27-31-0 (-1.0u)
K.Toney u35.5 Rec Yds-110
1u
BetMGM: see player prop guide for full analysis
J.Mixon u3.5 Recs-118
1u
FD: see player prop guide for full analysis

Stuck 🚨
797d ago
Last 30d: 30-52-1 (-4.8u)
J.Burrow o17.5 Rush Yds-108
0.46u
S.Perine o14.5 Rec Yds-120
0.5u
J.Mixon u3.5 Recs-115
0.43u
P.Mahomes o279 Pass Yds-120
0.42u
Gilles Gallant
798d ago
Last 30d: 62-77-2 (-8.0u)
J.Burrow Anytime TD Scorer+500
1u
Bet at Fanduel. Getting this in now as I can see it dropping more by kickoff. Down to +310 at some books. Had 22 RZ carries during season, rushed for TD in WC vs Ravens and also rushed for TD vs Chiefs in W13.
If you have FanDuel and want to tail, use QuickSlip below for easy process:
https://www.actionnetwork.com/api/link-fdbs?marketId%5B0%5D=42.360374166&selectionId%5B0%5D=22502304&shareBetId=10023_-443033149

Anders
798d ago
Last 30d: 7-9-0 (-5.0u)
I.Pacheco u1.5 Recs-170
1.02u
H.Hurst o3.5 Recs-155
0.8u
Raybon

Chris Raybon
798d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
H.Hurst o3.5 Recs-150
0.67u
4+ rec in 10-of-15 (67%) this season. Had 3 targets on 6 routes before getting hurt vs. KC. KC allowing 6th-most schedule-adjusted targets per game to TE. True odds should be closer to -200.
I.Pacheco u1.5 Recs-165
1u
Under in 4 of last 5 and 7 of 10 since becoming starter. Fair value for this line should be -233. Pacheco dowsnt play on passing downs and McKinnon taking more early down snaps, Pacheco only 35% snaps total last week. Also a chance CEH returns which could cut into Pacheco's passing snaps.

Green Dot Daily
799d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 47-110
0.91u
#chadmillman @millmanc

Chris Meaney
799d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
J.Chase o6.5 Recs-140
1.4u
T.Kelce o78.5 Rec Yds-110
1.1u

Jim Sannes
800d ago
Last 30d: 15-29-0 (+3.6u)
KC -115
0.87u
This is risky given the Mahomes injury and the non-zero chance he doesn't even play. But I have a pretty big downward adjustment in my model, and even then, I have the Chiefs favored by more than two points. It's possible this number continues to shift toward the Bengals, in which case betting it now would look dumb. But the injury appears to be more than baked into the line already. Kansas City has a good infrastructure to support a limping Mahomes, and they have the full week to gameplan around his lack of mobility. This might wind up looking dumb, but I'm okay with the risk, personally.

Chris Meaney
800d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
CIN -105
1.05u

Anders
800d ago
Last 30d: 7-9-0 (-5.0u)
Under 48.5-110
1u
opener makes me scared of mahomes news

Matthew Freedman
800d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
KC -1-110
1u
PointsBet: Nope. The number is too low as long as QB Patrick Mahomes is active.

Matt Moore
800d ago
Last 30d: 44-29-1 (+15.4u)
CIN +105
1u

Collin Wilson
800d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
CIN +2.5-110
1.1u

Chad Millman
800d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 51.5-110
0.91u
Thinking this will drop, hitting it while still above the key number of 51. FD quickslip: https://account.sportsbook.fanduel.com/sportsbook/addToBetslip?marketId[0]=42.360271686&selectionId[0]=7017917&shareBetId=10023_-443033149
CIN +3-115
1u

Collin Wilson
800d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 51-110
1u
Bengals vs. Chiefs Previews & Analysis
Bengals vs. Chiefs Props
Prop Projections
There are no prop projections found for the selected slate. Please check back later.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Bengals vs. Chiefs Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Chiefs are 2-1 in their last 5 games.
- Chiefs are 1-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Chiefs are 4-4 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Chiefs' last 3 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Chiefs' 2 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Bengals vs. Chiefs Injury Updates

Bengals Injuries
- Drew SampleTE
Sample is questionable with groin
Questionable
- Lucas PatrickG
Patrick is out with knee
Out
- Tee HigginsWR
Higgins is questionable with ankle
Questionable
- Geno StoneS
Stone is questionable with illness
Questionable
- Joseph OssaiDE
Ossai is questionable with illness
Questionable
- T.J. SlatonDE
Slaton is questionable with ankle
Questionable
- Cam Taylor-BrittCB
Taylor-Britt is questionable with ankle
Questionable
- Chase BrownRB
Brown is out with ankle
Out
- Charlie JonesWR
Jones is questionable with groin
Questionable
- Amarius MimsOL
Mims is questionable with ankle
Questionable
- Jermaine BurtonWR
Burton is out with rest
Out

Chiefs Injuries
- Skyy MooreWR
Moore is doubtful with abdomen
Doubtful
- Rashee RiceWR
Rice is out with leg
Out
- Cam JonesLB
Jones is questionable with illness
Questionable
- Jared WileyTE
Wiley is out with knee
Out
Team Stats
Bengals vs. Chiefs Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Bengals at Chiefs Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
![]() Bengals 9-8 | o24.5+110 | u24.5-140 |
![]() Chiefs 2-1 | o24.5-115 | u24.5-115 |