Steelers vs. Texans Odds & Betting Predictions - October 1, 2023

Steelers at Texans

5:00 pm • CBS

Pittsburgh Steelers

10-5

6 - 30

Houston Texans

9-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Steelers 10-5	-3-110	o41.5-110	-150
Texans 9-6	+3-110	u41.5-109	+126

Sunday 5:00 p.m.

October 01, 2023

NRG StadiumHouston

M.Fitzpatrick o5.5 Tackles + Ast-115

0.87u

PIT -140

0.8u

Boyd

PIT -2.5-120

Selling high on this Texans team sorry CJ

HOU +3-112

0.89u

HOU +3-108

0.93u

HOU +3-112

2.68u

HOU u20.5-122

1.22u

R.Woods o33.5 Rec Yds-124

$62.00

D.Schultz u15.5 Longest Reception-125

1.25u

Full write up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-player-props-bet-josh-downs-dalton-schultz-sunday-week-4?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=propbetguy

PIT -3-107

HOU +3-112

0.89u

N.Collins o3.5 Recs-140

0.89u

Under 42.5-110

0.45u

Every Team Every Game: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-week-4-preview-odds-picks-every-game-every-team

N.Harris o55.5 Rush Yds-115

0.87u

HOU +3-120

Raybon 3

PIT -3-108

1.1u

DraftKings - I think this should be past a field goal. I have PIT as a clear tier ahead of HOU, who has minimal HFA. For more, check out Fantasy Life.

HOU +3-120

C.Stroud o7.5 Rush Yds-135

0.74u

C.Stroud o7.5 Rush Yds-115

In three games, Stroud has 14, 1 and 20 rush yards. The Steelers allowed QBs over this line in 12/17 last season 2/3 this season (Jimmy G had 7 yards last week). The Steelers are getting pressure on the QB so far this season (30.3% is the second highest through three games) and the Texans o line is very banged up. Stroud should be on the move a bunch, and I like his chances to scramble a few times. Why? The Steelers linebackers are in man coverage at a top 5 rate, which is typically conducive to QB rushes - stroud should be able to escape the pocket a few times with some daylight to run. Plus, Stroud running isn’t something the Steelers will gameplan defensively for, but he is capable.

HOU +3-118

0.85u

@ChrisRaybon

HOU +3-110

$100.00

HOU +3-105

0.95u

HOU +3.5-113

0.88u

CJ is now OROY leader, but this is also about fading Tomlin as a fave and a the team that just won in prime time. Line should be lower.

HOU +3-104

0.96u

Available at FanDuel. I'm showing value in the moneyline here, too, but paying just -104 to get a push on 3 is hard to turn down. My model makes the Steelers 0.76-point favorites, so I'd expect this one to be pretty tight. We know the Steelers' defense is tough, and the Texans' offensive line has been missing pieces recently. But they've been efficient through the air, regardless, posting plus marks in both early-down passing efficiency and late-down success rate, and I'd expect left tackle Laremy Tunsil to be back this week. The secondary is the other rough spot for the Texans, but they did at least a decent job of keeping the Jags in check without Derek Stingley and Jalen Pitre last week. Getting 3 at home for a team that has looked frisky thus far is hard to turn down.

HOU +3+100

Featured Insight
The Steelers have gone three and out on 44% of their drives in the fourth quarter this season -- tied for worst in NFL. Texans have forced three and outs on 33% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter this season -- tied for sixth-best in NFL.

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Featured Insight
The Texans are 2-10 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2022 season -- tied for third-worst in NFL. The Steelers have intercepted 24 passes since the 2022 season -- tied for second-most in NFL.

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NFL Public Betting

Texans are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Texans are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Texans are 3-5 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Texans' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Texans' 7 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Texans	6-9	3-4	3-5	4-7	2-2
Steelers	10-5	5-1	5-4	5-3	5-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Texans	5-10	1-6	4-4	4-7	1-3
Steelers	8-7	2-4	6-3	4-4	4-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Texans	9-6	N/A	N/A	9-2	0-4
Steelers	10-5	N/A	N/A	5-3	5-2

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 24th	@JAC	W 37-17	+7.5 W	O 43.5	HOU +300
Sep 17th	IND	L 20-31	-1 L	O 40	IND -120
Sep 10th	@BAL	L 9-25	+9.5 L	U 43.5	BAL +330
Aug 28th	@NO	W 17-13	+1 W	U 37.5	HOU -105
Aug 19th	MIA	L 3-28	-1 L	U 39	MIA -120

Tyler Matakevich
LB
Matakevich is questionable with hamstring
Questionable

Jamal Agnew
WR
Agnew is out with leg
Out
Montravius Adams
DT
Adams is questionable with knee
Questionable
Larry Ogunjobi
DT
Ogunjobi is questionable with groin
Questionable
DeShon Elliott
S
Elliott is out with hamstring
Out
Donte Jackson
CB
Jackson is questionable with back
Questionable
Calvin Anderson
T
Anderson is questionable with groin
Questionable
C.J. Henderson
CB
Henderson is out with neck
Out
Justin Fields
QB
Fields is out with abdominal
Out
George Pickens
WR
Pickens is out with hamstring
Out
Dylan Cook
T
Cook is out with foot
Out
Roman Wilson
WR
Wilson is out with hamstring
Out

Jerry Hughes
DE
Hughes is questionable with hip
Questionable
Folorunso Fatukasi
DT
Fatukasi is out with ankle
Out
Jeff Okudah
CB
Okudah is questionable with quad
Questionable
John Metchie
WR
Metchie is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Harris
LB
Harris is questionable with calf
Questionable
Juice Scruggs
OL
Scruggs is out with foot
Out
Cade Stover
TE
Stover is out with illness
Out
Jamal Hill
LB
Hill is questionable with knee
Questionable

See more NFL Injuries

Steelers

Total

Texans

225

Total Yards

451

Total Plays

Yards Per Play

6.5

Steelers

Passing

Texans

132

YDS

312

18/28

Comps/Atts

17/31

3.581

YPA

10.065

0/1

TDs/INTs

3/0

3/21

Sacks/Yards

0/0

Steelers

Rushing

Texans

114

Rush Yards

139

Attempts

4.56

YPC

3.658

TDs

Steelers

Turnovers

Texans

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Steelers

Efficiency

Texans

0/2 0%

Redzone

2/3 66.67%

6/14 0%

3rd Down

6/12 0%

0/1 0%

4th Down

0/1 0%

Steelers

First Downs

Texans

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Steelers

Misc

Texans

2/18

Penalties/Yards

8/63

27:25

Possession

32:35

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MatchupOverUnder
Steelers 10-5	o22.5-110	u22.5-109
Texans 9-6	o19.5-110	u19.5+102

Steelers vs. Texans Odds & Betting Predictions - October 1, 2023

Steelers at Texans

Pittsburgh Steelers

Houston Texans

Steelers at Texans Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

PRO Insights

Steelers

Texans

Steelers vs. Texans Previews & Analysis

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Raybon's 3 Best Bets for the 1 p.m. ET Slate

Steelers vs. Texans Props

Prop Projections

Prop Odds Comparison

Line Movement Tracker

Steelers vs. Texans Public Betting Percentages

Steelers

Public

Texans

Bets%

Money%

Betting Trends

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Steelers vs. Texans Injury Updates

Steelers Injuries

Texans Injuries

Steelers vs. Texans Odds Comparison

Steelers at Texans Team Totals