Colts vs. Texans Odds & Betting Predictions - September 17, 2023

Colts at Texans

5:00 pm • FOX

Indianapolis Colts

6-8

31 - 20

Houston Texans

9-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Colts 6-8	+1-110	o40-110	+100
Texans 9-6	-1-110	u40-110	-120

Sunday 5:00 p.m.

September 17, 2023

NRG StadiumHouston

HOU +5.5 (Live)-108

1.08u

Richardson possible concussion

Under 41-130

0.4u

IND -108

0.93u

Might become a Anthony Richards stan

HOU -110

$100.00

D.Pierce Anytime TD Scorer+150

0.5u

DraftKings 12:25.

Under 40-110

1.1u

T.Dell o24.5 Rec Yds-113

0.88u

@ChrisRaybon

HOU -1-107

HOU -1-110

Under 40-110

0.55u

T.Dell o24.5 Rec Yds-113

0.88u

N.Collins o47.5 Rec Yds-115

0.87u

HOU -110

0.1u

Round Robin 2/5

HOU -1-110

1.1u

Under 39.5-110

0.55u

Z.Moss o11.5 Rush Att-115

First game back, yes, but it was a forearm injury (as opposed to lower body). But he’s walking into a starting role on an offense that figures to feature the run, against a defense that profiles to be pretty poor against the run (once again). And the gamescript should lend to the run game staying as an option through the 4Q. Plus, Evan Hull is on IR, Deon Jackson was awful last week (and still had 13 totes in a game the Colts were losing pretty much all 4 quarters), and Anthony Richardson took a beating.

D.Pierce o13.5 Rush Att-110

0.45u

Only 11 last week but averaged 16.5 attempts last season exceeding 13.5 in 71% of games.

R.Woods u16.5 Longest Reception-125

1.25u

Full write up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-player-prop-bets-week-2-picks-for-keenan-allen-robert-woods?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=propbetguy

IND +1.5-110

Z.Moss o47.5 Rush Yds-113

0.88u

Z.Moss o59.5 Rush Yds+154

0.39u

N.Collins o46.5 Rec Yds-115

0.87u

IND +102

1.53u

HOU -120

$60.00

K.Granson u2.5 Recs-115

1.15u

HOU -1-110

1.1u

FOXHOLE

Under 40-110

TAN Best Bets pod 🎙 Not off Texans futures after wk1 as D looked great but OL injury woes killing offense. Scored 9 last wk, Colts O scored 14, now rookie QB on road vs DeMeco D. Week 2 unders with total 40 and below since 04: 45-16-3 (74%) Most books 39 already, grab 40 czr if you can

HOU +106

Available at FanDuel. My model makes the Texans the favorites in this game, so I'm fine taking the plus money on their side. The Colts' offense looked more functional in Week 1, but they were at home against the Jags while the Texans had to go on the road to face the Ravens. Now they head back home for this one. I'd assume they'll be without Jalen Pitre after he had to stay overnight in a hospital, and that is a blow to the defense. But the Colts' ground attack looked hideous without Jonathan Taylor, and it's unlikely to get better even if Zack Moss is healthy. These two teams are pretty evenly matched by my numbers, so I do agree that taking the plus money is the right approach.

Featured Insight
Texans TEs have 59.3 receiving yards per game since Week 14 of the 2022 Season -- fifth-best in NFL. The Colts have averaged 60.4 receiving yards per game allowed to TEs since Week 14 of the 2022 Season -- eighth-worst in NFL.

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Featured Insight
The Colts have scored 5.4 points per game in the first quarter since Week 14 of the 2022 Season -- 10th-best in NFL. The Texans have allowed 5.8 PPG in the first quarter since Week 14 of the 2022 Season -- sixth-worst in NFL.

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NFL Public Betting

Texans are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Texans are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Texans are 3-5 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Texans' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Texans' 7 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Texans	6-9	3-4	3-5	4-7	2-2
Colts	9-6	5-2	4-4	3-2	6-4

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Texans	5-10	1-6	4-4	4-7	1-3
Colts	7-7-1	4-3	3-4-1	2-3	5-4-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Texans	9-6	N/A	N/A	9-2	0-4
Colts	6-8	N/A	N/A	4-1	3-7

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 10th	@BAL	L 9-25	+9.5 L	U 43.5	BAL +330
Aug 28th	@NO	W 17-13	+1 W	U 37.5	HOU -105
Aug 19th	MIA	L 3-28	-1 L	U 39	MIA -120
Aug 10th	@NE	W 20-9	-3 W	U 37.5	HOU -170
Jan 8th	@IND	W 32-31	+3 W	O 37.5	HOU +124

Jerry Hughes
DE
Hughes is questionable with hip
Questionable

Folorunso Fatukasi
DT
Fatukasi is out with ankle
Out
Jeff Okudah
CB
Okudah is questionable with quad
Questionable
John Metchie
WR
Metchie is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Harris
LB
Harris is questionable with calf
Questionable
Juice Scruggs
OL
Scruggs is out with foot
Out
Cade Stover
TE
Stover is out with illness
Out
Jamal Hill
LB
Hill is questionable with knee
Questionable

Braden Smith
T
Smith is out with personal
Out
E.J. Speed
LB
Speed is out with knee
Out
Matt Gay
K
Gay is questionable with neck
Questionable
Cameron McGrone
LB
McGrone is questionable with elbow
Questionable
Alec Pierce
WR
Pierce is out with concussion
Out
JuJu Brents
CB
Brents is out with knee
Out
Jaylon Carlies
DB
Carlies is questionable with knee
Questionable

See more NFL Injuries

Colts

Total

Texans

353

Total Yards

389

Total Plays

6.3

Yards Per Play

4.9

Colts

Passing

Texans

227

YDS

384

25/33

Comps/Atts

30/47

6.879

YPA

6.358

1/0

TDs/INTs

2/0

0/0

Sacks/Yards

6/47

Colts

Rushing

Texans

126

Rush Yards

Attempts

5.478

YPC

TDs

Colts

Turnovers

Texans

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Colts

Efficiency

Texans

4/4 100%

Redzone

1/4 25%

6/12 0%

3rd Down

9/19 0%

0/0 0%

4th Down

2/2 0%

Colts

First Downs

Texans

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Colts

Misc

Texans

8/42

Penalties/Yards

3/20

25:02

Possession

34:58

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MatchupOverUnder
Colts 6-8	o19.5-124	u19.5+102
Texans 9-6	o20.5-105	u20.5-116

Colts vs. Texans Odds & Betting Predictions - September 17, 2023

Colts at Texans

Indianapolis Colts

Houston Texans

Colts at Texans Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

PRO Insights

Colts

Texans

Colts vs. Texans Previews & Analysis

McMurphy's Law: Looking Ahead to CFB Week 5

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Our NFL Best Bets for the 1 p.m. ET Slate

Colts vs. Texans: Our Favorite QB Rushing Prop

Colts vs. Texans Props

Prop Projections

Prop Odds Comparison

Line Movement Tracker

Colts vs. Texans Public Betting Percentages

Colts

Public

Texans

Bets%

Money%

Betting Trends

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Texans vs. Colts Injury Updates

Texans Injuries

Colts Injuries

Colts vs. Texans Odds Comparison

Colts at Texans Team Totals