Texans vs. Falcons Odds & Betting Predictions - October 8, 2023

Texans at Falcons

5:00 pm • FOX

Houston Texans

9-6

19 - 21

Atlanta Falcons

7-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Texans 9-6	+2.5-110	o42-110	+114
Falcons 7-7	-2.5-110	u42-110	-135

Sunday 5:00 p.m.

October 08, 2023

Mercedes-Benz StadiumAtlanta

B.Robinson o39.5 Rush Yds+172

0.86u

D.Perryman o8.5 Tackles + Ast+105

D.Pierce o12.5 Rush Att-130

0.77u

K.Elliss o5.5 Tackles + Ast-125

0.8u

C.Stroud u245.5 Pass Yds-110

Tailing Jovan on this one let’s go BTL!

HOU +120

0.5u

HOU +2.5-110

0.91u

ATL -2.5-110

Under 42-110

0.91u

ATL -1.5-110

Locked in the line on Thursday

Under 42-110

0.91u

@SimonHunterNFL

B.Robinson Anytime TD Scorer-110

0.91u

@Stuckey2

HOU +2.5-110

0.91u

@ChrisRaybon

HOU +2.5-110

HOU +2.5-105

0.95u

Follow all my picks on FTNBets.com!

HOU +2.5-105

HOU +2.5-110

0.91u

D.Ridder o0.5 Int+140

See writeup

D.Pierce o12.5 Rush Att-130

0.77u

HOU o20.5+105

1.5u

Every Team Every Game: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-odds-picks-bets-every-game-every-team-week-5-preview

B.Robinson o99.5 Rush Yds+320

0.5u

Every Team Every Game: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-odds-picks-bets-every-game-every-team-week-5-preview

ATL -122

0.41u

B.Robinson Anytime TD Scorer+115

1.15u

ATL -2-110

1.1u

Simon Says

HOU +1.5-110

1.1u

Raybon 1

ATL -120

0.83u

Selling high on the Texans. Ridder plays better at home and Falcons will be able to take advantage of Houston's offensive line injuries inside their loud dome.

ATL -130

$50.00

Tailing TMack

B.Robinson o3.5 Recs-120

1.2u

Over in 4/4 with a first read% of 14% (leader amongst RBs who’ve played 2+ games). HOU has allowed an RB with 4+ Rec in L3 (game 1 was against the Ravens, who really don’t utilize their RBs in the pass game). Also - pace. Both teams are in the top 10 of pace. I have enough confidence in HOU’s offense to keep ATL in at least a neutral gamescript.

HOU +2-110

1.1u

D.London o40.5 Rec Yds-114

ATL -125

0.8u

Tailing the Fade Report - gotta fade this Houston team

HOU +110

ATL -2-110

1.1u

Projection: -3.9. For more, check out Fantasy Life.

ATL -2.5-108

$108.00

ATL -1.5-104

0.96u

Over 41.5-110

Available at FanDuel. As mentioned in the note on the Texans' moneyline, the Falcons' offense should be able to move the ball on the ground against the Texans. The offenses mesh well on the other end, too, as Atlanta is getting gashed through the air, and Houston is shredding there. They have above-average marks on early-down pass attempts even while facing some really solid pass defenses thus far. It would be nice to get a win or push on 41, but my model makes this total 43.9, so I'll happily plug in the over and just root for points on Sunday.

HOU -106

Available at FanDuel. This has moved quite a bit from yesterday, but it's still a value by my numbers. I have the Texans as 2.52-point favorites in this game. They've played well through their offensive line injuries, and it's at least a possibility they get Laremy Tunsil back this week. Meanwhile, Atlanta ranks dead last in early-down passing efficiency, and that's even while facing a non-threatening schedule. Houston's defense does struggle against the rush, and obviously the Falcons could exploit that. But I agree with the model that the Texans should be the clear favorites here.

HOU +2.5-105

0.95u

HOU +3.5-112

0.89u

Pre London price bet365 9:29 Oct 1.

Featured Insight
The Falcons have averaged 0.8 passing TDs per game this season -- tied for fourth-worst in NFL. The Texans have allowed 0.5 passing touchdowns per game this season -- tied for best in NFL.

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Featured Insight
The Texans have just 1 rushing touchdown in the Red Zone this season -- tied for third-fewest in NFL. The Falcons have allowed just 1 rushing touchdown in the Red Zone this season -- tied for third-fewest in NFL.

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NFL Public Betting

Falcons are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Falcons are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Falcons are 3-4 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Falcons' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Falcons' 7 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Falcons	5-9	2-5	3-4	4-5	1-4
Texans	6-9	3-4	3-5	4-7	2-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Falcons	5-9	2-5	3-4	4-5	1-4
Texans	5-10	1-6	4-4	4-7	1-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Falcons	7-7	N/A	N/A	6-3	1-4
Texans	9-6	N/A	N/A	9-2	0-4

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 1st	@JAC	L 7-23	+3.5 L	U 42.5	JAC +154
Sep 24th	@DET	L 6-20	+3.5 L	U 47.5	DET +134
Sep 17th	GB	W 25-24	-3 L	O 40	ATL -154
Sep 10th	CAR	W 24-10	-3.5 W	U 40.5	ATL -186
Aug 24th	PIT	L 0-24	+6.5 L	U 38.5	PIT +207

Jerry Hughes
DE
Hughes is questionable with hip
Questionable

Folorunso Fatukasi
DT
Fatukasi is out with ankle
Out
Jeff Okudah
CB
Okudah is questionable with quad
Questionable
John Metchie
WR
Metchie is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Harris
LB
Harris is questionable with calf
Questionable
Juice Scruggs
OL
Scruggs is out with foot
Out
Cade Stover
TE
Stover is out with illness
Out
Jamal Hill
LB
Hill is questionable with knee
Questionable

Lorenzo Carter
OLB
Carter is questionable with groin
Questionable
Mike Hughes
CB
Hughes is questionable with neck
Questionable
KhaDarel Hodge
WR
Hodge is questionable with ribs
Questionable
James Smith-Williams
DE
Smith-Williams is out with tibia
Out
Ta'Quon Graham
DE
Graham is out with pectoral
Out
Troy Andersen
LB
Andersen is out with knee
Out
Jase McClellan
RB
McClellan is out with knee
Out
Casey Washington
WR
Washington is out with concussion
Out

See more NFL Injuries

Texans

Total

Falcons

313

Total Yards

447

Total Plays

5.4

Yards Per Play

Texans

Passing

Falcons

249

YDS

351

20/35

Comps/Atts

29/38

7.114

YPA

9.237

1/0

TDs/INTs

1/0

0/0

Sacks/Yards

0/0

Texans

Rushing

Falcons

Rush Yards

Attempts

2.783

YPC

2.667

TDs

Texans

Turnovers

Falcons

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Texans

Efficiency

Falcons

1/3 33.33%

Redzone

2/4 50%

4/13 0%

3rd Down

7/14 0%

0/0 0%

4th Down

0/0 0%

Texans

First Downs

Falcons

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Texans

Misc

Falcons

5/25

Penalties/Yards

7/55

24:28

Possession

35:32

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MatchupOverUnder
Texans 9-6	o20.5-102	u20.5-118
Falcons 7-7	o21.5-112	u21.5-120

Texans vs. Falcons Odds & Betting Predictions - October 8, 2023

Texans at Falcons

Houston Texans

Atlanta Falcons

Texans at Falcons Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

PRO Insights

Texans

Falcons

Texans vs. Falcons Previews & Analysis

How to Bet Every Game, Every Team in Week 5

Our Staff's 5 NFL Best Bets for 1 p.m. ET

Giffen's Favorite Week 5 Player Props for Sunday's Slate

Texans vs. Falcons: Back Stroud as a 'Dog While You Can

Texans vs. Falcons Props

Prop Projections

Prop Odds Comparison

Line Movement Tracker

Texans vs. Falcons Public Betting Percentages

Texans

Public

Falcons

Bets%

Money%

Betting Trends

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Texans vs. Falcons Injury Updates

Texans Injuries

Falcons Injuries

Texans vs. Falcons Odds Comparison

Texans at Falcons Team Totals