Flyers vs. Lightning Odds & Betting Predictions - March 17, 2025

Flyers at Lightning

11:00 pm • ESPN+

Philadelphia Flyers

28-35-9

0 - 2

Tampa Bay Lightning

40-25-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Flyers 28-35-9	+1.5	+1.5-105	o5.5-120	+260
Lightning 40-25-5	u5.5	-1.5-115	u5.5+100	-325

Monday 11:00 p.m.

March 17, 2025

Amalie ArenaTampa

TB -1.5-115

TB -1.5-114

TB -1.5-115

0.87u

TB -1.5-105

Sura

TB -1.5-105

Under 5.5+100

Johnny

Under 6-120

0.83u

Tampa Bay's defense has been solid at home—allowing just 2.27 goals per game, ranking among the top teams in home defense. Their penalty kill at Amalie Arena is elite (85.1%), shutting down opposing power plays. Philly’s offense has struggled lately, averaging just 1.4 goals per game over their last five. Flyers’ power play is ice-cold (0% over last five). Philadelphia’s defense is leaky (3.37 GA/G), but Tampa’s offense has been inconsistent, scoring just 3.2 goals per game over their last five. Vasilevskiy’s .918 SV% gives Tampa an edge in net, making it tough for Philly to capitalize on limited chances. Flyers also average just 25 shots per game over the last five—won’t generate enough volume to push this over. These teams have trended under recently, with Tampa going under in 7 of their last 10. Tampa has been strong as a favorite (11-2 last 13) but plays disciplined, defensive hockey at home. Given Tampa’s strong PK and Philly’s offensive struggles, this one stays low-scoring.

Under 5.5+130

0.91u

4.06% ev devig to Pinny

Flyers vs. Lightning Prediction, Pick, Odds, Best Bets
Action Network Staff•
Mar 17, 2025 UTC

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NHL Public Betting

Lightning are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Lightning are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Lightning are 17-19 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Lightning' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 13 of Lightning' 34 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Lightning	36-34	19-15	17-19	26-24	10-10
Flyers	34-38	14-22	20-16	7-12	27-24

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Lightning	30-36-4	13-19-2	17-17-2	23-24-3	7-12-1
Flyers	34-37-1	17-18-1	17-19	9-10	24-27

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Lightning	40-25	N/A	N/A	34-16	6-14
Flyers	28-35	N/A	N/A	13-6	15-36

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 15th	@BOS	W 6-2	-1.5 W	O 5.5	TB -185
Mar 13th	@PHI	L 3-4	-1.5 L	O 5.5	PHI -155
Mar 11th	@CAR	L 1-4	+1.5 L	U 5.5	CAR +105
Mar 8th	BOS	L 0-4	-	-	-
Mar 7th	BUF	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 6.5	TB -245

Jonas Johansson
G
Johansson is day-to-day with personal
Day-to-Day

Garnet Hathaway
F
Hathaway is day-to-day with upper body
Day-to-Day
Rasmus Ristolainen
D
Ristolainen is day-to-day with upper body
Day-to-Day
Ryan Ellis
D
Ellis is out for season with back
Out for Season

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Flyers

Lightning

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MatchupOverUnder
Flyers 28-35-9	o2.5+120	u2.5-160
Lightning 40-25-5	o3.5-129	u3.5-105

Flyers vs. Lightning Odds & Betting Predictions - March 17, 2025

Flyers at Lightning

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