Islanders vs. Lightning Odds, Pick, Prediction: Lay it With Tampa in Monday NHL Clash

Islanders vs. Lightning Odds, Pick, Prediction: Lay it With Tampa in Monday NHL Clash article feature image
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Mark LoMoglio/NHLI via Getty Images). Pictured: Andrei Vasilevskiy.

  • The Lightning are a -130 favorite over the Islanders at DraftKings Sportsbook, with the total up to 5.5 from 5 earlier in the day Monday.
  • Tampa's moneyline has also moved at DraftKings, dropping from -135 to -130, though most books remain at -135 as of 4 p.m. ET.
  • Get Pat Pickens' favorite bet for Isles vs. Lightning below.

Islanders vs. Lightning Odds

Islanders Odds+110
Lightning Odds-130
Over/Under5.5 (-135/+115)
Time7 p.m. ET
TVESPN+
Odds via DraftKings, updated on Monday afternoon. Get up-to-the-minute NHL odds and Futures Odds here.

The Islanders and Lightning have met in the Eastern Conference Final each of the past two seasons and will square off for the first time since Game 7 of their epic postseason series last season.

The Islanders can see the light at the end of their marathon, season-opening road trip and will play the penultimate game of their 13-game voyage.

Tampa Bay is on a seven-game point streak, going 5-0-2 in that stretch. The Islanders have scored the second-fewest goals in the NHL (27), trailing only Arizona, and have lost two straight games.

Lightning Continue to Improve

The Lightning are rolling despite being without star wing Nikita Kucherov, who will miss his 11th straight game with a lower-body injury sustained against the Washington Capitals on October 16. Tampa Bay is in fourth place in the Atlantic Division but has the third-best point percentage and has played the second fewest games in the division.

Tampa Bay was uncharacteristically bad at home, starting the season 0-2-1, but has gone 3-0-1 over its past four at Amalie Arena. The Lightning have the NHL's lowest home expected goals percentage (44.0), a fact that has to even out at some point.

For more odds on the Lightning, please refer to this page.


Islanders Still Waiting For Home

The Islanders are making their second trip to Florida this season but first to Tampa since falling in Game 7 of the Eastern Conference Final on June 25. New York sits in last place in the Metropolitan Division but has fought admirably while it waits for its debut at UBS Arena on Saturday.

Unsurprisingly, the Islanders are the stingiest team in the NHL, allowing a league-low 28 goals through their first 11 games this season. But they've been equally anemic offensively, posting the fewest high-danger chances in the league (113) and the second-fewest expected goals scored (28.9).

For more odds on the Islanders, please refer to this page.

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Lightning vs. Islanders Pick

The Islanders and Lightning are familiar with one another after meeting in the playoffs two straight years. This should be a tight, low-scoring, playoff-type game, particularly since the Islanders are fresh after not having played since Thursday.

Still, the Lightning are the Lightning, and these odds are very enticing for a team that hasn't lost in regulation in three weeks. As long as the odds stay reasonable, say -170 or lower, this feels like a no-brainer.

Pick: Lightning ML (-135)

About the Author
Pat Pickens has covered the NHL since 2013, with bylines in The New York Times, Sportsnet.ca, NHL.com, Bleacher Report, USA Today and many others. His best hockey bet came on the Los Angeles Kings -1.5 in Game 1 of the 2012 Western Conference Final.

Follow Pat Pickens @Pat_Pickens on Twitter/X.

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