Kings vs. Oilers Odds, Preview, Prediction: Expect Plenty of Goals in NHL Showdown (Dec. 5)

Kings vs. Oilers Odds, Preview, Prediction: Expect Plenty of Goals in NHL Showdown (Dec. 5) article feature image
Credit:

Andy Devlin/NHLI via Getty Images. Pictured: Edmonton Oilers teammates Connor McDavid, left, and Leon Draisaitl.

  • Lost Angeles travels to Edmonton on Sunday night for a Pacific Division battle.
  • The Kings have just one win in their last eight games, while the Oilers have won nine of their last 10 at home.
  • Grant White breaks down the game and gives his top pick, below.

Kings vs. Oilers Odds

Kings Odds+165
Oilers Odds-195
Over/Under6
Time8 p.m. ET
TVESPN+
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute NHL Odds here.

The Edmonton Oilers host the Los Angeles Kings in a Pacific Division battle on in Sunday's NHL action.

The Kings have just one win over their past eight games, but will have their hands full trying to limit Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl on their home ice. Recent history suggests it could be a long night for the Kings, as they've struggled with defensive zone coverage over their last few games.

Los Angeles Kings

Defense has been a serious concern for the Kings over their recent sample of contests. The Kings have allowed 16 or more quality chances in three of their past four, with a running average of 17.0 over that span. Scoring chances and shots are also going off the deep end, with opponents averaging 34.0 and 34.8, respectively, over the same stretch.

Those metrics are part of season-long trends, illustrating the Kings' inability to limit their opponents' offense. Los Angeles gives up the ninth-most high-danger chances and seventh-most scoring chances per game this season.

Still, the Kings aren't letting questionable defensive zone coverage get in the way of meaningful offense, as they rank as one of the best offensive teams in the league. Anze Kopitar and company attempt the second-most quality chances and fifth-most scoring opportunities per outing.

Their offensive abilities are reflected in their recent game scores, as the Kings have attempted no fewer than 13 high-danger chances in seven straight games and 31 or more scoring chances in six of their previous seven.

Edmonton Oilers

A lot of the Oilers' offensive success can be attributed to their elite power play. McDavid and Draisaitl have been lethal with the man advantage, combining for 36 power-play points through the team's first 22 games.

That well is running a little dry over the Oilers' recent sample, with the club being held scoreless on the power-play in three of their past five games. The Oilers continue to generate chances, though, recording 23 shots and 22 scoring, and 11 high-danger chances over that span. So, they should start having more luck finding the back of the net.

Edmonton has been outstanding at home this season, going 9-1-0 through their first 10 games, but its metrics have dipped over its recent sample. The Oilers attempted an average of 14.4 quality chances and 33.9 scoring opportunities through their first seven home games of the season.  However, Edmonton is averaging just 8.3 and 27.3, respectively, over its past three home games.

Look for those production metrics to start working their way back up toward season norms in the upcoming home games.

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Kings vs. Oilers Pick

The Oilers' anticipated uptick in production could occur against a Kings squad struggling defensively. However, we've seen elite offensive output from the Kings this season, which should continue against an Oilers team with concerns between the pipes.

Los Angeles has eclipsed the total in four of their past six contests, with Edmonton going north of the number in eight of 10 home games this season. We like those trends to continue and this game to go over 6 in this matchup.

Pick: Total Over 6 Goals (-115)

About the Author
There was no way of knowing that perusing the Edmonton Journal's stats page as a little guy would turn into a career analyzing sports metrics. Grant comes armed with data to any sports conversation and is always looking for inroads into the sports betting space.

Follow Grant White @4thlinesports on Twitter/X.

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