Red Wings vs. Oilers Odds
| Red Wings Odds | +185 |
| Oilers Odds | -225 |
| Over / Under | 6.5 -130/ +110 |
Here's everything you need to know about the Detroit Red Wings vs. Edmonton Oilers on Tuesday, February 13 – our expert NHL prediction and pick.
A game rich in narrative and statistics, this encounter pits a struggling Detroit squad fighting to remain in control of the final wild-card spot in the East against an Edmonton team that boasts some of the league's top offensive metrics. Understanding the nuances of each team's performance, from advanced metrics like Corsi and xG% to the prowess of their starting goalies, is crucial to the decision-making in this game.
So, let's get to my prediction for Red Wings vs. Oilers.
Detroit Red Wings
The Red Wings enter tonight's game with significant challenges, particularly on offense. Their rankings at the bottom of the league in Corsi For (CF – 31st), xG For (xGF – 32nd), and High Danger Chances For (HDCF – 32nd) paint a picture of a team that struggles to generate offensive pressure and quality scoring opportunities. This season-long trend has persisted over their past 10 games, contributing to their uphill battle in finding the back of the net. Despite these offensive woes, Detroit's defense has shown signs of competence.
Defensively, the Red Wings have shown some resilience, but not enough to significantly alter their fortunes. Ranking 24th in Corsi Against and 19th in xG Against, Detroit exhibits a moderate ability to limit opposing teams' chances, yet their 14th rank in High Danger Chances Against suggests a vulnerability to quality shots. Goalie Alex Lyon emerges as a key figure, with dominant rankings in Goals Saved Above Expected (14th) and Save Percentage Above Expected (13th). He gives Detroit a chance to compete every time he starts.
Edmonton Oilers
The Oilers, contrastingly, showcase an offensive juggernaut are led by their No. 1 rank in both xGF and HDCF. This lethal efficiency highlights a team adept at creating and capitalizing on prime scoring opportunities, even with their 17th rank in CF, which indicates a middle-of-the-pack shot volume. With a deep All-Star lineup consisting of Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl and Evander Kane, it makes complete sense as to why this potent offense ranks among the best in the league.
Edmonton's defense complements its attack as it's second in Corsi Against and fifth in xG Against. This is especially crucial as the Oilers are constantly playing with a lead and can thwart any opponents' attempt at a comeback. While goalie Stuart Skinner's save percentage and goals saved above expected rank lower than Lyon’s, the Oilers' overall defensive structure minimizes the impact of those statistics.
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Red Wings vs. Oilers
Betting Pick & Prediction
Given the stark contrast between the Oilers' high-powered offense and the Red Wings' offensive woes, the Oilers' 60-minute moneyline offers value at -140. Edmonton's ability to generate high-quality scoring chances against a Detroit team that ranks poorly in preventing such opportunities positions the Oilers favorably to secure a win in regulation. Furthermore, Edmonton's defensive metrics suggest it can contain any Detroit attempt to break through, especially considering the Red Wings' lackluster offensive output.
Betting the Oilers' 60-minute moneyline is backed by both recent trends and a holistic analysis of both teams' performances throughout the season. Edmonton's statistical superiority, especially in offensive efficiency and defensive robustness, underlines its ability to dictate the game's pace and outcome. In conjunction with the narrative of Detroit's struggle to find consistency and generate scoring against top-tier teams, betting on the Oilers to win in regulation emerges as a prudent choice. On home ice, I’ll be taking the Oilers 60-minute moneyline (-140) at FanDuel in tonight’s matchup.
Pick: Oilers 60-Minute Moneyline (-140)
