Tuesday night's NHL playoff slate features four crucial swing games, with each series headed into Game 5 tied at 2-2.
Riding the big dogs to hit their shot totals has been effective so far this postseason, and there are a handful of stars who should play to their averages on Tuesday.
Tuesday NHL Picks
Brayden Point Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-120)
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs, 7:30 p.m. ET
Point has been one of the most consistent playoff performers league-wide. Even dating back to the Lightnings' run to the Eastern Conference Final in 2017-18, he has been fantastic, so it's no surprise to see that Point has been quite involved over the past three contests after a slightly down regular season.
Point has hit this mark in the last three contests, with an average of 4.66 shots on goal coming off six attempts per game, which is more of a positive note for Point than it may be for others — he is an a very intelligent player who is likely to take fewer worthless attempts.
Bet to: -130
William Nylander Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-125)
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs, 7:30 p.m. ET
This enigmatic Swedish winger has been dropped down the third-line for this one, and I'm perfectly fine with that — especially as I have really liked the play of David Kampf and Pierre Engvall in this series.
Nylander had an absolute anchor on his line the last two games in center John Tavares, and it's quite possible he will now see somewhat better matchups on a line, which actually controls play at a better rate. He will remain on the Leafs top powerplay unit, however, which is a crucial point to this play.
Nylander has drawn a lot of reaction to what certainly was a soft effort on a puck retrieval at the end of the second, albeit down 5-0 and at the end of a long shift, I really imagine he'll be revved up to go for this one.
Either way, his job is to generate offense first, and he has certainly attempted to do so while averaging 3.5 shots on goal in the series and hitting this over each time.
Bet to: -135
David Perron Over 2.5 (-145)
Blues vs. Wild, 9:30 p.m. ET
Perron has been lethal so far in this series, with five goals and seven points throughout the opening four contests.
Minnesota has continually allowed Perron to fire from his spot on the powerplay, and it's unsurprising to see he's averaged of 7.5 attempts per game in the series. All those attempts has led to an average of five shots on goal per game in the series so far, and I'm comfortable laying this number with what we've seen over this four-game sample.
Bet to: -155
Evander Kane Over 3.5 Shots on Goal (-110)
Kings vs. Oilers, 10 p.m. ET
It's getting a little boring to write about Kane day after day, but he continues to generate shots and attempts at a ridiculous clip, and the causation is obvious.
Kane has been highly engaged and is one of the more shot-first minded stars in the league, so considering he's playing on a line with Connor McDavid, it's easy to see how Kane has absolutely crushed this number of late with an average of 5.5 per game, cashing the over 3.5 in eight of 10.
Bet to: -120
