Tuesday NHL Odds, Picks: Betting Model Predictions for 3 Games, Including Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jackets, Sharks vs. Ducks (Feb. 22)

There are three games on Tuesday night that the Action Network's betting models have indicated value on. Our models are player-level, so they factor in all the injuries and COVID-related absences across the league that have made handicapping NHL games so weird this season. These games include Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Columbus Blue Jackets, Minnesota Wild vs. Ottawa Senators and San Jose Sharks vs. Anaheim Ducks. The first two games start at 7 p.m. ET while the third game on the West Coast begins at 10 p.m. ET. Read further to see what these picks are and the theory behind our model projections. NHL Model Projection Edges: Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jackets, Wild vs. Senators, Sharks vs. Ducks Odds and betting data last updated at 2:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday. _PromoID=[12935, 12933, 12932, 12940] Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Columbus Blue Jackets 7 p.m. ET Our model indicates that the total for this matchup should be 7.16. Meanwhile, the best price on the market is at over 6.5 (-115) at Caesars Sportsbook. The rest of the market has moved up from that opening price at 6.5 to a consensus total of 7, with varying vigs depending on the book. There's a roughly 4% edge here, according to our models, good for a B- grade overall. Betting based on these model edges works best when they're graded as a B or higher, so be sure to evaluate for your own thesis, too. Model Projection Pick: Over 6.5 (-115) at Caesars Sportsbook. Minnesota Wild vs. Ottawa Senators 7 p.m. ET This betting model edge is on the puck line for this contest. Our models indicate that the Senators should be just 0.85 goal underdogs at home against the Wild. But the market has them at +1.5 (-129). That's a roughly 4.4% betting edge, good for a B- grade from our models. As aforementioned, our projections indicate that a B grade or above represent the most profitable edges, so make sure this pick is best for you before putting it in. That best puck line price on the market as of Tuesday afternoon is also with Caesars Sportsbook. Model Projection Pick: Senators +1.5, (-129, Caesars) San Jose Sharks vs. Anaheim Ducks 10 p.m. ET This game has two betting model edges. One is on the puck line, where our models think these two teams should be much, much closer to even on the spread. The projections indicate the Sharks should be just 0.02 goal underdogs on the road. Instead, the best puck line market price has the Sharks as +1.5 goal (-190) underdogs. That's at DraftKings. With that high vig, our models only give this pick a B+ grade, but that's above the B mark that we recommend is needed to tail a pick without further evidence. The other line our models like is the Sharks moneyline. While the betting projections think the Sharks should be just +101 on that front, the market-best price has San Jose as +140 underdogs. That's a roughly 6% betting edge, good for a B grade. That best moneyline price on the market is also available at Caesars Sportsbook. Model Projection Pick: Sharks +140 or better. (Caesars) | Sharks +1.5 at -190 or better. (DraftKings) The must-have app for NBA bettors The best NBA betting scoreboard Free picks from proven pros Live win probabilities for your bets DOWNLOAD NOW