Angels vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - April 29, 2023

Angels at Brewers

11:10 pm • BSWI

Los Angeles Angels

8-8

5 - 7

Milwaukee Brewers

7-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Burnes			3.39	10-8
R.Detmers			4.48	4-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Angels 8-8	+1.5-167	o8-120	+122
Brewers 7-9	-1.5+138	u8-105	-144

Saturday 11:10 p.m.

April 29, 2023

American Family FieldMilwaukee

R.Detmers o6.5 Ks-116

1.16u

MIL once again a K haven for lefties - 31% K% leads mlb by a decent margin. 5 of 6 lefty starters have hit this against them this season (J. Montgomery 9, M. Gonzales 9, M. Boyd 8, T Anderson 7 - none of these guys are high K pitchers). Detmers is over this line in 2/4, with a strong whiff rate (74th percentile). His velocity and spin continues to stay elevated compared to last season.

LAA +135

R.Detmers o6.5 Ks-145

0.73u

Brewers lead the league in strikeouts v lefties

LAA +122

Under 8.5-120

LAA +133

0.5u

Price Burnes closer to -120, Brewers severe issues with southpaws

Sharps vs. Squares on this MLB Moneyline
Alex Kolodziej•
Apr 29, 2023 UTC

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The Angels are just 0-10 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season -- tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .039.

The Brewers are 30-25 (.545) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season -- tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are just 20-10 (.667) when they've had 5 or more XBH since last season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .804.

Mike Trout struck out in 28% of PA's last season -- tied for seventh highest in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Corbin Burnes had a strikeout rate of 30% last season -- fourth highest among qualified SPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 70% of the time (191/271) since last season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% -- 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 60% of the time (339/565) since the 2021 season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% -- 100th Percentile.

Reid Detmers has allowed an OPS of just .307 (17 PA's) when he's behind in the count this season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 1.127 -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Brewers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	87-75	44-37	43-38	43-48	43-26
Angels	82-80	43-38	39-42	11-17	70-61

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	81-70-11	40-33-8	41-37-3	41-43-7	40-25-4
Angels	74-80-8	37-40-4	37-40-4	10-17-1	62-62-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	93-69	47-34	46-35	54-37	38-31
Angels	63-99	32-49	31-50	9-19	54-77

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 29th	LAA	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 9	MIL -140
Apr 26th	DET	W 6-2	-1.5 W	U 8	MIL -225
Apr 25th	DET	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	DET -175
Apr 24th	DET	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	DET -151
Apr 23rd	BOS	L 5-12	-1.5 L	O 8	BOS -171

Christian Yelich
OF
Yelich is questionable with back
Questionable

Brandon Woodruff
P
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Blake Perkins
OF
Perkins is out with leg
Out
Robert Gasser
P
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Anthony Rendon
IF
Rendon is out with hip
Out
Zach Neto
IF
Neto is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LR.Detmers, P	91	4.1	6	4
RA.Wantz, P	22	0.2	0	0
RJ. Barria, P	39	3	5	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Z.Neto, SS	2-4	1	0	0
2M.Trout, CF	3-4	2	2	5
3S.Ohtani, DH	3-5	0	0	0
4A.Rendon, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
5H.Renfroe, RF	0-4	0	0	0
6B.Drury, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7T.Ward, LF	0-4	0	0	0
8G.Urshela, 1B	1-2	1	0	0
8J. Lamb, PH	0-2	0	0	0
8J. Lamb, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
9C. Wallach, C	1-3	0	0	0
9M.Thaiss, PH	1-1	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Burnes, P	91	6	5	1
RE.Peguero, P	23	1	0	2
RP.Strzelecki, P	12	1	2	0
RB.Wilson, P	7	0.2	0	2
RD.Williams, P	4	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Yelich, LF	0-4	1	0
2W.Adames, SS	1-4	1	1
2B.Turang, SS	0-0	0	0
3W.Contreras, DH	1-3	1	2
4M. Brosseau, 3B	0-2	0	0
4J.Winker, PH	1-1	0	2
4B.Perkins, PR	0-1	0	0
4B.Perkins, RF	0-1	0	0
5B.Anderson, RF	0-3	0	0
5B.Anderson, 3B	0-3	0	0
6L. Voit, 1B	0-4	0	0
7V.Caratini, C	0-1	1	1
8O.Miller, 2B	1-3	2	0
9J.Wiemer, CF	1-4	1	1