Braves vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - April 28, 2023

Braves at Mets

11:10 pm • MLB Network

Atlanta Braves

0-2

4 - 0

New York Mets

7-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Peterson			5.03	3-8
M.Fried			2.55	8-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 0-2	-1.5+125	o7.5-118	-138
Mets 7-6	+1.5-151	u7.5-105	+115

Friday 11:10 p.m.

April 28, 2023

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

NYM +124

0.5u

ATL -1.5+130

Under 8-110

0.55u

Bet to -120 or 7.5 (-101)

NYM +125

0.5u

Bet to +120

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The Braves are 10-1 (.909) when scoring in the first inning this season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .585.

The Braves are 40-7 (.851) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season -- 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .804.

The Mets are 103-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .955.

The Mets are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season -- tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .097.

Brandon Nimmo has a groundball rate of 52% on fastballs since last season -- sixth highest in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Opponents have a groundball rate of 55% against Max Fried fastball since last season -- 13th highest among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP-- 91st Percentile.

Francisco Lindor has 11 home runs on inside fastballs since last season -- tied for second most in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Max Fried has located his fastball inside 48% of the time since last season -- highest among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .429 (15-for-35) against David Peterson on sliders this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .211 -- second Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed a slugging percentage of just .180 (25 Total Bases / 139 ABs) with runners in scoring position since last season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: .403 -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 27th	WSH	W 9-8	-1.5 L	O 8.5	NYM -240
Apr 26th	WSH	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8	WSH -220
Apr 25th	WSH	L 0-5	-1.5 L	U 8.5	WSH -210
Apr 23rd	@SF	L 4-5	-1.5 L	U 9	SF -127
Apr 22nd	@SF	L 4-7	+1.5 L	O 8.5	SF +108

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Fried, P		86	5	7	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	1-3	1	0	1
2M.Olson, 1B	1-3	1	1	3
3A.Riley, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
4O.Albies, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
5S.Murphy, C	0-2	0	0	0
6V.Grissom, SS	1-2	0	0	0
7E.Rosario, DH	1-2	0	0	0
8K.Pillar, LF	1-2	1	0	0
9M.Harris, CF	0-2	1	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
LD.Peterson, P		73	5	6	4

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, CF	0-3	0	0	0
2S.Marte, RF	0-2	0	0	0
3F.Lindor, SS	0-2	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	1-2	0	0	0
5J.McNeil, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
6M.Canha, DH	0-2	0	0	0
7T.Pham, LF	0-2	0	0	0
8B.Baty, 3B	1-2	0	0	0
9F.Alvarez, C	1-2	0	0	0