Braves vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - April 28, 2023

Braves at Mets

11:10 pm • MLB Network

Atlanta Braves

9-11

4 - 0

New York Mets

8-12

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Peterson			5.03	3-8
M.Fried			2.55	8-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 9-11	-1.5+125	o7.5-118	-138
Mets 8-12	+1.5-151	u7.5-105	+115

Friday 11:10 p.m.

April 28, 2023

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

ATL -136

0.74u

NYM +124

0.5u

Under 7.5-105

ATL -140

ATL -130

ATL -1.5+130

Under 8-110

0.55u

Bet to -120 or 7.5 (-101)

NYM +125

0.5u

Bet to +120

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The Braves are 10-1 (.909) when scoring in the first inning this season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .585.

The Braves are 40-7 (.851) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season -- 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .804.

The Mets are 103-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .955.

The Mets are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season -- tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .097.

Brandon Nimmo has a groundball rate of 52% on fastballs since last season -- sixth highest in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Opponents have a groundball rate of 55% against Max Fried fastball since last season -- 13th highest among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP-- 91st Percentile.

Francisco Lindor has 11 home runs on inside fastballs since last season -- tied for second most in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Max Fried has located his fastball inside 48% of the time since last season -- highest among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .429 (15-for-35) against David Peterson on sliders this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .211 -- second Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed a slugging percentage of just .180 (25 Total Bases / 139 ABs) with runners in scoring position since last season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: .403 -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Braves	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Braves	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Braves	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 27th	WSH	W 9-8	-1.5 L	O 8.5	NYM -240
Apr 26th	WSH	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8	WSH -220
Apr 25th	WSH	L 0-5	-1.5 L	U 8.5	WSH -210
Apr 23rd	@SF	L 4-5	-1.5 L	U 9	SF -127
Apr 22nd	@SF	L 4-7	+1.5 L	O 8.5	SF +108

Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
Joe Jimenez
P
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out with elbow
Out

Frankie Montas
P
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
P
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Nick Madrigal
IF
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Fried, P		86	5	7	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	1-3	1	0	1
2M.Olson, 1B	1-3	1	1	3
3A.Riley, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
4O.Albies, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
5S.Murphy, C	0-2	0	0	0
6V.Grissom, SS	1-2	0	0	0
7E.Rosario, DH	1-2	0	0	0
8K.Pillar, LF	1-2	1	0	0
9M.Harris, CF	0-2	1	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
LD.Peterson, P		73	5	6	4

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, CF	0-3	0	0	0
2S.Marte, RF	0-2	0	0	0
3F.Lindor, SS	0-2	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	1-2	0	0	0
5J.McNeil, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
6M.Canha, DH	0-2	0	0	0
7T.Pham, LF	0-2	0	0	0
8B.Baty, 3B	1-2	0	0	0
9F.Alvarez, C	1-2	0	0	0