Braves vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - May 11, 2024

Braves at Mets

8:10 pm • BSSE

Atlanta Braves

0-2

4 - 1

New York Mets

7-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Scott			4.56	0-3
M.Fried			3.25	11-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 0-2	-1.5+114	o7-110	-155
Mets 7-6	+1.5-135	u7-110	+130

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

May 11, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

NYM +130

Under 7-110

1.82u

Magnum exclusive

C.Scott o4.5 Ks-150

0.67u

Projection leans towards the over and +ev bet with devig odds of -184 giving value to this number

NYM +129 (F5)

NYM +136

Under 7.5-105

0.5u

Bet to -119 or 7 (+100)

NYM +130 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to +125

NYM +144

0.5u

Bet to +118

Under 7.5-104

Featured Insight
Braves have a strikeout rate of 27% vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- second highest in MLB. Mets right-handed hitters have struck out 29% against LHP over the last two weeks -- fifth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Mets RPs have a strikeout rate of 34% over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB. Braves have struck out 26% over the last two weeks -- fourth highest in MLB.

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3 MLB Player Props for Saturday
Doug Ziefel•
May 11, 2024 UTC

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The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .426.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 73% (61/83) against Max Fried this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- 100th Percentile.

Max Fried has walked 9 of 61 batters (15%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 8% -- second Percentile.

Christian Scott allowed a slugging percentage of just .111 (2 Total Bases / 18 ABs) against right-handed batters -- 2nd best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .370 -- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 10th	ATL	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 7.5	ATL +124
May 7th	@STL	W 7-5	+1.5 W	O 8.5	NYM +105
May 6th	@STL	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	NYM +114
May 5th	@TB	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 7	TB -108
May 4th	@TB	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	TB -110

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Fried, P	109	7	5	0
RJ.Jimenez, P	30	1	2	0
RR.Iglesias, P	25	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	0-4	0	0	1
2O.Albies, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	0-3	1	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5M.Ozuna, DH	2-4	1	0	0
6T.d'Arnaud, C	1-3	0	0	0
7M.Harris, CF	3-3	1	0	1
8O.Arcia, SS	1-3	1	1	2
9J.Kelenic, LF	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Scott, P	91	6	8	3
RS.Reid-Foley, P	23	2	2	0
RJ.Lopez, P	25	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, LF	0-1	0	0	0
1T.Taylor, LF	0-2	0	0	0
2S.Marte, RF	0-4	0	0	0
2O.Narvaez, C	0-0	0	0	0
3F.Lindor, SS	0-4	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
5J.Martinez, DH	1-4	1	1	1
6J.McNeil, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
7H.Bader, CF	1-3	0	0	0
8B.Baty, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
9T.Nido, C	0-1	0	0	0
9D.Stewart, PH	0-0	0	0	0
9D.Stewart, RF	0-0	0	0	0