Braves vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - May 11, 2024

Braves at Mets

8:10 pm • BSSE

Atlanta Braves

7-7

4 - 1

New York Mets

7-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Scott			4.56	0-3
M.Fried			3.25	11-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 7-7	-1.5+114	o7-110	-155
Mets 7-9	+1.5-135	u7-110	+130

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

May 11, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

ATL -155

0.65u

NYM +130

Under 7-110

1.82u

Magnum exclusive

C.Scott o4.5 Ks-150

0.67u

Projection leans towards the over and +ev bet with devig odds of -184 giving value to this number

NYM +129 (F5)

NYM +136

Under 7.5-105

0.5u

Bet to -119 or 7 (+100)

NYM +130 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to +125

NYM +144

0.5u

Bet to +118

ATL -157

Featured Insight
Braves have a strikeout rate of 27% vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- second highest in MLB. Mets right-handed hitters have struck out 29% against LHP over the last two weeks -- fifth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Mets RPs have a strikeout rate of 34% over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB. Braves have struck out 26% over the last two weeks -- fourth highest in MLB.

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3 MLB Player Props for Saturday
Doug Ziefel•
May 11, 2024 UTC

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The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .426.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 73% (61/83) against Max Fried this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- 100th Percentile.

Max Fried has walked 9 of 61 batters (15%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 8% -- second Percentile.

Christian Scott allowed a slugging percentage of just .111 (2 Total Bases / 18 ABs) against right-handed batters -- 2nd best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .370 -- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 10th	ATL	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 7.5	ATL +124
May 7th	@STL	W 7-5	+1.5 W	O 8.5	NYM +105
May 6th	@STL	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	NYM +114
May 5th	@TB	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 7	TB -108
May 4th	@TB	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	TB -110

Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
Joe Jimenez
P
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out with elbow
Out

Frankie Montas
P
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
P
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Nick Madrigal
IF
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Fried, P	109	7	5	0
RJ.Jimenez, P	30	1	2	0
RR.Iglesias, P	25	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	0-4	0	0	1
2O.Albies, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	0-3	1	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5M.Ozuna, DH	2-4	1	0	0
6T.d'Arnaud, C	1-3	0	0	0
7M.Harris, CF	3-3	1	0	1
8O.Arcia, SS	1-3	1	1	2
9J.Kelenic, LF	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Scott, P	91	6	8	3
RS.Reid-Foley, P	23	2	2	0
RJ.Lopez, P	25	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, LF	0-1	0	0	0
1T.Taylor, LF	0-2	0	0	0
2S.Marte, RF	0-4	0	0	0
2O.Narvaez, C	0-0	0	0	0
3F.Lindor, SS	0-4	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
5J.Martinez, DH	1-4	1	1	1
6J.McNeil, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
7H.Bader, CF	1-3	0	0	0
8B.Baty, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
9T.Nido, C	0-1	0	0	0
9D.Stewart, PH	0-0	0	0	0
9D.Stewart, RF	0-0	0	0	0