Mets vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - May 4, 2024

Mets at Rays

11:15 pm • FOX

New York Mets

8-9

1 - 3

Tampa Bay Rays

7-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Z.Littell			3.63	8-10
C.Scott			4.56	0-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 8-9	-1.5+164	o7.5-105	-110
Rays 7-8	+1.5-190	u7.5-115	-110

Saturday 11:15 p.m.

May 04, 2024

Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg

TB -110 (F5)

1.1u

Z.Littell o4.5 Ks-128

0.78u

Ballpark pal projects 5.75 Ks and +ev bet with devig odds of -151 giving value to this number

Under 7.5-115

NYM +102

0.5u

NYM -101

Featured Insight
Mets RPs have a strikeout rate of 31% vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB. Rays right-handed hitters have struck out 37% against LHP over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games last season -- highest in MLB. The Mets allowed their opponents to score first in 56% of their games last season -- fourth highest in MLB.

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Mets vs. Rays: Value in Betting NY Moneyline
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The Rays are 90-22 (.804) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .733.

Jose Siri has struck out in 41% of PA's this season -- highest in MLB-- 0 Percentile. Jake Diekman has a strikeout rate of 38% this season -- ninth highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Randy Arozarena has an OPS of just .507 this season -- eighth worst in MLB-- third Percentile. Adam Ottavino has allowed an OPS of just .326 (42 PAs) this season -- second best among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Zack Littell has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 82% (80/97) of opposing batters this season -- highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 66% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (34/101) against Zack Littell this season -- highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 23% -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Rays are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Rays are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rays are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Rays' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	89-73	45-36	44-37	32-36	55-34
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rays	68-88-6	36-40-5	32-48-1	29-38-1	36-48-5
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	80-82	42-39	38-43	36-32	42-47
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 3rd	NYM	W 10-8	-1.5 W	O 8	TB -148
May 1st	@MIL	L 1-7	-1.5 L	U 8.5	MIL -111
Apr 30th	@MIL	L 2-8	+1.5 L	O 8	MIL +152
Apr 29th	@MIL	W 1-0	-1.5 L	U 8	TB -109
Apr 28th	@CWS	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 8	CWS -141

Ha-Seong Kim
IF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out

Frankie Montas
P
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
P
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Nick Madrigal
IF
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Scott, P	94	6.2	6	1
RR.Garrett, P	5	0.1	1	0
RA.Ottavino, P	35	0.2	1	2
RS.Reid-Foley, P	11	0.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1B.Nimmo, LF	1-4	1	0
2S.Marte, RF	2-3	0	1
3F.Lindor, SS	0-4	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	0-3	0	0
5J.Martinez, DH	1-4	0	0
6J.McNeil, 2B	0-3	0	0
7H.Bader, CF	1-3	0	0
8B.Baty, 3B	1-4	0	0
9T.Nido, C	0-3	0	0
9D.Stewart, PH	0-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Littell, P	87	6	7	1
LG.Cleavinger, P	19	1	3	0
RJ.Adam, P	21	1	0	0
RP.Maton, P	19	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	2-4	1	0
2R.Palacios, 2B	1-3	1	0
3I.Paredes, 3B	2-3	1	1
4R.Arozarena, LF	0-4	0	0
5H.Ramirez, DH	0-3	0	0
5A.Shenton, PH	0-0	0	1
5A.Shenton, DH	0-0	0	1
6J.Caballero, SS	0-3	0	1
7B.Rortvedt, C	2-3	0	0
7A.Rosario, PR	0-0	0	0
7A.Jackson, C	0-1	0	0
8J.DeLuca, RF	0-3	0	0
9J.Siri, CF	0-3	0	0