Mets vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - May 5, 2024

Mets at Rays

5:40 pm • SNY

New York Mets

8-9

6 - 7

Tampa Bay Rays

7-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Pepiot			3.60	8-8
L.Severino			3.91	11-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 8-9	-1.5+164	o7-122	-108
Rays 7-8	+1.5-184	u7+102	-110

Sunday 5:40 p.m.

May 05, 2024

Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg

Under 7.5-125

0.63u

NYM -102

0.51u

Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 31% against the Mets RPs over the last two weeks -- third best in MLB. Rays hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 32% over the last two weeks -- tied for worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Rays allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games last season -- lowest in MLB. The Mets scored first in just 44% of their games last season -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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MLB Player Props: Top 3 Strikeout Props For Sunday
Doug Ziefel•
May 5, 2024 UTC

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The Rays are 90-22 (.804) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .733.

Jose Siri has struck out in 42% of PA's this season -- highest in MLB-- 0 Percentile. Edwin Diaz has a strikeout rate of 40% this season -- sixth highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Opponents are hitless in 15 AB's against Ryan Pepiot on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .314 -- 100th Percentile.

Ryan Pepiot has allowed an OBP of just .167 (54 PA's) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- 2nd best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .296 -- 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 54% (53/98) against Luis Severino this season -- 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- 91st Percentile.

Luis Severino has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (166/378) in non-two strike counts this season -- highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 33% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Rays are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Rays are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rays are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Rays' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	89-73	45-36	44-37	32-36	55-34
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rays	68-88-6	36-40-5	32-48-1	29-38-1	36-48-5
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	80-82	42-39	38-43	36-32	42-47
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 4th	NYM	W 3-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	TB -110
May 3rd	NYM	W 10-8	-1.5 W	O 8	TB -148
May 1st	@MIL	L 1-7	-1.5 L	U 8.5	MIL -111
Apr 30th	@MIL	L 2-8	+1.5 L	O 8	MIL +152
Apr 29th	@MIL	W 1-0	-1.5 L	U 8	TB -109

Ha-Seong Kim
IF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out

Frankie Montas
P
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
P
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Nick Madrigal
IF
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Severino, P	98	5	6	4
RJ.Lopez, P	15	1	1	0
RR.Garrett, P	21	1	1	0
RS.Reid-Foley, P	12	1	1	0
RE.Diaz, P	19	1	2	1
LJ.Diekman, P	11	0	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, LF	1-3	0	0	1
2S.Marte, RF	1-4	1	0	0
3F.Lindor, SS	2-6	1	1	2
4P.Alonso, 1B	0-5	0	0	0
5D.Stewart, DH	0-3	0	0	1
5J.Martinez, PH	0-0	0	0	0
5T.Taylor, PR	0-0	0	0	0
5T.Taylor, DH	0-0	0	0	0
6J.McNeil, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7H.Bader, CF	1-5	2	0	0
8B.Baty, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
9O.Narvaez, C	2-2	1	0	1
9T.Nido, PH	0-3	0	0	0
9T.Nido, C	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Pepiot, P	44	2	3	3
RM.Rodriguez, P	31	1	1	1
RK.Kelly, P	29	2	2	0
LG.Cleavinger, P	15	1	1	0
RS.Armstrong, P	35	2	1	0
LJ.Lopez, P	27	1.1	1	0
RE.Ramirez, P	12	0.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	2-4	0	0	2
2R.Palacios, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
3I.Paredes, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
4R.Arozarena, LF	1-5	1	1	1
5A.Rosario, DH	2-5	0	0	0
6J.Caballero, SS	0-2	3	0	0
7A.Jackson, C	1-3	1	0	1
7A.Shenton, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7B.Rortvedt, C	0-0	1	0	0
8J.DeLuca, RF	2-4	1	0	3
8J.DeLuca, CF	2-4	1	0	3
9J.Siri, CF	0-2	0	0	0
9H.Ramirez, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9H.Ramirez, RF	0-1	0	0	0