Braves vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - May 10, 2024

Braves at Mets

11:10 pm • SNY

Atlanta Braves

0-2

4 - 2

New York Mets

7-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Quintana			3.75	10-10
C.Morton			4.19	8-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 0-2	-1.5+114	o7.5-110	-147
Mets 7-6	+1.5-135	u7.5-110	+124

Friday 11:10 p.m.

May 10, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

NYM +125

1.5u

C.Morton u5.5 Ks+120

Projection leans towards the under in this spot and +ev bet with devig odds of -108 giving value to this number

C.Morton u6.5 Ks-160

1.6u

Under 8-115

0.5u

Over 7.5-115

0.58u

Bet to 8 (-112)

Featured Insight
The Braves have allowed just 1.1 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- fifth lowest in MLB (130 games). The Mets have scored just 0.9 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- third lowest in MLB (125 games).

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The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .426.

Francisco Lindor is batting just .171 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- fourth worst in MLB-- third Percentile. Charlie Morton has thrown a breaking pitch 50% of the time since last season -- second highest among qualified SPs-- 97th Percentile.

Marcell Ozuna has 6 home runs on breaking pitches this season -- tied for most in MLB-- 100th Percentile. Edwin Diaz has thrown his slider 58% of the time this season -- eighth highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 54% of the time (91/169) with two-strikes this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total CB; League Avg: 15% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 7th	@STL	W 7-5	+1.5 W	O 8.5	NYM +105
May 6th	@STL	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	NYM +114
May 5th	@TB	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 7	TB -108
May 4th	@TB	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	TB -110
May 3rd	@TB	L 8-10	+1.5 L	O 8	TB +124

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Morton, P	99	7	7	1
LA.Minter, P	13	1	3	0
RR.Iglesias, P	23	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	1-5	1	1	1
2O.Albies, 2B	1-3	1	1	1
3A.Riley, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	1-4	1	1	2
5M.Ozuna, DH	1-4	0	0	0
6A.Duvall, LF	1-3	0	0	0
7M.Harris, CF	0-4	0	0	0
8T.d'Arnaud, C	1-3	0	0	0
9O.Arcia, SS	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Quintana, P	85	5	3	4
RY.Ramirez, P	25	2	3	0
RA.Houser, P	32	2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, LF	1-4	0	0	0
2S.Marte, RF	0-3	1	0	0
3F.Lindor, SS	1-4	1	1	1
4P.Alonso, 1B	2-4	0	0	1
5J.Martinez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6J.McNeil, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
7H.Bader, CF	0-3	0	0	0
8B.Baty, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
8T.Taylor, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8J.Wendle, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
9T.Nido, C	0-3	0	0	0