Braves vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - May 10, 2024

Braves at Mets

11:10 pm • SNY

Atlanta Braves

7-7

4 - 2

New York Mets

7-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Quintana			3.75	10-10
C.Morton			4.19	8-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 7-7	-1.5+114	o7.5-110	-147
Mets 7-9	+1.5-135	u7.5-110	+124

Friday 11:10 p.m.

May 10, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

NYM +125

1.5u

NYM +116 (F5)

0.5u

C.Morton u5.5 Ks+120

Projection leans towards the under in this spot and +ev bet with devig odds of -108 giving value to this number

C.Morton u6.5 Ks-160

1.6u

Over 7.5-109

Under 8-110

M.Ozuna o1.5 Total Bases+144

Under 8-115

0.5u

Over 7.5-115

0.58u

Bet to 8 (-112)

Featured Insight
The Braves have allowed just 1.1 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- fifth lowest in MLB (130 games). The Mets have scored just 0.9 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- third lowest in MLB (125 games).

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The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .426.

Francisco Lindor is batting just .171 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- fourth worst in MLB-- third Percentile. Charlie Morton has thrown a breaking pitch 50% of the time since last season -- second highest among qualified SPs-- 97th Percentile.

Marcell Ozuna has 6 home runs on breaking pitches this season -- tied for most in MLB-- 100th Percentile. Edwin Diaz has thrown his slider 58% of the time this season -- eighth highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 54% of the time (91/169) with two-strikes this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total CB; League Avg: 15% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 7th	@STL	W 7-5	+1.5 W	O 8.5	NYM +105
May 6th	@STL	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	NYM +114
May 5th	@TB	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 7	TB -108
May 4th	@TB	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	TB -110
May 3rd	@TB	L 8-10	+1.5 L	O 8	TB +124

Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
Joe Jimenez
P
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out with elbow
Out

Frankie Montas
P
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
P
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Nick Madrigal
IF
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Morton, P	99	7	7	1
LA.Minter, P	13	1	3	0
RR.Iglesias, P	23	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	1-5	1	1	1
2O.Albies, 2B	1-3	1	1	1
3A.Riley, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	1-4	1	1	2
5M.Ozuna, DH	1-4	0	0	0
6A.Duvall, LF	1-3	0	0	0
7M.Harris, CF	0-4	0	0	0
8T.d'Arnaud, C	1-3	0	0	0
9O.Arcia, SS	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Quintana, P	85	5	3	4
RY.Ramirez, P	25	2	3	0
RA.Houser, P	32	2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, LF	1-4	0	0	0
2S.Marte, RF	0-3	1	0	0
3F.Lindor, SS	1-4	1	1	1
4P.Alonso, 1B	2-4	0	0	1
5J.Martinez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6J.McNeil, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
7H.Bader, CF	0-3	0	0	0
8B.Baty, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
8T.Taylor, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8J.Wendle, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
9T.Nido, C	0-3	0	0	0