Braves vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - August 29, 2024

Braves at Phillies

10:40 pm • NBCS-PH

Atlanta Braves

0-1

4 - 5

Philadelphia Phillies

0-1

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Sanchez			3.32	11-9
C.Morton			4.19	8-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 0-1	+1.5-157	o8.5-109	+140
Phillies 0-1	-1.5+131	u8.5-108	-165

Thursday 10:40 p.m.

August 29, 2024

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

M.Ozuna o1.5 Total Bases+115

B.Marsh o0.5 Hits-101

N.Castellanos o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-130

0.77u

R.Laureano o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+105

C.Morton u17.5 Outs-104

Under in 13/24 starts, including 7/11 on the road (4.62 ERA). Pitching on 4 days rest for just the 4th time this season (third time in L4 starts) - could see a slightly shorter leash. Gets the Phillies who haven’t been hitting well, but do have a ton of familiarity against Morton - and get some solid hitting conditions tonight at CBP.

PHI -160

0.63u

Under 8.5-115

#4starsmlb

Featured Insight
Braves have won 60% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- third best in MLB. Phillies have won just 43% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- fourth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Phillies have won 57% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- fourth best in MLB. Braves have won just 40% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- third worst in MLB.

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The Phillies are 6-2 (.750) after a win as underdogs this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .416.

56% of Trea Turner fastball strikeouts are located away since the 2022 season -- fourth highest in MLB-- 96th Percentile. 59% of Charlie Morton fastball strikeouts are located away since the 2022 season -- fourth highest among starting pitchers with at least 182 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (272/456) against Cristopher Sanchez this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% -- 98th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has allowed an OBP of .351 (749 PA's) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 -- fourth Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 38% of the time (184/482) when he's behind in the count this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total CB; League Avg: 9% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Phillies' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 28th	HOU	L 0-10	+1.5 L	U 10	HOU +102
Aug 27th	HOU	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 9	PHI -138
Aug 26th	HOU	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 8	PHI -198
Aug 25th	@KC	W 11-3	+1.5 W	O 10.5	PHI +120
Aug 24th	@KC	W 11-2	-1.5 W	O 9.5	PHI -115

Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Max Kepler
OF
Kepler is out with knee
Out
Jesus Luzardo
P
Luzardo is out with back
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Morton, P	105	5.2	7	3
LA.Bummer, P	8	0.2	0	1
RG.Holmes, P	24	1.2	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1W.Merrifield, 2B	0-5	1	0	0
2J.Soler, RF	0-4	0	0	0
2J.Kelenic, LF	0-0	0	0	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	1-4	0	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	2-4	2	2	3
5T.d'Arnaud, C	0-3	0	0	0
5A.Duvall, PR	0-0	0	0	0
5S.Murphy, C	0-0	0	0	0
6R.Laureano, LF	1-4	0	0	0
6R.Laureano, RF	1-4	0	0	0
7M.Harris, CF	1-4	1	0	0
8O.Arcia, SS	1-3	0	0	1
9L.Williams, 3B	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Sanchez, P	105	5.2	8	2
RO.Kerkering, P	16	1.1	2	0
LM.Strahm, P	20	1	2	0
RJ.Hoffman, P	14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	1-4	0	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	0-3	1	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	1-2	0	0	0
4A.Bohm, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
4E.Sosa, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
5N.Castellanos, RF	2-4	2	1	2
6B.Stott, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
7J.Realmuto, C	1-4	1	0	0
8B.Marsh, CF	2-4	1	1	3
8B.Marsh, LF	2-4	1	1	3
9A.Hays, LF	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	0-0	0	0	0