Braves vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - September 13, 2023

Braves at Phillies

10:40 pm • NBCS-PH

Atlanta Braves

7-4

4 - 1

Philadelphia Phillies

5-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Sanchez			3.44	3-5
S.Strider			3.86	20-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 7-4	-1.5+100	o9-105	-165
Phillies 5-8	+1.5-120	u9-115	+138

Wednesday 10:40 p.m.

September 13, 2023

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

S.Strider o8.5 Ks+100

0.55u

C.Sanchez u15.5 Outs-105

@AnthonyDabbundo

Over 9-115

1.15u

N.Castellanos o0.5 Hits-124

0.81u

Tailing the baseball gods has worked so far

N.Castellanos o0.5 Hits-124

0.81u

C.Sanchez u15.5 Outs-105

S.Strider u8.5 Ks-120

$30.00

Party Parlay Pick

C.Sanchez u16.5 Outs-130

1.3u

Under in 9/15 this season - has been pulled at 82 and 62 pitches his last 2 starts. Had never thrown more than 100 IP in a season of pro ball, and he’s currently now at 139.2 IP - it’s clear they are monitoring his workload. The only way I see him pitching past the 5th inning is if he’s been both effective and efficient, which is exceptionally difficult against the Braves offense (132 wRC+ the L30 days vs lefties).

PHI +1.5-110

0.75u

S.Strider o8.5 Ks+120

0.48u

PHI +160

Over 8.5-120

Bet365 11:48 Tuesday.

Featured Insight
Phillies have won 55% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- eighth-best in MLB. Braves have won just 34% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Braves have won 66% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- best in MLB. Phillies have won just 45% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- eighth-worst in MLB.

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The Braves are 9-10 (.474) after a loss as underdogs since last season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .406.

Kyle Schwarber has struck out in 29% of PA's since last season -- second highest in MLB-- first Percentile. A.J. Minter has a strikeout rate of 34% since last season -- ninth highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Kyle Schwarber has struck out in 29% of PA's this season -- ninth highest in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 38% this season -- highest among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 49% (125/255) against Spencer Strider on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (574/1,436) against Spencer Strider this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Phillies' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 12th	ATL	L 6-7	+1.5 W	O 8.5	ATL +100
Sep 11th	ATL	W 7-5	+1.5 W	O 10.5	PHI +105
Sep 11th	ATL	L 8-10	+1.5 L	O 10	ATL +143
Sep 10th	MIA	L 4-5	-1.5 L	U 9.5	MIA -173
Sep 9th	MIA	W 8-4	-1.5 W	O 9	PHI -196

Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
Joe Jimenez
P
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out with elbow
Out

Weston Wilson
OF
Wilson is out with oblique
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Strider, P	110	7	9	1
LB. Hand, P	13	1	2	0
RK.Yates, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	3-5	1	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	2-3	1	1	3
4M.Olson, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5M.Ozuna, DH	1-4	1	0	0
6O.Arcia, SS	0-4	0	0	0
7S.Murphy, C	0-4	0	0	0
8K.Pillar, LF	2-4	0	0	1
9M.Harris, CF	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Sanchez, P	96	7.1	10	4
RY.Marte, P	4	0.2	0	0
RD.Covey, P	19	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	0-3	1	0
2T.Turner, SS	0-4	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	0-3	0	0
4A.Bohm, 3B	1-4	0	0
5B.Stott, 2B	1-4	0	1
6B.Marsh, LF	1-4	0	0
7N.Castellanos, RF	1-3	0	0
8G.Stubbs, C	0-3	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	0-3	0	0