Braves vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - September 13, 2023

Braves at Phillies

10:40 pm • NBCS-PH

Atlanta Braves

0-2

4 - 1

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Sanchez			3.44	3-5
S.Strider			3.86	20-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 0-2	-1.5+100	o9-105	-165
Phillies 1-3	+1.5-120	u9-115	+138

Wednesday 10:40 p.m.

September 13, 2023

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

S.Strider o8.5 Ks+100

0.55u

C.Sanchez u15.5 Outs-105

@AnthonyDabbundo

Over 9-115

1.15u

N.Castellanos o0.5 Hits-124

0.81u

Tailing the baseball gods has worked so far

C.Sanchez u15.5 Outs-105

S.Strider u8.5 Ks-120

$30.00

Party Parlay Pick

C.Sanchez u16.5 Outs-130

1.3u

Under in 9/15 this season - has been pulled at 82 and 62 pitches his last 2 starts. Had never thrown more than 100 IP in a season of pro ball, and he’s currently now at 139.2 IP - it’s clear they are monitoring his workload. The only way I see him pitching past the 5th inning is if he’s been both effective and efficient, which is exceptionally difficult against the Braves offense (132 wRC+ the L30 days vs lefties).

PHI +1.5-110

0.75u

S.Strider o8.5 Ks+120

0.48u

PHI +160

Over 8.5-120

Bet365 11:48 Tuesday.

Featured Insight
Phillies have won 55% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- eighth-best in MLB. Braves have won just 34% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Braves have won 66% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- best in MLB. Phillies have won just 45% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since last season -- eighth-worst in MLB.

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The Braves are 9-10 (.474) after a loss as underdogs since last season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .406.

Kyle Schwarber has struck out in 29% of PA's since last season -- second highest in MLB-- first Percentile. A.J. Minter has a strikeout rate of 34% since last season -- ninth highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Kyle Schwarber has struck out in 29% of PA's this season -- ninth highest in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 38% this season -- highest among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 49% (125/255) against Spencer Strider on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (574/1,436) against Spencer Strider this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Phillies' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 12th	ATL	L 6-7	+1.5 W	O 8.5	ATL +100
Sep 11th	ATL	W 7-5	+1.5 W	O 10.5	PHI +105
Sep 11th	ATL	L 8-10	+1.5 L	O 10	ATL +143
Sep 10th	MIA	L 4-5	-1.5 L	U 9.5	MIA -173
Sep 9th	MIA	W 8-4	-1.5 W	O 9	PHI -196

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Max Kepler
OF
Kepler is out with knee
Out
Jesus Luzardo
P
Luzardo is out with back
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Strider, P	110	7	9	1
LB. Hand, P	13	1	2	0
RK.Yates, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	3-5	1	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	2-3	1	1	3
4M.Olson, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5M.Ozuna, DH	1-4	1	0	0
6O.Arcia, SS	0-4	0	0	0
7S.Murphy, C	0-4	0	0	0
8K.Pillar, LF	2-4	0	0	1
9M.Harris, CF	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Sanchez, P	96	7.1	10	4
RY.Marte, P	4	0.2	0	0
RD.Covey, P	19	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	0-3	1	0
2T.Turner, SS	0-4	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	0-3	0	0
4A.Bohm, 3B	1-4	0	0
5B.Stott, 2B	1-4	0	1
6B.Marsh, LF	1-4	0	0
7N.Castellanos, RF	1-3	0	0
8G.Stubbs, C	0-3	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	0-3	0	0