Braves vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - September 18, 2024
Braves at Reds
10:40 pm • BSOHStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 2.85 | 0-0 | |
 |  | 3.35 | 8-7 |
Braves at Reds Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Braves 0-2 | -1.5+117 | o8.5-110 | -137 | |
Reds 0-0 | +1.5-139 | u8.5-110 | +117 | |
Great American Ball ParkCincinnati
Braves vs. Reds Expert Picks
Top Shelf Action 🥃
93d ago
Last 30d: 266-240-4 (+2.9u)
Under 8.5-110
0.91u
#ProSystem
. umpire friendly unders
Overall: 2155-1497-186,59% (ROI:14%)
Season:75-45-4,63% (ROI:21%)
ATL -0.5 (F5)+102
1.02u
#ProSystem
… f5 favs runline on a losing streak vs non division team
Overall: 183-159-0,54% (ROI:19%)
Season:13-7-0,65% (ROI:27%)
Nick Martin
93d ago
Last 30d: 124-171-4 (+4.6u)
ATL -140
0.71u
The Degenerates
93d ago
Last 30d: 91-74-4 (+14.0u)
Under 8.5-110
1u
CeeJ Picks
94d ago
Last 30d: 49-34-0 (+28.0u)
S.Schwellenbach o5.5 Ks-105
1.05u
Firefighter Bets
94d ago
Last 30d: 4-6-0 (-2.6u)
S.Schwellenbach o5.5 Ks-110
1u
Player Prop Savant
94d ago
Last 30d: 37-34-0 (-2.6u)
S.Schwellenbach o5.5 Ks-113
1.13u
Prop Bet Guy
94d ago
Last 30d: 69-52-0 (+10.4u)
S.Schwellenbach o5.5 Ks-110
1.1u
Burned us the last two times we bet on him, but those were in admittedly tougher spots vs PHI and TOR. Coming off a strong outing vs the Dodgers, I like Schwellenbach in this spot vs Cinci. Overall, he’s over this line in 12/L15. Cinci has been running poor lately, with a 26% K% and a .701 OPS / 93 wRC+ vs righties the L2 weeks. Will start 5-6 righties too, which is Schwellenbach’s better split (32% K%, .257 wOBA).
Moneyline Hacks
94d ago
Last 30d: 52-46-1 (+15.8u)
J.Junis u4.5 Ks-140
1u
PRO Insights
Braves
ATL Insights
- Featured InsightOpponents have a hard-hit rate of just 37% against the Braves this season -- best in MLB. Reds hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 36% this season -- third worst in MLB.
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Reds
CIN Insights
- Featured InsightThe Reds have allowed just 3.8 runs per game on the road this season -- fourth lowest in MLB (76 games). The Braves have scored just 3.9 runs per game at home this season -- fourth lowest in MLB (75 games).
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Braves vs. Reds Previews & Analysis
Braves vs. Reds Notes
Keys to the Game
The Reds are just 36-45 (.444) after a home loss since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.
Matchup Contrasts
Amed Rosario has an OPS of just .701 since the 2022 season -- sixth worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Raisel Iglesias has allowed an OPS of just .561 (711 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 10th best among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.
Marcell Ozuna has 100 home runs since the 2022 season -- ninth most in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Nick Martinez has allowed 40 home runs since the 2022 season -- tied for third most among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
30 of Jakob Junis' breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor since the 2022 season -- most among NL Relievers; League Avg: nan -- 100th Percentile.
Jakob Junis has a first-pitch strike rate of 75% (160/214) this season -- highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 62% -- 100th Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Braves vs. Reds Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
- Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Reds are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Reds' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 35 of Reds' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Braves vs. Reds Injury Updates
Braves Injuries
- Chris SaleP
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
- Ronald AcunaOF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
- Austin RileyIF
Riley is out with hand
Out
- Spencer StriderP
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Reds Injuries
- Jeimer CandelarioIF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
- Stuart FairchildOF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
- Matt McLainIF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
- Brandon WilliamsonP
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
- Graham AshcraftP
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
- Andrew AbbottP
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
- Christian Encarnacion-StrandIF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out
Braves vs. Reds Box Score
Braves Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 94 | 6 | 5 | 1 | |
 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Reds Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 70 | 6 | 6 | 1 | |
 | 32 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
 | 15 | 0.1 | 0 | 2 | |
 | 36 | 1.2 | 2 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Braves vs. Reds Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Braves at Reds Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Braves 0-2 | o4.5-115 | u4.5-115 |
Reds 0-0 | o3.5-120 | u3.5-110 |