Braves vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - September 18, 2024

Braves at Reds

10:40 pm • BSOH

Atlanta Braves

6-13

7 - 1

Cincinnati Reds

10-10

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Junis			2.85	0-0
S.Schwellenbach			3.35	8-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 6-13	-1.5+117	o8.5-110	-137
Reds 10-10	+1.5-139	u8.5-110	+117

Wednesday 10:40 p.m.

September 18, 2024

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

Under 8.5-110

0.91u

#ProSystem . umpire friendly unders Overall: 2155-1497-186,59% (ROI:14%) Season:75-45-4,63% (ROI:21%)

ATL -0.5 (F5)+102

1.02u

#ProSystem … f5 favs runline on a losing streak vs non division team Overall: 183-159-0,54% (ROI:19%) Season:13-7-0,65% (ROI:27%)

ATL -140

0.71u

Under 8.5-110

S.Schwellenbach o5.5 Ks-105

1.05u

S.Schwellenbach o5.5 Ks-110

S.Schwellenbach o5.5 Ks-113

1.13u

S.Schwellenbach o5.5 Ks-110

1.1u

Burned us the last two times we bet on him, but those were in admittedly tougher spots vs PHI and TOR. Coming off a strong outing vs the Dodgers, I like Schwellenbach in this spot vs Cinci. Overall, he’s over this line in 12/L15. Cinci has been running poor lately, with a 26% K% and a .701 OPS / 93 wRC+ vs righties the L2 weeks. Will start 5-6 righties too, which is Schwellenbach’s better split (32% K%, .257 wOBA).

J.Junis u4.5 Ks-140

Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 37% against the Braves this season -- best in MLB. Reds hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 36% this season -- third worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Reds have allowed just 3.8 runs per game on the road this season -- fourth lowest in MLB (76 games). The Braves have scored just 3.9 runs per game at home this season -- fourth lowest in MLB (75 games).

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The Reds are just 36-45 (.444) after a home loss since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.

Amed Rosario has an OPS of just .701 since the 2022 season -- sixth worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Raisel Iglesias has allowed an OPS of just .561 (711 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 10th best among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Marcell Ozuna has 100 home runs since the 2022 season -- ninth most in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Nick Martinez has allowed 40 home runs since the 2022 season -- tied for third most among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

30 of Jakob Junis' breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor since the 2022 season -- most among NL Relievers; League Avg: nan -- 100th Percentile.

Jakob Junis has a first-pitch strike rate of 75% (160/214) this season -- highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 62% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 5-4 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Reds' 12 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	12-9	7-5	5-4	4-2	8-6
Braves	8-12	4-3	4-9	5-8	3-4

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	10-10-1	5-6-1	5-4	1-4-1	8-6
Braves	9-9-2	3-4	6-5-2	7-6	2-3-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	10-11	6-6	4-5	4-2	6-8
Braves	7-13	5-2	2-11	6-7	1-6

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 17th	ATL	W 6-5	+1.5 W	O 9	CIN +124
Sep 15th	@MIN	L 2-9	+1.5 L	O 9	MIN +150
Sep 14th	@MIN	W 11-1	+1.5 W	O 8.5	CIN +125
Sep 14th	@MIN	W 8-4	+1.5 W	O 8.5	CIN +195
Sep 12th	@STL	L 1-6	+1.5 L	U 7.5	STL +125

Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
Joe Jimenez
P
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Nacho Alvarez
IF
Alvarez is out with wrist
Out

Tyler Stephenson
C
Stephenson is out with oblique
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Julian Aguiar
P
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
P
Lowder is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Schwellenbach, P	94	6	5	1
LD.Lee, P	7	1	1	0
RJ.Jimenez, P	12	1	2	0
LA.Bummer, P	15	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Harris, CF	1-5	1	1	1
2J.Soler, RF	0-3	0	0	0
2E.White, RF	1-2	1	0	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	3-4	2	1	2
4M.Olson, 1B	2-4	1	0	1
5R.Laureano, LF	1-4	1	0	0
6W.Merrifield, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7S.Murphy, C	0-3	0	0	0
8O.Arcia, SS	0-4	1	0	0
9G.Urshela, 3B	2-4	0	0	3

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Junis, P	70	6	6	1
RT.Santillan, P	32	1	2	3
LJ.Wilson, P	15	0.1	0	2
RC.Legumina, P	36	1.2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.India, 2B	1-4	0	0
2E.De La Cruz, SS	1-4	1	0
3T.Stephenson, C	0-2	0	0
4S.Steer, LF	0-4	0	0
5T.Friedl, CF	1-3	0	1
6T.France, 1B	1-4	0	0
7S.Espinal, 3B	0-3	0	0
8J.Fraley, RF	0-1	0	0
8A.Rosario, PH	0-2	0	0
8A.Rosario, RF	0-2	0	0
9N.Marte, DH	1-3	0	0