Brewers vs. Giants Odds & Betting Predictions - May 6, 2023

Brewers at Giants

2:15 am • NBCS-BA

Milwaukee Brewers

1-2

4 - 6

San Francisco Giants

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Manaea			4.44	7-6
C.Burnes			3.39	10-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Brewers 1-2	-1.5+130	o8-105	-125
Giants 0-0	+1.5-160	u8-115	+105

Saturday 2:15 a.m.

May 06, 2023

Oracle ParkSan Francisco

MIL -122

1.22u

S. Manaea u15.5 Outs-119

Manaea has been pretty awful, even if you discount his start in Mexico City. He’s bounced between the rotation and bullpen, and has only pitched past 4 innings in one start (6 ip vs KC). MIL has been very bad vs lefties, but they will work the count (4 pitches per PA - 7th most). I’ll bet on Manaea not being lights out (he’s at 4.27 pitches per PA - would be 7th in MLB if he qualified).

SF +100

Should be one 3u play

SF +108

1.08u

MIL -118 (F5)

0.59u

Bet to -140

MIL -110

0.55u

Bet to -122

SF +0.5 (F5)-130

0.77u

MIL -118 (F5)

1.18u

Over 4 (F5)-110

0.5u

Bet to -130

MIL -148 (F5)

1.48u

Over 8-105

0.5u

Bet to -110

Over 7.5-110

Project 9; Milwaukee a top 10 HR to flyball hitting team versus a flyball pitcher. Giants swinging 122 wRC+ v righties. Giants pen should help contribute some runs

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The Giants are 5-5 (.500) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season -- tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .404.

Thairo Estrada is batting .324 on pitches 95 mph or greater since last season -- 11th best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. 95% of Corbin Burnes fastballs are 95+ MPH since last season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 90th Percentile.

LaMonte Wade is slugging .905 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season -- fifth best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. 89% of Corbin Burnes fastballs are 95+ MPH this season -- ninth highest among qualified SPs-- 90th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Giants are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Giants are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Giants' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Giants' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Giants	77-85	37-44	40-41	34-46	42-38
Brewers	87-75	44-37	43-38	43-48	43-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Giants	82-72-8	36-43-2	46-29-6	33-45-2	48-26-6
Brewers	81-70-11	40-33-8	41-37-3	41-43-7	40-25-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Giants	80-82	42-39	38-43	45-35	34-46
Brewers	93-69	47-34	46-35	54-37	38-31

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 3rd	@HOU	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 7.5	SF +125
May 3rd	@HOU	W 2-0	+1.5 W	U 8	SF +165
May 2nd	@HOU	L 3-7	+1.5 L	O 8.5	HOU +166
Apr 30th	@SD	L 4-6	+1.5 L	U 19.5	SD +127
Apr 29th	@SD	L 11-16	+1.5 L	O 15.5	SD +165

Christian Yelich
OF
Yelich is out with back
Out
Brandon Woodruff
P
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Robert Gasser
P
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Robbie Ray
P
Ray is out with hamstring
Out
Wilmer Flores
IF
Flores is out with knee
Out
Jordan Hicks
P
Hicks is out with shoulder
Out
Kyle Harrison
P
Harrison is out with shoulder
Out
Keaton Winn
P
Winn is out with elbow
Out
Jung Hoo Lee
OF
Lee is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Burnes, P	94	6	5	2
RB.Wilson, P	18	1	1	0
LH.Milner, P	17	0.1	0	1
RE.Peguero, P	11	0.2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1W.Contreras, DH	1-4	1	0
2O.Miller, 2B	1-3	1	1
3W.Adames, SS	2-3	0	1
4C.Yelich, LF	0-4	0	0
5B.Anderson, 3B	0-3	0	0
6L. Voit, 1B	1-4	0	0
7V.Caratini, C	0-4	0	0
8T.Taylor, RF	1-3	1	0
8J.Winker, PH	0-0	0	0
9J.Wiemer, CF	1-3	1	0
9R.Tellez, PH	0-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LS.Manaea, P	91	5	6	3
RJ.Brebbia, P	17	1	2	0
RT.Rogers, P	33	2	2	0
RC.Doval, P	17	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Wade, 1B	0-2	1	0	0
2T.Estrada, SS	1-4	1	0	1
3J.Davis, 3B	1-3	1	1	2
4J.Pederson, DH	1-3	0	0	2
4W.Flores, PH	1-1	1	1	1
4W.Flores, DH	1-1	1	1	1
5M.Haniger, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6M.Conforto, RF	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Bart, C	0-4	0	0	0
8B.Wisely, 2B	1-3	1	0	0
9C.Stevenson, CF	0-2	1	0	0