Cardinals vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - September 1, 2024
Cardinals at Yankees
5:35 pm • YESStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
N.Cortes | 3.77 | 9-10 | ||
M.Mikolas | 5.35 | 10-11 |
Cardinals at Yankees Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Cardinals 0-0 | +1.5+105 | o9.5-112 | +202 | |
Yankees 8-6 | -1.5-125 | u9.5-108 | -247 |
Sunday 5:35 p.m.
September 01, 2024Yankee StadiumBronx
Cardinals vs. Yankees Expert Picks
CeeJ Picks
73d ago
Last 30d: 76-109-1 (+12.6u)
M.Mikolas o15.5 Outs-125
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
74d ago
Last 30d: 219-227-3 (+3.3u)
Over 9.5-105
0.95u
.tsa over vs bad away starters with wind help
Overall: 510-367-50,58% (ROI:12%)
Season:28-26-1,52% (ROI:2%)
Prop Hunter
74d ago
Last 30d: 24-39-0 (-11.6u)
M.Winn o1.5 Total Bases+115
1.15u
Firefighter Bets
74d ago
Last 30d: 66-79-0 (-17.7u)
M.Winn o1.5 Total Bases+115
1.15u
J.Chisholm o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-115
0.87u
The Degenerates
74d ago
Last 30d: 58-63-1 (-10.9u)
NYY -1.5+104
1u
Charlie DiSturco
74d ago
Last 30d: 50-67-2 (-0.5u)
J.Soto o0.5 HR+280
0.15u
Grant Neiffer
74d ago
Last 30d: 49-55-2 (-1.6u)
A.Judge o0.5 HR+240
0.25u
Circa
J.Soto o0.5 HR+300
0.25u
Circa
Picks Office
74d ago
Last 30d: 88-110-3 (-29.3u)
Over 9-120
0.83u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
With both starting pitchers having really struggled through the majority of this season, the over is very tantalizing. Miles Mikolas has been horrific on a consistent level this season, owning only a 16.8% strikeout rate and 16.2% whiff rate, with both being among the worst in the league. The inability to develop any sort of ground-ball generation, doing so only 42.2% of the time, exposes him to more risk than a pitcher who can suppress hard contact via grounders, especially in a hitter-friendly park like Yankee Stadium. Mikolas has a concerning 5.07 ERA against an xFIP of 4.04 over his final 55 innings, showing his struggles are not just bad luck. His two-strike miss rate is abysmal at 14% - ranking dead last for qualified starters- and a terrible 63.7% stranded rate adds salt to an already bad situation with runners in scoring position performance. All of those factors make it so that Mikolas is all set to give up runs in bunches to a Yankees lineup that has been lethal against right-handed pitching this season, posting a wRC+ of 143 since the All-Star break.
On the other side, Nestor Cortes has not been sharp either, recording a 4.54 ERA with a WHIP of 1.21 over his last 39 2/3 innings. His 4.62 xFIP and 40% hard-hit rate in that time make him a decent tie to a Cardinals lineup that has been quite deep against left-handed pitching, posting a 111 wRC+ since the break.
Only now, Cortés's results have been better at Yankee Stadium: his underlying metrics align with season-long struggles, and it's hard to have faith in his ability to keep this Cardinals offense down, especially sans Willson Contreras, who has an .882 OPS as a catcher against lefties this year. Given that both pitchers are in poor form, that both teams have strong offenses against the corresponding handedness of their opponent's starter and that Yankee Stadium is very hitter-friendly, 9 feels like far too low a total. Look for both offenses to take advantage of Mikolas and Cortes' vulnerabilities.
Billy Ward
74d ago
Last 30d: 23-36-0 (+1.7u)
Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-115
1.15u
Brian Bitler
74d ago
Last 30d: 52-48-4 (+6.1u)
STL +1.5-115
2.61u
MJC Locks
74d ago
Last 30d: 26-27-0 (+4.7u)
A.Judge o0.5 HR+220
0.5u
A.Judge o1.5 Total Bases-125
1u
⭐️ Play of the Day
PRO Insights
Cardinals
STL Insights
- Featured InsightCardinals left-handed hitters have struck out just 15% against RHP over the last two weeks -- tied for third lowest in MLB. Yankees have a strikeout rate of just 19% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- fifth lowest in MLB.
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Yankees
NYY Insights
- Featured InsightYankees have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 5% of innings played since last season -- tied for fourth lowest in MLB. The Cardinals have scored three or more runs in an inning just 128 times (5%) since last season -- fourth lowest in MLB.
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Cardinals vs. Yankees Previews & Analysis
Cardinals vs. Yankees Notes
Keys to the Game
Matchup Contrasts
Today's Starting Pitchers
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Cardinals vs. Yankees Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Yankees are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Yankees' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Yankees' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Cardinals vs. Yankees Injury Updates
Cardinals Injuries
- Sonny GrayP
Gray is out with arm
Out
- Willson ContrerasC
Contreras is out with finger
Out
- Drew RomP
Rom is out with biceps
Out
Yankees Injuries
- Nestor CortesP
Cortes is out with elbow
Out
- JT BrubakerP
Brubaker is out with elbow
Out
Cardinals vs. Yankees Box Score
Cardinals Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RM.Mikolas, P | 90 | 4 | 5 | 3 | |
LJ.King, P | 20 | 1.1 | 0 | 2 | |
RR.O'Brien, P | 9 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | |
LJ.Romero, P | 27 | 1.1 | 3 | 0 | |
RA.Kittredge, P | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
RR.Fernandez, P | 14 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1M.Winn, SS | 2-6 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
2L.Baker, DH | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
2A.Burleson, PH | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2A.Burleson, DH | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3N.Arenado, 3B | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
4P.Goldschmidt, 1B | 3-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5I.Herrera, C | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
6B.Donovan, 2B | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
7J.Walker, RF | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
8L.Nootbaar, LF | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
9V.Scott, CF | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Yankees Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
LN.Cortes, P | 80 | 4 | 2 | 5 | |
RS.Effross, P | 11 | 0.2 | 0 | 2 | |
LT.Mayza, P | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
RJ.Cousins, P | 21 | 0.2 | 1 | 2 | |
RT.Kahnle, P | 20 | 0.1 | 0 | 2 | |
RP.Bickford, P | 20 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | |
RR.Marinaccio, P | 23 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1G.Torres, 2B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
2J.Soto, RF | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3A.Judge, CF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4A.Wells, C | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5G.Stanton, DH | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
6J.Chisholm, 3B | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
7A.Rizzo, 1B | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
8A.Volpe, SS | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
9A.Verdugo, LF | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Cardinals vs. Yankees Odds Comparison
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Cardinals at Yankees Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Cardinals 0-0 | o3.5-120 | u3.5-110 |
Yankees 8-6 | o5.5-115 | u5.5-115 |