Cubs vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - March 29, 2025

Cubs at Diamondbacks

1:40 am • ARID

Chicago Cubs

14-9

1 - 8

Arizona Diamondbacks

12-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Kelly			5.57	3-1
J.Taillon			5.40	1-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 14-9	+1.5	+1.5-175	o9-108	+122
Diamondbacks 12-9	u8.5	-1.5+145	u9-113	-144

Saturday 1:40 a.m.

March 29, 2025

Chase FieldPhoenix

CHC +137

C.Carroll o1.5 Total Bases+100

E.Suarez o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-105

0.95u

CHC +130

#BQ

ARI -135

0.74u

Taillon's road struggles are real – 4.46 ERA away last season vs. 2.95 at home. Kelly strong at Chase Field – 2.59 ERA at home in ‘23. D-backs ranked top 5 in HardHit% and xBA last season, lineup stacked with power. Arizona 13-6 in Kelly’s last 19 home starts. Cubs’ bullpen already shaky – 6.00 ERA through 3 games, opponents hitting .293. D-backs got to the pen early in G1 and still dropped 6 runs. Suarez, Gurriel, Moreno all OPS’d .800+ vs RHP in ‘24. Arizona offense showed flashes despite Gallen's off night. Kelly dominates early in seasons – career 2.61 ERA in March/April. Cubs coming off jetlag series in Tokyo, legs looked slow despite G1 win. D-backs need a bounce-back and have their stopper on the mound. Taillon prone to barrels, especially vs LHB.

ARI -145

0.69u

M.Kelly o4.5 Ks+100

Have Kelly projected at 5.04 strikeouts. Gets a boost at home, and there's potential for his strikeout rate to rebound a bit after an injury-shortened season.

CHC +120

Under 8.5+102

0.5u

Bet to -108

J.Taillon o3.5 Ks+106

0.5u

3% ev pinny line at -115

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MLB Public Betting

Diamondbacks are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Diamondbacks are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Diamondbacks are 6-5 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Diamondbacks' 10 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	11-10	5-5	6-5	9-8	2-2
Cubs	13-10	6-4	7-6	7-3	6-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Diamondbacks	10-8-3	2-5-3	8-3	8-6-3	2-2
Cubs	15-7-1	8-2	7-5-1	8-2	7-5-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	12-9	6-4	6-5	10-7	2-2
Cubs	14-9	6-4	8-5	8-2	6-7

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 28th	CHC	L 6-10	-	O 8.5	CHC -125
Mar 25th	CLE	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 9	CLE -170
Mar 25th	CLE	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CLE -152
Mar 23rd	SD	W 5-5	-	-	-
Mar 23rd	@CWS	W 8-4	-	-	-

Jordan Montgomery
P
Montgomery is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Blaze Alexander
IF
Alexander is out with oblique
Out

Justin Steele
P
Steele is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Taillon, P	80	4.1	1	6
RE.Morgan, P	23	1.2	3	0
RB.Keller, P	46	2	3	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1I.Happ, LF	0-3	0	0
2K.Tucker, RF	0-3	0	0
3S.Suzuki, DH	1-4	0	0
4M.Busch, 1B	0-4	0	0
5D.Swanson, SS	1-3	1	0
6N.Hoerner, 2B	0-4	0	0
7P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	1-3	0	1
8M.Shaw, 3B	0-4	0	0
9C.Kelly, C	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Kelly, P	85	5.1	1	1
RR.Thompson, P	3	0.2	0	0
LJ.Mantiply, P	10	1	1	0
RS.Miller, P	17	2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Carroll, RF	0-4	0	0	0
2K.Marte, 2B	2-5	1	0	0
3L.Gurriel, LF	2-5	2	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	1-4	0	0	1
5P.Smith, DH	3-4	2	0	1
6E.Suarez, 3B	2-4	2	2	4
7A.Thomas, CF	3-4	1	0	1
8G.Perdomo, SS	1-4	0	0	1
9J.Herrera, C	0-3	0	0	0