Cubs vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - May 2, 2023

Cubs at Nationals

11:05 pm • MASN

Chicago Cubs

11-4

1 - 4

Washington Nationals

8-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Williams			5.55	6-10
H.Wesneski			4.63	3-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 11-4	-1.5+115	o8.5-112	-141
Nationals 8-8	+1.5-140	u8.5-107	+117

Tuesday 11:05 p.m.

May 02, 2023

Nationals ParkWashington

WSH +116

Over 9+100

0.4u

WSH +125

0.5u

WSH +125

0.5u

T.Williams u15.5 Outs+105

Cubs seeing the most pitches per PA this season, and are 8th and 6th in OPS and wRC+ vs RHP, respectively. They’ve held 6/L7 righties under this mark. Williams is under this line in 3/5 starts despite out performing his 6.29 xERA by more than 2 runs (4.10 ERA). He also ranks 24th out of 129 qualified starters with 4.11 pitches per PA.

N.Hoerner o1.5 Total Bases-106

Over 8.5-115

Found at betonline

Under 9-120

WSH +1.5-136

WSH +125

0.63u

Bet to +125

Under 9-120

0.83u

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Tuesday MLB Betting Card
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May 2, 2023 UTC
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The Nationals are just 2-10 (.167) when allowing 10 or more hits this season -- tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.

The Nationals are just 2-10 (.167) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season -- tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .364.

The Cubs are 8-2 (.800) when they've hit 2 or more home runs this season -- 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .701.

The Cubs are 7-5 (.583) on the road this season -- 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .485.

Nico Hoerner struck out in just 10% of PA's over the last 30 days -- eighth lowest in MLB-- 96th Percentile. Trevor Williams had a strikeout rate of just 15% over the last 30 days -- tied for sixth lowest among qualified SPs-- seventh Percentile.

Keibert Ruiz has struck out in just 7% of PA's this season -- second lowest in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Hayden Wesneski has a strikeout rate of just 13% vs left-handed batters this season -- tied for eighth lowest among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP-- 10th Percentile.

Graham Ashcraft had an ERA of 8.37 (47.1 IP) against division opponents in 2022 -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 3.93 -- 0 Percentile.

Graham Ashcraft threw fastballs 77% of the time (989/1,286) in non-two strike counts in 2022 -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 50% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 38% (45/120) against Hayden Wesneski on sliders this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 49% -- third Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Nationals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 1st	CHC	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	CHC +113
Apr 30th	PIT	W 7-2	+1.5 W	O 8.5	WSH +133
Apr 29th	PIT	L 1-16	+1.5 L	O 9	PIT +124
Apr 29th	PIT	L 3-6	+1.5 L	U 9.5	PIT +120
Apr 27th	@NYM	L 8-9	+1.5 W	O 8.5	NYM +198

Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out

Nico Hoerner
IF
Hoerner is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Wesneski, P	78	6	2	1
RK.Thompson, P	21	0.1	0	3
RM.Rucker, P	4	0.2	0	0
RJ.Estrada, P	9	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
2D.Swanson, SS	2-5	0	0	0
3I.Happ, LF	0-4	0	0	0
4C.Bellinger, CF	2-4	0	0	0
5S.Suzuki, RF	1-3	0	0	0
6E.Rios, DH	0-2	0	0	0
6T. Mancini, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6T. Mancini, DH	0-1	0	0	0
7E. Hosmer, 1B	2-4	0	0	0
8P.Wisdom, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
9T.Barnhart, C	0-2	0	0	0
9N.Madrigal, PH	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Williams, P	87	5.1	4	0
RC.Edwards, P	16	0.2	1	0
RM.Thompson, P	17	0.2	1	1
RH.Harvey, P	21	1.1	1	0
RK.Finnegan, P	20	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.Call, LF	1-4	0	2
2L.Garcia, 2B	1-4	0	1
3K.Ruiz, C	0-4	0	0
4J.Meneses, DH	0-4	0	0
5J.Candelario, 3B	1-4	0	0
6D.Smith, 1B	1-4	1	0
7L.Thomas, RF	0-3	0	0
8C.Abrams, SS	3-3	2	1
9V.Robles, CF	2-2	1	0