Guardians vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 15, 2024

Guardians at Red Sox

3:10 pm • BSGL

Cleveland Guardians

4-6

6 - 0

Boston Red Sox

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
K.Crawford			4.36	9-16
X.Curry			5.84	0-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 4-6	+1.5-155	o9.5-108	+135
Red Sox 0-0	-1.5+130	u9.5-112	-161

Monday 3:10 p.m.

April 15, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

X.Curry o3.5 Ks+135

0.75u

Risky biz but I like the guy and the Sox may be over confident.

T.O'Neill o1.5 Total Bases-115

0.5u

Ballpark pal gives an extreme advantage to O’Neil in this matchup and +ev bet with devig odds of -144 giving value to this number

K.Crawford u16.5 Outs-115

0.5u

Ballpark pal projects 5.50 ip and +ev bet with devig odds of -158 giving us value. He has hit this in 11 straight home games

Under 9.5-115

BOS -129

1.29u

BOS -135 (F5)

1.35u

Under 9.5-115

Featured Insight
Guardians had allowed a run just 29% of the time after an opposing score last season -- sixth lowest in MLB. The Red Sox answered-back in just 29% of innings after an opponent scored last season -- tied for fifth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Red Sox RPs have a strikeout rate of 26% vs right-handed batters over the last week -- ninth highest in MLB. Guardians right-handed hitters have struck out 28% against LHP over the last week -- seventh highest in MLB.

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The Guardians are 11-64 (.145) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .101.

The Guardians are just 18-24 (.429) after a home win since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.

The Red Sox are just 19-25 (.432) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.

The Red Sox are just 39-51 (.433) after a home loss since the 2022 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.

Andres Gimenez is batting .278 on breaking pitches from RHP since the 2022 season -- 10th best in MLB-- 90th Percentile. Kutter Crawford has thrown a breaking pitch 53% of the time since the 2022 season -- seventh highest among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP-- 96th Percentile.

Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of just .127 (7 Total Bases / 55 ABs) this season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .384 -- 99th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 14th	LAA	W 5-4	-1.5 L	U 10	BOS -133
Apr 13th	LAA	W 7-2	+1.5 W	U 10.5	BOS -105
Apr 12th	LAA	L 0-7	+1.5 L	U 9	LAA -115
Apr 11th	BAL	L 4-9	+1.5 L	O 8.5	BAL +110
Apr 10th	BAL	L 5-7	+1.5 L	O 9	BAL -117

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Garrett Whitlock
P
Whitlock is out with oblique
Out
David Hamilton
IF
Hamilton is out with finger
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RX.Curry, P	73	5	3
LT.Herrin, P	27	2	3
RN.Sandlin, P	16	1	1
RE.Morgan, P	13	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	1-5	1	0	0
2A.Gimenez, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Ramirez, DH	1-4	0	0	1
4J.Naylor, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
5B.Naylor, C	1-4	0	0	0
6T.Freeman, CF	0-2	0	0	0
6W.Brennan, PH	1-2	2	1	2
6W.Brennan, CF	1-2	2	1	2
7E.Florial, RF	0-3	0	0	0
8G.Arias, 3B	3-4	1	0	1
9B.Rocchio, SS	1-3	1	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Crawford, P	92	5.2	6	0
LB.Bernardino, P	11	1	1	1
RG.Weissert, P	12	0.1	0	1
RJ.Winckowski, P	25	1	1	1
RC.Anderson, P	19	1	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	1-4	0	0	0
1J.Duran, LF	1-4	0	0	0
2R.Devers, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
3T.O'Neill, LF	1-2	0	0	0
3D.Hamilton, SS	0-1	0	0	0
4T.Casas, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5M.Yoshida, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6W.Abreu, RF	0-2	0	0	0
7E.Valdez, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8R.McGuire, C	0-3	0	0	0
9C.Rafaela, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9C.Rafaela, CF	0-3	0	0	0