Guardians vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 30, 2023

Guardians at Red Sox

5:35 pm • NESN

Cleveland Guardians

7-10

1 - 7

Boston Red Sox

8-7

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Sale			4.30	6-5
L.Allen			3.81	7-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 7-10	+1.5-182	o9+100	+105
Red Sox 8-7	-1.5+150	u9-120	-124

Sunday 5:35 p.m.

April 30, 2023

Fenway ParkBoston

BOS u4.5-120

1.2u

CLE +112

Under 9.5-120

Over 8.5-110

0.55u

Bet to -120 or 9 (+100)

Under 8.5-105

0.95u

Under 9-110

CLE +116

0.5u

Bet to +115. MGM has +120. They also have F5 +115 which is actionable

Under 9.5-120

Project 8.4; Guardians struggle w lefties. Both bullpens upper half of MLB in combined ERA/FIP

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The Guardians are 38-46 (.452) when underdogs since last season -- 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .394.

The Guardians are 1-1 (.500) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season -- tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .365.

The Red Sox are 8-11 (.421) when allowing 5 or more runs this season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .202.

Jose Ramirez is batting .409 with RISP this season -- tied for fourth best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Opponents are hitting .379 (11-for-29) against Chris Sale with RISP this season -- 13th worst among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP-- 10th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 37% (25/68) against Chris Sale this season -- 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- 96th Percentile.

Chris Sale has allowed an OBP of .548 (31 PA's) versus the bottom of the order this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .307 -- 0 Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 29th	CLE	W 8-7	-1.5 L	O 9	BOS -120
Apr 28th	CLE	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 9	CLE +106
Apr 26th	@BAL	L 2-6	+1.5 L	U 8.5	BAL +110
Apr 25th	@BAL	W 8-6	+1.5 W	O 9	BOS +133
Apr 24th	@BAL	L 4-5	-1.5 L	O 8.5	BAL -120

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
John Means
P
Means is out with elbow
Out
David Fry
C
Fry is out with elbow
Out
Daniel Espino
P
Espino is out with shoulder
Out

Rafael Devers
IF
Devers is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LL.Allen, P	104	5	8	2
RN.Sandlin, P	24	1	0	2
RP. Battenfield, P	45	2	2	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	1-4	1	0
2A.Rosario, SS	1-4	0	1
3J.Ramirez, DH	0-4	0	0
4J.Bell, 1B	0-4	0	0
5O. González, RF	0-4	0	0
6A.Gimenez, 2B	1-3	0	0
7M.Straw, CF	0-3	0	0
8G.Arias, 3B	1-3	0	0
9C. Gallagher, C	0-2	0	0
9J.Naylor, PH	0-1	0	0
9M. Viloria, C	0-0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Sale, P	98	6.1	5	1
RJ.Schreiber, P	9	0.2	1	0
LR. Bleier, P	12	1	1	0
LB.Bernardino, P	17	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Verdugo, RF	2-4	1	1	3
2J.Turner, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
3R.Refsnyder, LF	0-4	0	0	0
4R.Devers, 3B	0-3	1	0	0
5M.Yoshida, DH	1-3	1	0	0
6C. Arroyo, SS	2-3	1	0	2
7C.Wong, C	2-4	2	1	2
8J.Duran, CF	1-4	1	0	0
9E.Valdez, 2B	1-4	0	0	0