Mariners vs. Dodgers Odds & Betting Predictions - August 22, 2024

Mariners at Dodgers

2:10 am • MLB Network
4 - 8
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Jack Flaherty logoJ.FlahertyLos Angeles Dodgers logo2.957-5
Logan Gilbert logoL.GilbertSeattle Mariners logo3.249-12

Mariners at Dodgers Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mariners
0-0
+1.5
+1.5-142
o7.5-120
+160
Dodgers
11-5
u7.5
-1.5+120
u7.5-102
-191
location pinThursday 2:10 a.m.
August 22, 2024
Dodger StadiumLos Angeles
Mariners vs. Dodgers Expert Picks
Firefighter Bets
Firefighter Bets
84d ago
Last 30d: 66-79-0 (-17.7u)
J.Flaherty o7.5 Ks-115
1u
G.Lux o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+100
1u
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
84d ago
Last 30d: 74-55-0 (+12.4u)
D.Canzone u0.5 Hits+105
1.05u
Canzone is 6/38 since the beginning of July, and is under in 8/L14 starts. Gets Flaherty tonight (.213 average allowed to lefties). And he’s back to back with Rojas, the only two natural LHH, making him a prime target for a LH reliever (he’d be pulled for Robles - Canzone is 0-13 vs lefties). And against power pitchers this season, he has 5 hits in 43 PAs. Play it to -105.
Tanner McGrath
Tanner McGrath
84d ago
Last 30d: 59-63-4 (-11.5u)
Over 7.5-120
1u
Prop Hunter
Prop Hunter
84d ago
Last 30d: 24-39-0 (-11.6u)
S.Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases-120
1.2u
YBK Picks.com
84d ago
Last 30d: 48-46-1 (+2.2u)
LAD -1-130
1.54u
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
84d ago
Last 30d: 72-63-2 (-2.1u)
SEA +1.5-145
1u
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
84d ago
Last 30d: 58-63-1 (-10.9u)
Under 7.5-109
1.09u
Kyle Just Bets
Kyle Just Bets
85d ago
Last 30d: 20-21-1 (-1.4u)
L.Gilbert o5.5 Ks-125
0.8u
Grant Neiffer
Grant Neiffer
85d ago
Last 30d: 49-55-2 (-1.6u)
M.Betts o0.5 HR+600
0.25u
BJ Cunningham
BJ Cunningham
85d ago
Last 30d: 62-51-8 (+6.7u)
SEA +158
1u
Picks  Office
Picks Office
85d ago
Last 30d: 88-109-3 (-28.3u)
Over 7.5-110
0.91u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice One level that may seem reasonable is that it pits quality pitchers against each other: Logan Gilbert for Seattle and Jack Flaherty for Los Angeles. But there are strong pointers to the fact that this total could be overshot. Gilbert, though effective with a solid ERA, has concerning underlying metrics. Coupled with his 41.6% hard-hit rate, this flyball tendency produced a 99.8% Barrel%, which leaves everything out against a nasty Dodgers lineup. The return of Max Muncy, who went yard in his first game back, adds another power threat to an already dangerous group that includes Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman. On the other side, Jack Flaherty has shown a few chinks in his armor lately while still maintaining a strong ERA of 3.07 and WHIP of 1.01. He's allowed multiple home runs in back-to-back games, and though inconsistent, the Mariners do have the power to take advantage of that, especially when Julio Rodríguez leads the charge. On the other side, the Mariners have struggled with strikeouts this year, as they lead the league with a 28.3 percent K rate against right-handed pitching. If they can make contact, however, they've shown an ability to put runs on the board, especially in a hitter-friendly environment like Dodger Stadium. With both offenses having a chance to take advantage of the pitchers' vulnerabilities, over 7.5 holds good value, especially before any late adjustments bump up the line higher. Flaherty has some solid metrics, but not against the Dodgers offense, who won't ever be fully contained—or at worst, Seattle will chip in enough to help send it over.
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
85d ago
Last 30d: 48-68-3 (-7.7u)
Over 7.5-110
0.45u
Flat to -115

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Mariners vs. Dodgers Notes

Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Mariners vs. Dodgers Public Betting Percentages

11%

Bets%

89%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Dodgers
81-7942-3839-4174-677-11
Mariners
74-8838-4336-4547-6226-26

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Dodgers
88-67-545-31-443-36-179-57-59-9
Mariners
76-76-1031-45-545-31-550-55-425-21-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Dodgers
98-6452-2845-3591-506-12
Mariners
85-7749-3236-4562-4723-29

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Aug 21stSEAW 6-3-1.5 WU 9LAD -165
Aug 20thSEAW 3-0-1.5 WU 8.5LAD -155
Aug 18th@STLW 2-1-1.5 LU 7.5LAD -103
Aug 17th@STLL 2-5-1.5 LU 9STL -119
Aug 17th@STLW 7-6-1.5 LO 9.5LAD -135

Dodgers vs. Mariners Injury Updates

Dodgers Injuries

  • Dustin May
    P

    May is out with elbow

    Out

  • Tony Gonsolin
    P

    Gonsolin is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

  • Gavin Stone
    P

    Stone is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Emmet Sheehan
    P

    Sheehan is out with arm

    Out

Mariners Injuries

  • Sam Haggerty
    OF

    Haggerty is out with achilles

    Out

Mariners vs. Dodgers Box Score
Mariners Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Logan Gilbert logoRL.Gilbert, P1004.276
Trent Thornton logoRT.Thornton, P120.210
JT Chargois logoRJ.Chargois, P241.210
Troy Taylor logoRT. Taylor, P14110
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Luke Raley logo1L.Raley, CF1-4000
Mitch Haniger logo1M.Haniger, PH1-1111
Julio Rodriguez logo2J.Rodriguez, DH0-5000
Cal Raleigh logo3C.Raleigh, C1-5100
Randy Arozarena logo4R.Arozarena, LF1-3200
Jorge Polanco logo5J.Polanco, 2B1-4000
Justin Turner logo6J.Turner, 1B1-4000
Dominic Canzone logo7D.Canzone, RF0-3002
Josh Rojas logo8J.Rojas, 3B0-2000
Dylan Moore logo8D.Moore, PH1-1001
Dylan Moore logo8D.Moore, 3B1-1001
Leo Rivas logo9L.Rivas, SS2-4000
Dodgers Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Jack Flaherty logoRJ.Flaherty, P995.251
Anthony Banda logoLA.Banda, P191.130
Blake Treinen logoRB.Treinen, P18101
Alex Vesia logoLA.Vesia, P14111
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Shohei Ohtani logo1S.Ohtani, DH1-4200
Mookie Betts logo2M.Betts, RF1-5002
Freddie Freeman logo3F.Freeman, 1B1-4101
Teoscar Hernandez logo4T.Hernandez, LF2-4201
Gavin Lux logo5G.Lux, 2B1-4100
Will Smith logo6W.Smith, C1-2101
Max Muncy logo7M.Muncy, 3B2-4003
Tommy Edman logo8T.Edman, SS0-4000
Kevin Kiermaier logo9K.Kiermaier, CF1-4100

Mariners vs. Dodgers Odds Comparison

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Mariners at Dodgers Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Mariners
0-0
o3.5+114
u3.5-145
Dodgers
11-5
o4.5+105
u4.5-135