Mariners vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - May 25, 2024

Mariners at Nationals

8:05 pm • MASN2

Seattle Mariners

6-13

1 - 3

Washington Nationals

9-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Williams			2.03	6-1
L.Gilbert			3.24	9-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mariners 6-13	-1.5	-1.5+101	o9-107	-163
Nationals 9-9	u8.5	+1.5-121	u9-112	+137

Saturday 8:05 p.m.

May 25, 2024

Nationals ParkWashington

L.Gilbert u5.5 Ks-125

Under 9-120

SEA -160

1.5u

Under 8.5-110

T.Williams o3.5 Ks-148

0.68u

T.Williams u15.5 Outs-128

Under in 6/9, including 5/L5 - even when he’s pitching well, he’s been pulled at 75-80 pitches after completing 5 IP. Nats pen in fantastic shape right now after an off day sandwiched between two games where they only used 2 relievers each. Mariners will run pitch counts up (4.07 is most in baseball).

Featured Insight
Mariners hitters have a hard-hit rate of 42% since last season -- third best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 41% against the Nationals RPs since last season -- second worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Nationals hitters have a groundball rate of 46% this season -- third highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners this season -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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MLB Player Props: Top 3 Bets for Saturday
Doug Ziefel•
May 25, 2024 UTC

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The Nationals are 5-1 (.833) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .573.

Joey Gallo has struck out in 46% of PA's this season -- highest among hitters with at least 72 total PA's-- 0 Percentile. Andres Munoz has a strikeout rate of 34% this season -- 14th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

CJ Abrams has a swing rate of 41% on the first pitch of at-bats since last season -- 15th highest in MLB-- 89th Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .248 (35-for-141) against Logan Gilbert on the first pitch of at-bats since last season -- sixth best among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP-- 96th Percentile.

Trevor Williams has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 51% (1,120/2,203) of the time since the 2022 season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 62% -- first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .203 (72-for-355) against Logan Gilbert when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .243 -- 96th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Nationals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59
Mariners	74-88	38-43	36-45	47-62	26-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7
Mariners	76-76-10	31-45-5	45-31-5	50-55-4	25-21-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78
Mariners	85-77	49-32	36-45	62-47	23-29

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 24th	SEA	W 6-1	+1.5 W	U 8	WSH +109
May 22nd	MIN	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 9.5	MIN +110
May 21st	MIN	L 0-10	+1.5 L	O 8.5	MIN +148
May 20th	MIN	W 12-3	+1.5 W	O 7.5	WSH +130
May 19th	@PHI	L 5-11	+1.5 L	O 7.5	PHI +190

Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Gilbert, P	78	6	4	1
LG.Speier, P	10	0.1	0	2
RT.Thornton, P	6	0.2	0	0
RR.Stanek, P	10	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Crawford, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2D.Moore, LF	1-3	0	0	0
3L.Raley, RF	0-4	0	0	0
4C.Raleigh, C	0-4	0	0	0
5D.Canzone, DH	1-2	0	0	0
5M.Garver, PH	0-2	0	0	0
5M.Garver, DH	0-2	0	0	0
6J.Rodriguez, CF	1-4	1	1	1
7T.France, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
8J.Polanco, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
9J.Rojas, 3B	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Williams, P	85	5	8	1
LR.Garcia, P	16	1	2	0
RD.Floro, P	13	1	0	0
RH.Harvey, P	13	1	1	0
RK.Finnegan, P	18	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	0-4	0	0
2E.Rosario, RF	0-4	0	0
2E.Rosario, LF	0-4	0	0
3J.Meneses, DH	0-3	0	0
4L.Garcia, 2B	1-3	1	0
5J.Winker, LF	2-3	0	0
5V.Robles, PR	0-0	1	0
5V.Robles, RF	0-0	1	0
6K.Ruiz, C	2-2	1	1
7N.Senzel, 3B	0-2	0	0
7I.Vargas, PH	0-1	0	1
7I.Vargas, 3B	0-1	0	1
8J.Gallo, 1B	1-3	0	1
9J.Young, CF	0-3	0	0